• 융합보안논문지
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• 제8권3호
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• pp.33-39
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• 2008

소트프웨어 고장 시간은 테스팅 시간과 관계없이 일정하거나. 단조증가 혹은 단조 감소 추세를 가지고 있다. 이러한 소프트웨어 신뢰모형들을 분석하기 위한 자료척도로 자료에 대한 추세 검정이 개발되어 있다. 추세 분석에는 산술평균 검정과 라플라스 추세 검정등이 있다. 추세분석들은 전체적인 자료의 개요의 정보만 제공한다. 본 논문에서는 고장시간을 측정하는 도중에 지수가중 이동 평균 관리도를 이용하여 관리 상태에 있는 자료만 가지고 정보분석을 해야 효율성이 있을 것으로 판단된다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 기존의 추세 검정과 지수가중이동평균 관리도를 사용하여 실제 소프트웨어 자료를 비교 분석하는 것을 목표로 하고 있다.

• 대한산업공학회지
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• 제33권4호
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• pp.457-468
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• 2007

This paper proposes an adaptive moving average (A-MA) control chart with variable sampling intervals (VSI) for detecting shifts in the process mean. The basic idea of the VSI A-MA chart is to adjust sampling intervals as well as to accumulate previous samples selectively in order to increase the sensitivity. The VSI A-MA chart employs a threshold limit to determine whether or not to increase sampling rate as well as to accumulate previous samples. If a standardized control statistic falls outside the threshold limit, the next sample is taken with higher sampling rate and is accumulated to calculate the next control statistic. If the control statistic falls within the threshold limit, the next sample is taken with lower sampling rate and only the sample is used to get the control statistic. The VSI A-MA chart produces an 'out-of-control' signal either when any control statistic falls outside the control limit or when L-consecutive control statistics fall outside the threshold limit. The control length L is introduced to prevent small mean shifts from being undetected for a long period. A Markov chain model is employed to investigate the VSI A-MA sampling process. Formulae related to the steady state average time-to signal (ATS) for an in-control state and out-of-control state are derived in closed forms. A statistical design procedure for the VSI A-MA chart is proposed. Comparative studies show that the proposed VSI A-MA chart is uniformly superior to the adaptive Cumulative sum (CUSUM) chart and to the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) chart, and is comparable to the variable sampling size (VSS) VSI EWMA chart with respect to the ATS performance.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.91-109
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• 1996

지수가중이동평균관리도는 최근 들어 공정검색과 공정수정에 널리 이용되고 있으나 모수의 설정에 관한 연구는 많지 않다. 관리도의 설계는 통계적 설계와 경제적 설계로 분류한다. 통계적 설계는 허용된 제1종 오류하에서 제2종 오류를 최소화하는데 반해 경제적 설계는 공정에서 발생하는 모든 가능한 비용을 고려한 비용함수를 최소화한다. 이 논문에서는 지수가중이동평균관리도의 통계적 설계와 함께 경제적 설계를 정의한 다음 각 설계에서의 최적모수를 선정하여 결과를 비교한다. 경제적 설계에서 설정된 최적모수는 통계적 설계와 다르게 나타남을 알 수 있고 특히 가중치의 값은 통계적 설계에서 보다 항상 큰 값으로 나타난다. 경제적 설계에서는 고려하는 이상원인의 수에 따라 단일이상원인과 다중이상원인 모형으로 구분하여 설계한다. 다중이상원인의 평균적 개념으로 적용되는 단일이상원인 모형에서는 실제 다중이상원인이 존재할 때에 잘못된 판단을 할 수 있음을 보이고 있다.

