• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prior Distributions

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Prediction of Polychlorinated-dibenzofurans (PCDFs) Formation in Municipal Waste Incinerator (도시소각로에서 Polychlorinated-dibenzofurans (PCDFs)의 생성 예측)

  • Ryu, Jae-Yong;Suh, Jeong-Min
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.842-850
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    • 2006
  • The role of chlorination reactions in the formation of polychlorinated dibenzofurans (PCDFs) in a municipal waste incinerator was assessed using a chlorination model for predicting PCDF isomer distributions. Complete distributions of PCDF congeners were obtained from a stoker-type municipal waste incinerator operated under 13 test conditions. Samples were collected from the flue gas prior to the gas cleaning system. While total PCDF yields varied by a factor of five to six, the distributions of congeners were similar. A chlorination model, dependent only on the observed distribution of monochlorinated isomers, was developed to predict the distributions of poly-chlorinated isomers formed by chlorination of dibenzofuran (DF). Agreement between predicted and measured PCDF isomer distributions was high for all homologues, supporting the hypothesis that DF chlorination can play an important role in the formation of PCDF byproducts.

Default Bayesian testing equality of scale parameters in several inverse Gaussian distributions

  • Kang, Sang Gil;Kim, Dal Ho;Lee, Woo Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.739-748
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    • 2015
  • This paper deals with the problem of testing about the equality of the scale parameters in several inverse Gaussian distributions. We propose default Bayesian testing procedures for the equality of the shape parameters under the reference priors. The reference prior is usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be defined up to a multiplicative constant. Therefore we propose the default Bayesian testing procedures based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factors under the reference priors. Simulation study and an example are provided.

Default Bayesian hypothesis testing for the scale parameters in the half logistic distributions

  • Kang, Sang Gil;Kim, Dal Ho;Lee, Woo Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.465-472
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    • 2014
  • This article deals with the problem of testing the equality of the scale parameters in the half logistic distributions. We propose Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures for the equality of the scale parameters under the noninformative priors. The noninformative prior is usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be dened up to a multiplicative constant. Thus we propose the default Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factors under the reference priors. Simulation study and an example are provided.

Default Bayesian testing for scale parameters in the log-logistic distributions

  • Kang, Sang Gil;Kim, Dal Ho;Lee, Woo Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.1501-1511
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    • 2015
  • This paper deals with the problem of testing on the equality of the scale parameters in the log-logistic distributions. We propose default Bayesian testing procedures for the scale parameters under the reference priors. The reference prior is usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be defined up to a multiplicative constant. Therefore, we propose the default Bayesian testing procedures based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factor under the reference priors. To justify proposed procedures, a simulation study is provided and also, an example is given.

Default Bayesian testing for the scale parameters in two parameter exponential distributions

  • Kang, Sang Gil;Kim, Dal Ho;Lee, Woo Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.949-957
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we consider the problem of testing the equality of the scale parameters in two parameter exponential distributions. We propose Bayesian testing procedures for the equality of the scale parameters under the noninformative priors. The noninformative prior is usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be defined up to a multiplicative constant. Thus, we propose the default Bayesian testing procedures based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factors under the reference priors. Simulation study and an example are provided.

MODIFIED GEOMETRIC DISTRIBUTION OF ORDER k AND ITS APPLICATIONS

  • JUNGTAEK OH;KYEONG EUN LEE
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.709-723
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    • 2024
  • We study the distributions of waiting times in variations of the geometric distribution of order k. Variation imposes length on the runs of successes and failures. We study two types of waiting time random variables. First, we consider the waiting time for a run of k consecutive successes the first time no sequence of consecutive k failures occurs prior, denoted by T(k). Next, we consider the waiting time for a run of k consecutive failures the first time no sequence of k consecutive successes occurred prior, denoted by J(k). In addition, we study the distribution of the weighted average. The exact formulae of the probability mass function, mean, and variance of distributions are also obtained.

Noninformative Priors for the Difference of Two Quantiles in Exponential Models

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.431-442
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors when the parameter of interest is the difference between quantiles of two exponential distributions. We want to develop the first and second order probability matching priors. But we prove that the second order probability matching prior does not exist. It turns out that Jeffreys' prior does not satisfy the first order matching criterion. The Bayesian credible intervals based on the first order probability matching prior meet the frequentist target coverage probabilities much better than the frequentist intervals of Jeffreys' prior. Some simulation and real example will be given.

Bayesian Analysis for the Error Variance in a Two-Way Mixed-Effects ANOVA Model Using Noninformative Priors (무정보 사전분포를 이용한 이원배치 혼합효과 분산분석모형에서 오차분산에 대한 베이지안 분석)

  • 장인홍;김병휘
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.405-414
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    • 2002
  • We consider the problem of estimating the error variance of in a two-way mixed-effects ANOVA model using noninformative priors. First, we derive Jeffreys' prior, a reference prior, and matching priors. We then provide marginal posterior distributions under those noninformative priors. Finally, we provide graphs of marginal posterior densities of the error variance and credible intervals for the error variance in two real data set and compare these credible intervals.

A Comparative Study of the Effects of Gibbs Smoothing Priors in Bayesian Tomographic Reconstruction (Bayesian Tomographic 재구성에 있어서 Gibbs Smoothing Priors의 효과에 대한 비교연구)

  • Lee, S.J.
    • Proceedings of the KOSOMBE Conference
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    • v.1997 no.05
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    • pp.279-282
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    • 1997
  • Bayesian reconstruction methods for emission computed tomography have been a topic of interest in recent years, partly because they allow for the introduction of prior information into the reconstruction problem. Early formulations incorporated priors that imposed simple spatial smoothness constraints on the underlying object using Gibbs priors in the form of four-nearest or eight-nearest neighbors. While these types of priors, known as "membrane" priors, are useful as stabilizers in otherwise unstable ML-EM reconstructions, more sophisticated prior models are needed to model underlying source distributions more accurately. In this work, we investigate whether the "thin plate" model has advantages over the simple Gibbs smoothing priors mentioned above. To test and compare quantitative performance of the reconstruction algorithms, we use Monte Carlo noise trials and calculate bias and variance images of reconstruction estimates. The conclusion is that the thin plate prior outperforms the membrane prior in terms of bias and variance.

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A Review on the Analysis of Life Data Based on Bayesian Method: 2000~2016 (베이지안 기법에 기반한 수명자료 분석에 관한 문헌 연구: 2000~2016)

  • Won, Dong-Yeon;Lim, Jun Hyoung;Sim, Hyun Su;Sung, Si-il;Lim, Heonsang;Kim, Yong Soo
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.213-223
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to arrange the life data analysis literatures based on the Bayesian method quantitatively and provide it as tables. Methods: The Bayesian method produces a more accurate estimates of other traditional methods in a small sample size, and it requires specific algorithm and prior information. Based on these three characteristics of the Bayesian method, the criteria for classifying the literature were taken into account. Results: In many studies, there are comparisons of estimation methods for the Bayesian method and maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), and sample size was greater than 10 and not more than 25. In probability distributions, a variety of distributions were found in addition to the distributions of Weibull commonly used in life data analysis, and MCMC and Lindley's Approximation were used evenly. Finally, Gamma, Uniform, Jeffrey and extension of Jeffrey distributions were evenly used as prior information. Conclusion: To verify the characteristics of the Bayesian method which are more superior to other methods in a smaller sample size, studies in less than 10 samples should be carried out. Also, comparative study is required by various distributions, thereby providing guidelines necessary.