• Title/Summary/Keyword: Jeffreys prior

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Noninformative priors for stress-strength reliability in the Pareto distributions

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.115-123
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for stress-strength reliability from the Pareto distributions. We develop the matching priors and the reference priors. It turns out that the second order matching prior does not match the alternative coverage probabilities, and is not a highest posterior density matching or a cumelative distribution function matching priors. Also we reveal that the one-at-a-time reference prior and Jeffreys' prior are the second order matching prior. We show that the proposed reference prior matches the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense through simulation study, and an example is given.

Noninformative priors for common scale parameter in the regular Pareto distributions

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Kim, Yong-Ku
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.353-363
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we introduce the noninformative priors such as the matching priors and the reference priors for the common scale parameter in the Pareto distributions. It turns out that the posterior distribution under the reference priors is not proper, and Jeffreys' prior is not a matching prior. It is shown that the proposed first order prior matches the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense through simulation study.

An objective Bayesian analysis for multiple step stress accelerated life tests

  • Kim, Dal-Ho;Kang, Sang-Gil;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.601-614
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    • 2009
  • This paper derives noninformative priors for scale parameter of exponential distribution when the data are collected in multiple step stress accelerated life tests. We nd the objective priors for this model and show that the reference prior satisfies first order matching criterion. Also, we show that there exists no second order matching prior. Some simulation results are given and using artificial data, we perform Bayesian analysis for proposed priors.

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Radiological Risk Assessment for the Public Under the Loss of Medium and Large Sources Using Bayesian Methodology (베이지안 기법에 의거한 중대형 방사선원의 분실 시 일반인에 대한 방사선 위험도의 평가)

  • Kim, Joo-Yeon;Jang, Han-Ki;Lee, Jai-Ki
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.91-97
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    • 2005
  • Bayesian methodology is appropriated for use in PRA because subjective knowledges as well as objective data are applied to assessment. In this study, radiological risk based on Bayesian methodology is assessed for the loss of source in field radiography. The exposure scenario for the lost source presented in U.S. NRC is reconstructed by considering the domestic situation and Bayes theorem is applied to updating of failure probabilities of safety functions. In case of updating of failure probabilities, it shows that 5 % Bayes credible intervals using Jeffreys prior distribution are lower than ones using vague prior distribution. It is noted that Jeffreys prior distribution is appropriated in risk assessment for systems having very low failure probabilities. And, it shows that the mean of the expected annual dose for the public based on Bayesian methodology is higher than the dose based on classical methodology because the means of the updated probabilities are higher than classical probabilities. The database for radiological risk assessment are sparse in domestic. It summarizes that Bayesian methodology can be applied as an useful alternative lot risk assessment and the study on risk assessment will be contributed to risk-informed regulation in the field of radiation safety.

Bayesian Hypothesis Testing for Homogeneity of the Shape Parameters in the Gamma Populations

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.1191-1203
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we consider the hypothesis testing for the homogeneity of the shape parameters in the gamma distributions. The noninformative priors such as Jeffreys# prior or reference prior are usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be defined up to a multiplicative constant. So we propose the objective Bayesian testing procedure for the homogeneity of the shape parameters based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factor under the reference prior. Simulation study and a real data example are provided.

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Noninformative Priors in Freund's Bivariate Exponential Distribution : Symmetry Case

  • Cho, Jang-Sik;Baek, Sung-Uk;Kim, Hee-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.235-242
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, we develop noninformative priors that are used for estimating the ratio of failure rates under Freund's bivariate exponential distribution. A class of priors is found by matching the coverage probabilities of one-sided Baysian credible interval with the corresponding frequentist coverage probabilities. Also the propriety of posterior under the noninformative priors is proved and the frequentist coverage probabilities are investigated for small samples via simulation study.

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Noninformative Priors for Fieller-Creasy Problem using Unbalanced Data

  • Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong;Kang, Sang-Gil
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.71-84
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    • 2005
  • The Fieller-Creasy problem involves statistical inference about the ratio of two independent normal means. It is difficult problem from either a frequentist or a likelihood perspective. As an alternatives, a Bayesian analysis with noninformative priors may provide a solution to this problem. In this paper, we extend the results of Yin and Ghosh (2001) to unbalanced sample case. We find various noninformative priors such as first and second order matching priors, reference and Jeffreys' priors. The posterior propriety under the proposed noninformative priors will be given. Using real data, we provide illustrative examples. Through simulation study, we compute the frequentist coverage probabilities for probability matching and reference priors. Some simulation results will be given.

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A Bayesian Criterion for a Multiple test of Two Multivariate Normal Populations

  • Kim, Hae-Jung;Son, Young-Sook
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.97-107
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    • 2001
  • A simultaneous test criterion for multiple hypotheses concerning comparison of two multivariate normal populations is considered by using the so called Bayes factor method. Fully parametric frequentist approach for the test is not available and thus Bayesian criterion is pursued using a Bayes factor that eliminates its arbitrariness problem induced by improper priors. Specifically, the fractional Bayes factor (FBF) by O'Hagan (1995) is used to derive the criterion. Necessary theories involved in the derivation an computation of the criterion are provided. Finally, an illustrative simulation study is given to show the properties of the criterion.

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A Kullback-Leibler divergence based comparison of approximate Bayesian estimations of ARMA models

  • Amin, Ayman A
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.471-486
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    • 2022
  • Autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models involve nonlinearity in the model coefficients because of unobserved lagged errors, which complicates the likelihood function and makes the posterior density analytically intractable. In order to overcome this problem of posterior analysis, some approximation methods have been proposed in literature. In this paper we first review the main analytic approximations proposed to approximate the posterior density of ARMA models to be analytically tractable, which include Newbold, Zellner-Reynolds, and Broemeling-Shaarawy approximations. We then use the Kullback-Leibler divergence to study the relation between these three analytic approximations and to measure the distance between their derived approximate posteriors for ARMA models. In addition, we evaluate the impact of the approximate posteriors distance in Bayesian estimates of mean and precision of the model coefficients by generating a large number of Monte Carlo simulations from the approximate posteriors. Simulation study results show that the approximate posteriors of Newbold and Zellner-Reynolds are very close to each other, and their estimates have higher precision compared to those of Broemeling-Shaarawy approximation. Same results are obtained from the application to real-world time series datasets.

Developing Noninformative Priors for the Common Mean of Several Normal Populations

  • Kim, Yeong-Hwa;Sohn, Eun-Seon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.59-74
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    • 2004
  • The paper considers the Bayesian interval estimation for the common mean of several normal populations. A Bayesian procedure is proposed based on the idea of matching asymptotically the coverage probabilities of Bayesian credible intervals with their frequentist counterparts. Several frequentist procedures based on pivots and P-values are introduced and compared with Bayesian procedure through simulation study. Both simulation results demonstrate that the Bayesian procedure performs as well or better than any available frequentist procedure even from a frequentist perspective.

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