• Title/Summary/Keyword: EWMA chart

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The Study for Comparative Analysis of Software Failure Time Using EWMA Control Chart (지수 가중 이동 평균 관리도를 이용한 소프트웨어 고장 시간 비교분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun-Cheul
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.33-39
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    • 2008
  • Software failure time presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing. For data analysis of software reliability model, data scale tools of trend analysis are developed. The methods of trend analysis are arithmetic mean test and Laplace trend test. Trend analysis only offer information of outline content. In this paper, we discuss exponentially weighted moving average chart, in measuring failure time. In control, exponentially weighted moving average chart's uses are efficiency case of analysis with knowing information, Using real software failure time, we are proposed to use exponentially weighted moving average chart and comparative analysis of software failure time.

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An Adaptive Moving Average (A-MA) Control Chart with Variable Sampling Intervals (VSI) (가변 샘플링 간격(VSI)을 갖는 적응형 이동평균 (A-MA) 관리도)

  • Lim, Tae-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.457-468
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    • 2007
  • This paper proposes an adaptive moving average (A-MA) control chart with variable sampling intervals (VSI) for detecting shifts in the process mean. The basic idea of the VSI A-MA chart is to adjust sampling intervals as well as to accumulate previous samples selectively in order to increase the sensitivity. The VSI A-MA chart employs a threshold limit to determine whether or not to increase sampling rate as well as to accumulate previous samples. If a standardized control statistic falls outside the threshold limit, the next sample is taken with higher sampling rate and is accumulated to calculate the next control statistic. If the control statistic falls within the threshold limit, the next sample is taken with lower sampling rate and only the sample is used to get the control statistic. The VSI A-MA chart produces an 'out-of-control' signal either when any control statistic falls outside the control limit or when L-consecutive control statistics fall outside the threshold limit. The control length L is introduced to prevent small mean shifts from being undetected for a long period. A Markov chain model is employed to investigate the VSI A-MA sampling process. Formulae related to the steady state average time-to signal (ATS) for an in-control state and out-of-control state are derived in closed forms. A statistical design procedure for the VSI A-MA chart is proposed. Comparative studies show that the proposed VSI A-MA chart is uniformly superior to the adaptive Cumulative sum (CUSUM) chart and to the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) chart, and is comparable to the variable sampling size (VSS) VSI EWMA chart with respect to the ATS performance.

Selection of the economically optimal parameters in the EWMA control chart (지수가중이동평균관리도의 경제적 최적모수의 선정)

  • 박창순;원태연
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.91-109
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    • 1996
  • Exponentially weighted moving averae(EWMA) control chart has been used widely for process monitoring and process adjustment recently, but there has not been many studies about the selection of the parameters. Design of the control chart can be classified into the statistical design and the economic design. The purpose of the economic design is to minimize the cost function in which all the possible costs occurring during the process are probability given the Type I error probability. In this paper the optimal parameters of the EWMA chart are selected for the economic design as well as for the statistical design. The optimal parameters for the economic design show significantly different from those of the statistical design, and especially the weight is always larger than that used in the statistical design. In the economic design, we divide the model into the single assignable cause model and the multiple assignable causes model caacording to number of which is used as the average context of the multiple assignable causes, it shows that the selection of the parameters may be misleading when the multiple assignable causes exist in practice.

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A VSSI-CRL Synthetic Control Chart (VSSI-CRL 합성관리도)

  • Lee Jae-Won;Lim Tae-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2005
  • We propose a VSSI-CRL(Variable Sampling Size and Samplina Interval-Conforming Run length) synthetic control chart in order to improve the statistical characteristics of both the VSSI chart and the CRL synthetic chart. The VSSI-CRL chart utilizes VSSI sampling scheme, but it produces a signal only when the CRI is less than a given limit. An algorithm for calculating the ARL(Average Run length) and ATS(Average Time to Signal) of the VSSI-CRL chart is developed by employing Markov chain method. We present some lemmas for describing the statistical characteristics of the VSSI-CRL chart under in-control state. A procedure for designing the VSSI-CRL chart is proposed based on the lemmas. Extensive comparative studios show that the VSSI-CRL chart is superior to the CRL synthetic chart or the VSSI chart in general, and is comparable to the EWMA chart in ATS performance.

