• 제목/요약/키워드: noninformative prior

검색결과 131건 처리시간 0.017초

Intrinsic Priors for Testing Two Lognormal Populations with the Fractional Bayes Factor

  • Moon, Gyoung-Ae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.661-671
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    • 2003
  • The Bayes factors with improper noninformative priors are defined only up to arbitrary constants. So, it is known that Bayes factors are not well defined due to this arbitrariness in Bayesian hypothesis testing and model selections. The intrinsic Bayes factor by Berger and Pericchi (1996) and the fractional Bayes factor by O'Hagan (1995) have been used to overcome this problems. This paper suggests intrinsic priors for testing the equality of two lognormal means, whose Bayes factors are asymptotically equivalent to the corresponding fractional Bayes factors. Using proposed intrinsic priors, we demonstrate our results with real example and a simulated dataset.

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Default Bayesian hypothesis testing for the scale parameters in nonregular Pareto distributions

  • Kang, Sang Gil
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제23권6호
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    • pp.1299-1308
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    • 2012
  • This article deals with the problem of testing the equality of the scale parameters in nonregular Pareto distributions.We propose Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures for the equality of the scale parameters under the noninformative prior. The noninformative prior is usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be de ned up to a multiplicative constant. So we propose the default Bayesia hypothesis testing procedures based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factors under the reference priors. Simulation study and a real data example are provided.

Noninformative priors for the ratio of parameters of two Maxwell distributions

  • Kang, Sang Gil;Kim, Dal Ho;Lee, Woo Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.643-650
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    • 2013
  • We develop noninformative priors for a ratio of parameters of two Maxwell distributions which is used to check the equality of two Maxwell distributions. Specially, we focus on developing probability matching priors and Je reys' prior for objectiv Bayesian inferences. The probability matching priors, under which the probability of the Bayesian credible interval matches the frequentist probability asymptotically, are developed. The posterior propriety under the developed priors will be shown. Some simulations are performed for identifying the usefulness of proposed priors in objective Bayesian inference.

Default Bayesian testing on the common mean of several normal distributions

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.605-616
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    • 2012
  • This article deals with the problem of testing on the common mean of several normal populations. We propose Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures for the common normal mean under the noninformative prior. The noninformative prior is usually improper and yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be defined u to a multiplicative constant. So we propose the default Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factors under the reference priors. Simulation study and an example are provided.

Default Bayesian testing for the equality of shape parameters in the inverse Weibull distributions

  • Kang, Sang Gil
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제25권6호
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    • pp.1569-1579
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    • 2014
  • This article deals with the problem of testing for the equality of the shape parameters in two inverse Weibull distributions. We propose Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures for the equality of the shape parameters under the noninformative prior. The noninformative prior is usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be defined up to a multiplicative constant. So we propose the default Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factors under the reference priors. Simulation study and an example are provided.

Bayesian Analysis for the Ratio of Variance Components

  • Kang, Sang-Gil
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.559-568
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the linear mixed models when the parameter of interest is the ratio of variance components. We developed the first and second order matching priors. We reveal that the one-at-a-time reference prior satisfies the second order matching criterion. It turns out that the two group reference prior satisfies a first order matching criterion, but Jeffreys' prior is not first order matching prior. Some simulation study is performed.

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OBJECTIVE BAYESIAN APPROACH TO STEP STRESS ACCELERATED LIFE TESTS

  • Kim Dal-Ho;Lee Woo-Dong;Kang Sang-Gil
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제35권3호
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    • pp.225-238
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    • 2006
  • This paper considers noninformative priors for the scale parameter of exponential distribution when the data are collected in step stress accelerated life tests. We find the Jeffreys' and reference priors for this model and show that the reference prior satisfies first order matching criterion. Also, we show that there exists no second order matching prior in this problem. Some simulation results are given and we perform Bayesian analysis for proposed priors using some data.

Noninformative priors for the reliability function of two-parameter exponential distribution

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.361-369
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we develop the reference and the matching priors for the reliability function of two-parameter exponential distribution. We derive the reference priors and the matching prior, and prove the propriety of joint posterior distribution under the general prior including the reference priors and the matching prior. Through the sim-ulation study, we show that the proposed reference priors match the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense.

토빗회귀모형에서 베이지안 구간추정 (Bayesian Interval Estimation of Tobit Regression Model)

  • 이승천;최병수
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제26권5호
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    • pp.737-746
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    • 2013
  • Tobin (1958)에 의해 처음 소개된 절단 회귀모형에서 베이지안 추정은 최대가능도 추정보다 실제값에 가까운 것으로 알려져 있으나 베이지안 방법론이 구간추정 문제에 있어서도 성공적으로 작동할 수 있을 지에 대해서는 알려진 바가 없다. 일반적으로 베이지안 방법론에서 사전분포는 분석자의 사전정보를 반영하기 때문에 주관적인 분석이 될 수 밖에 없는데, 이렇게 주관적인 분석에서는 빈도학파들이 요구하는 기준을 따르기 어렵다. 그러나 무정보사전분포는 때때로 빈도학파적 특성을 갖는 베이지안 추론을 가능하게 한다. 본 연구에서는 절단 회귀모형에서 무정보사전분포에 의한 베이지안 신뢰구간의 빈도학파적 특성을 살펴보고 최대가능도 추정 신뢰구간과 포함확률을 비교한다. 이를 통해 최대가능도 추정의 표준오차가 과소 추정되고 있음 밝힌다.

Bayesian reliability estimation in a stress-strength system

  • Chang, In-Hong;Oh, Soo-Jin
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.151-165
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    • 2011
  • We consider the problem of estimating the system reliability using noninformative priors when both stress and strength follow generalized gamma distributions with index, scale, and shape parameters. We first derive group-ordering reference priors using the reparametrization. We next provide the sufficient condition for propriety of posterior distributions and provide marginal posterior distributions under those noninformative priors. Finally, we provide and compare estimated values of the system reliability based on the simulated values of parameter of interest in some special cases.