• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bayes Estimator

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A Non-Linear Exponential(NLINEX) Loss Function in Bayesian Analysis

  • Islam, A.F.M.Saiful;Roy, M.K.;Ali, M.Masoom
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.899-910
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    • 2004
  • In this paper we have proposed a new loss function, namely, non-linear exponential(NLINEX) loss function, which is quite asymmetric in nature. We obtained the Bayes estimator under exponential(LINEX) and squared error(SE) loss functions. Moreover, a numerical comparison among the Bayes estimators of power function distribution under SE, LINEX, and NLINEX loss function have been made.

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A Study on the Bayes Estimation Application for Korean Standard-Quality Excellence Index(KS-QEI) (베이즈 추정방식의 품질우수성지수 적용 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Tai Kyoo;Kim, Myung Joon
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.747-756
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to apply the Bayesian estimation methodology for producing 'Korean Standard -Quality Excellence Index' model and prove the effectiveness of the new approach based on survey data by comparing the current index with the new index produced by Bayesian estimation method. Methods: The 'Korean Standard -Quality Excellence Index' was produced through the collected survey data by Bayesian estimation method and comparing the deviation with two results for confirming the effectiveness of suggested application. Results: The statistical analysis result shows that suggested estimator, that is, empirical Bayes estimator improves the effectiveness of the index with regard to reduce the error under specific loss function, which is suggested for checking the goodness of fit. Conclusion: Considering the Bayesian techniques such as empirical Bayes estimator for producing the quality excellence index reduces the error for estimating the parameter of interest and furthermore various Bayesian perspective approaches seems to be meaningful for producing the corresponding index.

A Study on Estimators of Parameters and Pr[X < Y] in Marshall and Olkin's Bivariate Exponential Model

  • Kim, Jae Joo;Park, Eun Sik
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.101-116
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    • 1990
  • The objectives of this thesis are : first, to estimate the parameters and Pr[X < Y] in the Marshall and Olkin's Bivariate Exponential Distribution ; and secondly, to compare the Bayes estimators of Pr[X < Y] with maximum likelihood estimator of Pr[X < Y] in the Marshall and Olkin's Bivariate Exponential Distribution. Through the Monte Carlo Simulation, we observed that the Bayes estimators of Pr[X < Y] perform better than the maximum likelihood estimator of Pr[X < Y] and the Bayes estimator of Pr[X < Y] with gamma prior distribution performs better than with vague prior distribution with respect to bias and mean squared error in the Marshall and Olkin's Bivariate Exponential Distribution.

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Accuracy Measures of Empirical Bayes Estimator for Mean Rates

  • Jeong, Kwang-Mo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.845-852
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    • 2010
  • The outcomes of counts commonly occur in the area of disease mapping for mortality rates or disease rates. A Poisson distribution is usually assumed as a model of disease rates in conjunction with a gamma prior. The small area typically refers to a small geographical area or demographic group for which very little information is available from the sample surveys. Under this situation the model-based estimation is very popular, in which the auxiliary variables from various administrative sources are used. The empirical Bayes estimator under Poissongamma model has been considered with its accuracy measures. An accuracy measure using a bootstrap samples adjust the underestimation incurred by the posterior variance as an estimator of true mean squared error. We explain the suggested method through a practical dataset of hitters in baseball games. We also perform a Monte Carlo study to compare the accuracy measures of mean squared error.

Estimators of Pr [ X < Y ] in Block and Basu's Bivariate Exponential Model

  • Kim, Jae-Joo;Lee, Ki-Hoon;Lee, Yeon;Kim, Hwan-Joong
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.124-141
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    • 1994
  • The maximum likelihood estimator (M.L.E.) and the Bayes estimators of Pr (X < Y) are derived when X and Y have a absolutely continuous bivariate exponential distribution in Block & Basu's model. The performances of M.L.E. are compared to those Bayes estimators for moderate sample size.

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Bayes and Empirical Bayes Estimation of the Scale Parameter of the Gamma Distribution under Balanced Loss Functions

  • Rezaeian, R.;Asgharzadeh, A.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2007
  • The present paper investigates estimation of a scale parameter of a gamma distribution using a loss function that reflects both goodness of fit and precision of estimation. The Bayes and empirical Bayes estimators rotative to balanced loss functions (BLFs) are derived and optimality of some estimators are studied.

Bayesian estimation for Rayleigh models

  • Oh, Ji Eun;Song, Joon Jin;Sohn, Joong Kweon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.875-888
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    • 2017
  • The Rayleigh distribution has been commonly used in life time testing studies of the probability of surviving until mission time. We focus on a reliability function of the Rayleigh distribution and deal with prior distribution on R(t). This paper is an effort to obtain Bayes estimators of rayleigh distribution with three different prior distribution on the reliability function; a noninformative prior, uniform prior and inverse gamma prior. We have found the Bayes estimator and predictive density function of a future observation y with each prior distribution. We compare the performance of the Bayes estimators under different sample size and in simulation study. We also derive the most plausible region, prediction intervals for a future observation.

Comparisons of Empirical Bayes Approaches to Censored Accelerated Lifetime Data (가속수명자료에 대향 경험적 베이즈 비료연구)

  • Cho, Geon-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.183-194
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    • 1997
  • In accelerated life tests, the failure time of an item is observed under a high stress level and based on the time, the failure rates of items we estimated at the normal stress level. In this paper, when the mean of the prior distribution of a parameter is known in Weibull lifetime model with censored failure time data, we study various estimating methods to obtain the empirical Bayes estimator of a parameter from the empirical Bayes approach under the normal stress level by considering the fact that the Bayes estimator is the function of prior parameters and of the acceleration parameter representing the effect of acceleration. And we compare the performance of several empirical Bayes estimators of a parameter in terms of the Bayes risk.

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Estimations of the Parameters in a Two-component System Using Dependent Masked Data

  • Sarhan Ammar M.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.117-133
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    • 2005
  • Estimations of the parameters included in a two-component system are derived based on masked system life test data, when the probability of masking depends upon the exact cause of system failure. Also estimations of reliability for the individual components at a specified mission time are derived. Maximum likelihood and Bayes methods are used to derive these estimators. The problem is explained on a series system consisting of two independent components each of which has a Pareto distributed lifetime. Further we present numerical studies using simulation.

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A SIMULATION STUDY OF BAYESIAN PROPORTIONAL HAZARDS MODELS WITH THE BETA PROCESS PRIOR

  • Lee, Jae-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.235-244
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    • 2005
  • In recent years, theoretical properties of Bayesian nonparametric survival models have been studied and the conclusion is that although there are pathological cases the popular prior processes have the desired asymptotic properties, namely, the posterior consistency and the Bernstein-von Mises theorem. In this study, through a simulation experiment, we study the finite sample properties of the Bayes estimator and compare it with the frequentist estimators. To our surprise, we conclude that in most situations except that the prior is highly concentrated at the true parameter value, the Bayes estimator performs worse than the frequentist estimators.