• 한국경영과학회지
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• 제30권4호
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• pp.1-14
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• 2005

We propose a VSSI-CRL(Variable Sampling Size and Samplina Interval-Conforming Run length) synthetic control chart in order to improve the statistical characteristics of both the VSSI chart and the CRL synthetic chart. The VSSI-CRL chart utilizes VSSI sampling scheme, but it produces a signal only when the CRI is less than a given limit. An algorithm for calculating the ARL(Average Run length) and ATS(Average Time to Signal) of the VSSI-CRL chart is developed by employing Markov chain method. We present some lemmas for describing the statistical characteristics of the VSSI-CRL chart under in-control state. A procedure for designing the VSSI-CRL chart is proposed based on the lemmas. Extensive comparative studios show that the VSSI-CRL chart is superior to the CRL synthetic chart or the VSSI chart in general, and is comparable to the EWMA chart in ATS performance.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제12권2호
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• pp.265-273
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• 2005

In this paper, we proposed multivariate EWMA control charts for both combine-accumulate and accumulate-combine approaches to monitor dispersion matrix of multiple quality variables. Numerical performance of the proposed charts are evaluated in terms of average run length(ARL). The performances show that small smoothing constants with accumulate-combine approach is preferred for detecting small shifts of the production process.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제35권1호
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• pp.24-34
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• 2007

This paper investigates the average run length (ARL) of a selectively moving average (S-MA) control chart. The S-U chart is designed to detect shifts in the process mean. The basic idea of the S-MA chart is to accumulate previous samples selectively in order to increase the sensitivity. The ARL of the S-MA chart was shown to be monotone decreasing with respect to the decision length in a previous research [3]. This paper derives the steady-state ARL in a closed-form and shows that the monotone property is resulted from head-start assumption. The steady-state ARL is shown to be a sum of head-start ARL and an additional term. The statistical design procedure for the S-MA chart is revised according to this result. Sensitivity study shorts that the steady-state ARL performance is still better than the CUSUM chart or the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) chart.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제31권1호
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• pp.129-142
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• 2024

In various industries, especially manufacturing and chemical industries, it is often observed that the distribution of a specific process, initially having followed a normal distribution, becomes skewed as a result of unexpected causes. That is, a process deviates from a normal distribution and becomes a skewed distribution. The skew-normal (SN) distribution is one of the most employed models to characterize such processes. The shape of this distribution is determined by the asymmetry parameter. When this parameter is set to zero, the distribution is equal to the normal distribution. Moreover, when there is a shift in the asymmetry parameter, the mean and variance of a SN distribution shift accordingly. In this paper, we propose procedures for monitoring the asymmetry parameter, based on the statistic derived from the noncentral t-distribution. After applying the statistic to Shewhart and the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) charts, we evaluate the performance of the proposed procedures and compare it with previously studied procedures based on other skewness statistics.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제24권67호
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• pp.27-36
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• 2001

A standard assumption when using a control chart to monitor a process is that the observations from the process output are statistically independent. However, for many processes the observations are autocorrelated and this autocorrelation can have a significant effect on the performance of the control chart. In this paper, we consider combined control chart of monitoring the mean of a process in which the observations can be modeled as a first-order autoregressive process. The Shewhart control chart of residuals-EWMA control chart of the observations is considered and the method of combination is recommended. The performance of the proposed control chart is compared with the performance of other control charts using a simulation.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제23권56호
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• pp.83-92
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• 2000

This paper presents a study on control schemes for gradual increases (drifts) in a process variance. A new control chart, the Drifting Variance Control Chart (DVCC) is designed using Likelihood Ratio Test (LRT), and the ARL performance of the chart is evaluated for different subgroup sizes. The performance of this chart is then compared to some of the popular control schemes for the process dispersion, like the Shewhart S$^2$chart, the CUSUM chart and the EWMA chart. Results are presented and discussed. Also included is a sensitivity analysis that investigates how the DVCC performs when applied to a stepped change in process variance.

• 한국품질경영학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국품질경영학회 2004년도 품질경영모델을 통한 가치 창출
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• pp.436-441
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• 2004

Knowing the time of the process change could lead to quicker identification of the responsible special cause and less process down time, and it could help to reduce the probability of incorrectly identifying the special cause. In this paper, we propose a generalized maximum likelihood estimate. (MLE) of the process change point when a control chart with variable sample size (VSS) scheme signals a change in the process mean, and evaluate the performance of this estimator when it mi used with a VSS EWMA chart.