• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제18권6호
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• pp.733-739
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• 2011

The linear absolute shrinkage and selection operator(Lasso) method improves the low prediction accuracy and poor interpretation of the ordinary least squares(OLS) estimate through the use of $L_1$ regularization on the regression coefficients. However, the Lasso is not robust to outliers, because the Lasso method minimizes the sum of squared residual errors. Even though the least absolute deviation(LAD) estimator is an alternative to the OLS estimate, it is sensitive to leverage points. We propose a robust Lasso estimator that is not sensitive to outliers, heavy-tailed errors or leverage points.

• 한국음향학회지
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• 제15권4호
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• pp.93-97
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• 1996

완전최소자승법(total least squares method, TLS) Ax${\simeq}$b와 같은 형태의 시스템 식을 푸는데 있어 데이터 행렬 A와 b에 잡음비 섞인 경우에 편이 되지 않은 해를 구하기 위하여 널리 이용된다. 그러나 임펄수성의 잡음과 같은 heavy tailed 확률분포를 갖는 잡음이 존재할 때 완전 최소자승법은 unbiased estimator이지만 최소자승법(least squares, LS)과 마찬가지로 경인하지 못한 성능을 보인다. 본 논문에서는 TLS 방법의 견인성에 대하여 논하고 완전최소자승법의 해의 특성을 기반으로 하여 견인한 완전최소자승법(robust TLS, ROTLS)을 제안한다. 또한 ROTLS 방법을 시스템식별문제에 적용하여 그 성능을 평가한다.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제33권2호
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• pp.149-157
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• 2004

The stationarity is one of the most important properties of a time series. We propose robust sign tests for seasonal autoregressive processes to determine whether or not a time series is stationary. The proposed tests are robust to the outliers and the heteroscedastic errors, and they have an exact binomial null distribution regardless of the period of seasonality and types of median adjustments. A Monte-Carlo simulation shows that the sign test is locally more powerful than the tests based on ordinary least squares estimator (OLSE) for heavy-tailed and/or heteroscedastic error distributions.

• 한국통계학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국통계학회 2002년도 추계 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.3-9
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• 2002

In financial time series, the autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (ARCH) models have been widely used for modeling conditional variances. In many cases, non-normality or heavy-tailed distributions of the data have influenced the estimation methods under normality assumption. To solve this problem, a robust function for the conditional variances of the errors is proposed and compared the relative efficiencies of the estimators with other conventional models.

• 한국통계학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국통계학회 2003년도 춘계 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.281-286
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• 2003

The stationarity is one of the most important properties of a time series. We propose robust sign tests for seasonal autoregressive process to determine whether or not a time series is stationary. The tests have an exact binomial null distribution and are robust to the outliers and the heteroscedastic errors. Monte-Carlo simulation shows that the sign test is locally more powerful than the OLSE-based tests for heavy-tailed and/or heteroscedastic error distributions.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제36권3호
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• pp.387-395
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• 2007

We propose a doubly robustified estimating function for the estimation of parameters in the context of ARCH models. We investigate asymptotic properties of estimators obtained as solutions of robust estimating equations. A simulation study shows that robust estimator from specified doubly robustified estimating equation provides better performance than conventional robust estimators especially under heavy-tailed distributions of innovation errors.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제36권1호
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• pp.149-156
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• 2007

This study suggests a new method for testing seasonal unit roots in a momentum threshold autoregressive (MTAR) process. This sign test is robust against heteroscedastic or heavy tailed errors and is invariant to monotone data transformation. The proposed test is a seasonal extension of the sign test of Park and Shin (2006). In the case of partial seasonal unit root in an MTAR model, a Monte-Carlo study shows that the proposed test has better power than the seasonal sign test developed for AR model.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제15권2호
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• pp.441-447
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• 2004

Li and Mak (1994) developed a test statistic for detecting the non-linearity and the heteroscedasticity of the time series data. But it is well known that the test statistic may be very sensitive in case of heavy-tailed distributions of the errors. Jiang et al.(2001) suggested the robust method for ARCH models but the calculation procedures for the estimation are very complicated. We suggested the robust method based on Huber's function and our method works quite well rater than the Li and Mak(1994). Also our method is relatively easy to calculate the test statistic.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제16권1호
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• pp.33-40
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• 2005

The estimating function method was proposed by Godambe(1985) for parameter estimation under unknown distributions for errors in the models. Threshold Autoregressive Heteroscedastic (Threshold-ARCH) models have been developed by Zakoian(1994) and Li and Li(1996) for explaining the asymmetric properties in the financial time series data. In this paper, we apply the estimating function method to the Threshold-ARCH model and show that the proposed estimators perform better than the MLE under the heavy-tailed distributions.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제19권1호
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• pp.177-182
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• 2012

A structural break in the level as well as in the innovation variance has often been exhibited in economic time series. In this paper we propose robust unit root tests based on a sign-type test statistic when a time series has a shift in its level and the corresponding volatility. The proposed tests are robust to a wide class of partially stationary processes with heavy-tailed errors, and have an exact binomial null distribution. Our tests are not affected by the size or location of the break. We set the structural break under the null and the alternative hypotheses to relieve a possible vagueness in interpreting test results in empirical work. The null hypothesis implies a unit root process with level shifts and the alternative connotes a stationary process with level shifts. The Monte Carlo simulation shows that our tests have stable size than the OLSE based tests.