• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.34 no.4
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• pp.273-280
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• 2005

In this paper we introduce an estimator of the second order parameter characterizing the tail behavior of probability distributions and prove its consistency.

• Journal of the Korean Mathematical Society
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• v.51 no.4
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• pp.735-749
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• 2014

This paper studies the asymptotic behavior of the finite-time ruin probability in a jump-diffusion risk model with constant force of interest, upper tail asymptotically independent claims and a general counting arrival process. Particularly, if the claim inter-arrival times follow a certain dependence structure, the obtained result also covers the case of the infinite-time ruin probability.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.19 no.2
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• pp.122-127
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• 1990

Consider the following problem in the large deviation theory. For constants $a_1, \cdots, a_p$ the tail probability $P(M_1 > a_1, \cdots, M_p > a_p)$ of the sample medians $(M_1, \cdots, M_p)$ is supposed to converge to zero as sample size increases. This paper shows that this probability converges to zero exponentially fast and estimates the convergence rates of the above tail probability of the sample medians. Also compare with the rates about the sample means.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.23 no.2
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• pp.239-250
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• 1994

In this paper, we prove a strong large deviations theorem for the ratio of independent randoem variables with error rate of $O(n^{-1})$. To obtain our results we use the inversion formula for the tail probability and apply the Chaganty and Sethuraman's (1985) approach.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.16 no.3
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• pp.541-547
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• 2009

We consider distribution, reliability and moment of ratio in two independent beta random variables X and Y, and reliability and $K^{th}$ moment of ratio are represented by a mathematical generalized hypergeometric function. We introduce an approximate maximum likelihood estimate(AML) of reliability and right-tail probability in the beta distribution.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.32 no.4
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• pp.373-384
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• 2003

In this paper, we formulate multivariate one-sided alternatives and propose a class of nonparametric tests for possibly right censored data. We obtain the asymptotic tail probability (or p-value) by showing that our proposed test statistics have asymptotically multivariate normal distributions. Also, we illustrate our procedure with an example and compare it with other procedures in terms of empirical powers for the bivariate case. Finally, we discuss some properties of our test.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.11 no.2
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• pp.319-325
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• 2000

In this paper, we shall derive MLE's, modified MLE, MRE and UMVUE's of the shape and scale parameters in a generalized uniform distribution, and propose several estimators for the right-tail probability in a generalized uniform distribution using the proposed estimators for the shape and scale parameters. And we shall compare exactly MSE of the proposed estimators for the shape and the scale parameters, and compare numerically efficiencies for the several proposed estimators of the right-tail probability in a generalized uniform distribution by Monte Caslo methods.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.15 no.1
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• pp.193-200
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• 2004

Parametric estimation of truncated point in a truncated exponential distribution will be considered. The MLE, bias reducing estimator and the ordinary jackknife estimator of the truncated parameter will be compared by mean square errors. And the MME and MLE of mean parameter and estimations of the right tail probability in the distribution will be compared by their MSE's.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.6 no.3
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• pp.919-928
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• 1999

We shall propose the MME MLE and UMVUE for the mean parameter and the right-tail probability in a power function distribution and obtain the mean squared errors for the proposed estimators. And we shall compare numerically efficiencies of the MME MLE and UMVUE of the mean parameter and the right-tail probability in a power function distribution.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.27 no.3
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• pp.327-347
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• 2020

We consider a credit portfolio with highly skewed exposures. In the portfolio, small number of obligors have very high exposures compared to the others. For the Bernoulli mixture model with highly skewed exposures, we propose a new importance sampling scheme to estimate the tail loss probability over a threshold and the corresponding expected shortfall. We stratify the sample space of the default events into two subsets. One consists of the events that the obligors with heavy exposures default simultaneously. We expect that typical tail loss events belong to the set. In our proposed scheme, the tail loss probability and the expected shortfall corresponding to this type of events are estimated by a conditional Monte Carlo, which results in variance reduction. We analyze the properties of the proposed scheme mathematically. In numerical study, the performance of the proposed scheme is compared with an existing importance sampling method.