• Title/Summary/Keyword: Heavy-tailed errors

Search Result 15, Processing Time 0.018 seconds

Weighted Least Absolute Deviation Lasso Estimator

  • Jung, Kang-Mo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.18 no.6
    • /
    • pp.733-739
    • /
    • 2011
  • The linear absolute shrinkage and selection operator(Lasso) method improves the low prediction accuracy and poor interpretation of the ordinary least squares(OLS) estimate through the use of $L_1$ regularization on the regression coefficients. However, the Lasso is not robust to outliers, because the Lasso method minimizes the sum of squared residual errors. Even though the least absolute deviation(LAD) estimator is an alternative to the OLS estimate, it is sensitive to leverage points. We propose a robust Lasso estimator that is not sensitive to outliers, heavy-tailed errors or leverage points.

Robust Total Least Squares Method and its Applications to System Identifications (견인한 완전최소자승법과 시스템 식별에의 적용)

  • Kim, Jin-Young;Choi, Seung-Ho
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.15 no.4
    • /
    • pp.93-97
    • /
    • 1996
  • The Total Least Squares(TLS) method is an unbiased estimator for solving overdetermined sets of linear equations Ax${\simeq}$b when errors occur in all data. However, as well as Least Squares(LS) method it doesn't show robustness while the errors have a heavy tailed probability density function. In this paper we proposed a robust method of TLS (Robust TLS, ROTLS) based on the characteristics of TLS solution. And the ROTLS is verified by applying it to system identification problems.

  • PDF

ROBUST UNIT ROOT TESTS FOR SEASONAL AUTOREGRESSIVE PROCESS

  • Oh, Yu-Jin;So, Beong-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
    • /
    • v.33 no.2
    • /
    • pp.149-157
    • /
    • 2004
  • The stationarity is one of the most important properties of a time series. We propose robust sign tests for seasonal autoregressive processes to determine whether or not a time series is stationary. The proposed tests are robust to the outliers and the heteroscedastic errors, and they have an exact binomial null distribution regardless of the period of seasonality and types of median adjustments. A Monte-Carlo simulation shows that the sign test is locally more powerful than the tests based on ordinary least squares estimator (OLSE) for heavy-tailed and/or heteroscedastic error distributions.

A study on Robust Estimation of ARCH models

  • Kim, Sahm-Yeong;Hwang, Sun-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
    • /
    • 2002.11a
    • /
    • pp.3-9
    • /
    • 2002
  • In financial time series, the autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (ARCH) models have been widely used for modeling conditional variances. In many cases, non-normality or heavy-tailed distributions of the data have influenced the estimation methods under normality assumption. To solve this problem, a robust function for the conditional variances of the errors is proposed and compared the relative efficiencies of the estimators with other conventional models.

  • PDF

ROBUST UNIT ROOT TESTS FOR SEASONAL AUTOREGRESSIVE PROCESS

  • Oh, Yu-Jin;So, Beong-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
    • /
    • 2003.05a
    • /
    • pp.281-286
    • /
    • 2003
  • The stationarity is one of the most important properties of a time series. We propose robust sign tests for seasonal autoregressive process to determine whether or not a time series is stationary. The tests have an exact binomial null distribution and are robust to the outliers and the heteroscedastic errors. Monte-Carlo simulation shows that the sign test is locally more powerful than the OLSE-based tests for heavy-tailed and/or heteroscedastic error distributions.

  • PDF

A DOUBLY ROBUSTIFIED ESTIMATING FUNCTION FOR ARCH TIME SERIES MODELS

  • Kim, Sahm;Hwang, S.Y.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
    • /
    • v.36 no.3
    • /
    • pp.387-395
    • /
    • 2007
  • We propose a doubly robustified estimating function for the estimation of parameters in the context of ARCH models. We investigate asymptotic properties of estimators obtained as solutions of robust estimating equations. A simulation study shows that robust estimator from specified doubly robustified estimating equation provides better performance than conventional robust estimators especially under heavy-tailed distributions of innovation errors.

A SIGN TEST FOR UNIT ROOTS IN A SEASONAL MTAR MODEL

  • Shin, Dong-Wan;Park, Sei-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
    • /
    • v.36 no.1
    • /
    • pp.149-156
    • /
    • 2007
  • This study suggests a new method for testing seasonal unit roots in a momentum threshold autoregressive (MTAR) process. This sign test is robust against heteroscedastic or heavy tailed errors and is invariant to monotone data transformation. The proposed test is a seasonal extension of the sign test of Park and Shin (2006). In the case of partial seasonal unit root in an MTAR model, a Monte-Carlo study shows that the proposed test has better power than the seasonal sign test developed for AR model.

A Robust Heteroscadastic Test for ARCH Models

  • Kim, Sahm-Yeong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.15 no.2
    • /
    • pp.441-447
    • /
    • 2004
  • Li and Mak (1994) developed a test statistic for detecting the non-linearity and the heteroscedasticity of the time series data. But it is well known that the test statistic may be very sensitive in case of heavy-tailed distributions of the errors. Jiang et al.(2001) suggested the robust method for ARCH models but the calculation procedures for the estimation are very complicated. We suggested the robust method based on Huber's function and our method works quite well rater than the Li and Mak(1994). Also our method is relatively easy to calculate the test statistic.

  • PDF

An Estimating Function Approach for Threshold-ARCH Models

  • Kim, Sahm-Yeong;Chong, Tae-Su
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.16 no.1
    • /
    • pp.33-40
    • /
    • 2005
  • The estimating function method was proposed by Godambe(1985) for parameter estimation under unknown distributions for errors in the models. Threshold Autoregressive Heteroscedastic (Threshold-ARCH) models have been developed by Zakoian(1994) and Li and Li(1996) for explaining the asymmetric properties in the financial time series data. In this paper, we apply the estimating function method to the Threshold-ARCH model and show that the proposed estimators perform better than the MLE under the heavy-tailed distributions.

  • PDF

Robust Unit Root Tests with an Innovation Variance Break

  • Oh, Yu-Jin
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.19 no.1
    • /
    • pp.177-182
    • /
    • 2012
  • A structural break in the level as well as in the innovation variance has often been exhibited in economic time series. In this paper we propose robust unit root tests based on a sign-type test statistic when a time series has a shift in its level and the corresponding volatility. The proposed tests are robust to a wide class of partially stationary processes with heavy-tailed errors, and have an exact binomial null distribution. Our tests are not affected by the size or location of the break. We set the structural break under the null and the alternative hypotheses to relieve a possible vagueness in interpreting test results in empirical work. The null hypothesis implies a unit root process with level shifts and the alternative connotes a stationary process with level shifts. The Monte Carlo simulation shows that our tests have stable size than the OLSE based tests.