Multivariate EWMA Control Charts for Monitoring Dispersion Matrix

  • Chang Duk-Joon;Lee Jae Man
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.265-273
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we proposed multivariate EWMA control charts for both combine-accumulate and accumulate-combine approaches to monitor dispersion matrix of multiple quality variables. Numerical performance of the proposed charts are evaluated in terms of average run length(ARL). The performances show that small smoothing constants with accumulate-combine approach is preferred for detecting small shifts of the production process.

The ARL of a Selectively Moving Average Control Chart (선택적 이동평균(S-MA) 관리도의 ARL)

  • Lim, Tae-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.24-34
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    • 2007
  • This paper investigates the average run length (ARL) of a selectively moving average (S-MA) control chart. The S-U chart is designed to detect shifts in the process mean. The basic idea of the S-MA chart is to accumulate previous samples selectively in order to increase the sensitivity. The ARL of the S-MA chart was shown to be monotone decreasing with respect to the decision length in a previous research [3]. This paper derives the steady-state ARL in a closed-form and shows that the monotone property is resulted from head-start assumption. The steady-state ARL is shown to be a sum of head-start ARL and an additional term. The statistical design procedure for the S-MA chart is revised according to this result. Sensitivity study shorts that the steady-state ARL performance is still better than the CUSUM chart or the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) chart.

Monitoring the asymmetry parameter of a skew-normal distribution

  • Hyun Jun Kim;Jaeheon Lee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.129-142
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    • 2024
  • In various industries, especially manufacturing and chemical industries, it is often observed that the distribution of a specific process, initially having followed a normal distribution, becomes skewed as a result of unexpected causes. That is, a process deviates from a normal distribution and becomes a skewed distribution. The skew-normal (SN) distribution is one of the most employed models to characterize such processes. The shape of this distribution is determined by the asymmetry parameter. When this parameter is set to zero, the distribution is equal to the normal distribution. Moreover, when there is a shift in the asymmetry parameter, the mean and variance of a SN distribution shift accordingly. In this paper, we propose procedures for monitoring the asymmetry parameter, based on the statistic derived from the noncentral t-distribution. After applying the statistic to Shewhart and the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) charts, we evaluate the performance of the proposed procedures and compare it with previously studied procedures based on other skewness statistics.

An Effective Control Chart for Monitoring Mean Shift in AR(1) Processes (AR(1) 공정에서의 효과적인 공정평균 관리도)

  • 원경수;강창욱;이배진
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.24 no.67
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    • pp.27-36
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    • 2001
  • A standard assumption when using a control chart to monitor a process is that the observations from the process output are statistically independent. However, for many processes the observations are autocorrelated and this autocorrelation can have a significant effect on the performance of the control chart. In this paper, we consider combined control chart of monitoring the mean of a process in which the observations can be modeled as a first-order autoregressive process. The Shewhart control chart of residuals-EWMA control chart of the observations is considered and the method of combination is recommended. The performance of the proposed control chart is compared with the performance of other control charts using a simulation.

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A Control Scheme for a Gradual Drift in the Process Variance

  • Kang, Hunku
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.23 no.56
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    • pp.83-92
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    • 2000
  • This paper presents a study on control schemes for gradual increases (drifts) in a process variance. A new control chart, the Drifting Variance Control Chart (DVCC) is designed using Likelihood Ratio Test (LRT), and the ARL performance of the chart is evaluated for different subgroup sizes. The performance of this chart is then compared to some of the popular control schemes for the process dispersion, like the Shewhart S$^2$chart, the CUSUM chart and the EWMA chart. Results are presented and discussed. Also included is a sensitivity analysis that investigates how the DVCC performs when applied to a stepped change in process variance.

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A Generalized MLE of the Process Change Point

  • Lee Jaeheon;Park Changsoon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Quality Management Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.436-441
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    • 2004
  • Knowing the time of the process change could lead to quicker identification of the responsible special cause and less process down time, and it could help to reduce the probability of incorrectly identifying the special cause. In this paper, we propose a generalized maximum likelihood estimate. (MLE) of the process change point when a control chart with variable sample size (VSS) scheme signals a change in the process mean, and evaluate the performance of this estimator when it mi used with a VSS EWMA chart.

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