• Title/Summary/Keyword: prior and posterior probabilities

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Nonparametric Bayesian Multiple Comparisons for Geometric Populations

  • Ali, M. Masoom;Cho, J.S.;Begum, Munni
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.1129-1140
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    • 2005
  • A nonparametric Bayesian method for calculating posterior probabilities of the multiple comparison problem on the parameters of several Geometric populations is presented. Bayesian multiple comparisons under two different prior/ likelihood combinations was studied by Gopalan and Berry(1998) using Dirichlet process priors. In this paper, we followed the same approach to calculate posterior probabilities for various hypotheses in a statistical experiment with a partition on the parameter space induced by equality and inequality relationships on the parameters of several geometric populations. This also leads to a simple method for obtaining pairwise comparisons of probability of successes. Gibbs sampling technique was used to evaluate the posterior probabilities of all possible hypotheses that are analytically intractable. A numerical example is given to illustrate the procedure.

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Generative probabilistic model with Dirichlet prior distribution for similarity analysis of research topic

  • Milyahilu, John;Kim, Jong Nam
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.595-602
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    • 2020
  • We propose a generative probabilistic model with Dirichlet prior distribution for topic modeling and text similarity analysis. It assigns a topic and calculates text correlation between documents within a corpus. It also provides posterior probabilities that are assigned to each topic of a document based on the prior distribution in the corpus. We then present a Gibbs sampling algorithm for inference about the posterior distribution and compute text correlation among 50 abstracts from the papers published by IEEE. We also conduct a supervised learning to set a benchmark that justifies the performance of the LDA (Latent Dirichlet Allocation). The experiments show that the accuracy for topic assignment to a certain document is 76% for LDA. The results for supervised learning show the accuracy of 61%, the precision of 93% and the f1-score of 96%. A discussion for experimental results indicates a thorough justification based on probabilities, distributions, evaluation metrics and correlation coefficients with respect to topic assignment.

Noninformative Priors for the Ratio of the Lognormal Means with Equal Variances

  • Lee, Seung-A;Kim, Dal-Ho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.633-640
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    • 2007
  • We develop noninformative priors for the ratio of the lognormal means in equal variances case. The Jeffreys' prior and reference priors are derived. We find a first order matching prior and a second order matching prior. It turns out that Jeffreys' prior and all of the reference priors are first order matching priors and in particular, one-at-a-time reference prior is a second order matching prior. One-at-a-time reference prior meets very well the target coverage probabilities. We consider the bioequivalence problem. We calculate the posterior probabilities of the hypotheses and Bayes factors under Jeffreys' prior, reference prior and matching prior using a real-life example.

Noninformative Priors for the Ratio of the Scale Parameters in the Inverted Exponential Distributions

  • Kang, Sang Gil;Kim, Dal Ho;Lee, Woo Dong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.387-394
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the ratio of the scale parameters in the inverted exponential distributions. The first and second order matching priors, the reference prior and Jeffreys prior are developed. It turns out that the second order matching prior matches the alternative coverage probabilities, is a cumulative distribution function matching prior and is a highest posterior density matching prior. In addition, the reference prior and Jeffreys' prior are the second order matching prior. We show that the proposed reference prior matches the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense through a simulation study as well as provide an example based on real data is given.

Noninformative priors for product of exponential means

  • Kang, Sang Gil;Kim, Dal Ho;Lee, Woo Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.763-772
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the product of different powers of k means in the exponential distribution. We developed the first and second order matching priors. It turns out that the second order matching prior matches the alternative coverage probabilities, and is the highest posterior density matching prior. Also we revealed that the derived reference prior is the second order matching prior, and Jeffreys' prior and reference prior are the same. We showed that the proposed reference prior matches very well the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense through simulation study, and an example based on real data is given.

Noninformative priors for the log-logistic distribution

  • Kang, Sang Gil;Kim, Dal Ho;Lee, Woo Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.227-235
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the scale parameter and the shape parameter in the log-logistic distribution. We developed the first and second order matching priors. It turns out that the second order matching prior matches the alternative coverage probabilities, and is a highest posterior density matching prior. Also we revealed that the derived reference prior is the second order matching prior for both parameters, but Jerffrey's prior is not a second order matching prior. We showed that the proposed reference prior matches the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense through simulation study, and an example based on real data is given.

Noninformative priors for the ratio of the scale parameters in the half logistic distributions

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.833-841
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the ratio of the scale parameters in the half logistic distributions. We develop the first and second order matching priors. It turns out that the second order matching prior matches the alternative coverage probabilities, and is a highest posterior density matching prior. Also we reveal that the one-at-a-time reference prior and Jeffreys' prior are the second order matching prior. We show that the proposed reference prior matches the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense through simulation study, and an example based on real data is given.

Noninformative priors for stress-strength reliability in the Pareto distributions

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.115-123
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for stress-strength reliability from the Pareto distributions. We develop the matching priors and the reference priors. It turns out that the second order matching prior does not match the alternative coverage probabilities, and is not a highest posterior density matching or a cumelative distribution function matching priors. Also we reveal that the one-at-a-time reference prior and Jeffreys' prior are the second order matching prior. We show that the proposed reference prior matches the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense through simulation study, and an example is given.

Noninformative Priors in Freund's Bivariate Exponential Distribution : Symmetry Case

  • Cho, Jang-Sik;Baek, Sung-Uk;Kim, Hee-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.235-242
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, we develop noninformative priors that are used for estimating the ratio of failure rates under Freund's bivariate exponential distribution. A class of priors is found by matching the coverage probabilities of one-sided Baysian credible interval with the corresponding frequentist coverage probabilities. Also the propriety of posterior under the noninformative priors is proved and the frequentist coverage probabilities are investigated for small samples via simulation study.

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Bayesian Method for the Multiple Test of an Autoregressive Parameter in Stationary AR(L) Model (AR(1)모형에서 자기회귀계수의 다중검정을 위한 베이지안방법)

  • 김경숙;손영숙
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.141-150
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents the multiple testing method of an autoregressive parameter in stationary AR(1) model using the usual Bayes factor. As prior distributions of parameters in each model, uniform prior and noninformative improper priors are assumed. Posterior probabilities through the usual Bayes factors are used for the model selection. Finally, to check whether these theoretical results are correct, simulated data and real data are analyzed.