• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제35권2호
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• pp.115-142
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• 2006

This paper studies the problem of option hedging when the underlying asset price process is a compound Poisson process. By adopting an asymptotic approach to let the security price converge to a continuous process, we find a closed-form hedging strategy that improves the classical Black-Scholes hedging strategy in a quadratic sense. We first show that the scaled Black-scholes hedging error has a limit in law, and that limit is decomposed into a part that can be traded away and a part that is purely unreplicable. The Black-Scholes hedging strategy is then modified by adding the replicable part of its hedging error and by adding the mean-variance hedging strategy to the nonreplicable part. Some results of simulation experiment s are also provided.

• 한국경영과학회지
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• 제32권1호
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• pp.137-146
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• 2007

In this study we consider a CONWIP system studied in Park and Lee [1] in which the processing times at each station follow a Coxian distribution and the demands for the finished products arrive according to a compound Poisson process. The demands that are not satisfied Immediately are either backordered or lost according to the number of demands that exist at their arrival instants. For this system using the results in [1] we develop an approximation method to calculate order based performance measures such as the mean time of fulfilling a customer order and the mean number of customer orders. To test the accuracy of the approximation method, the results obtained from the approximation method are compared with those obtained by simulation. Comparisons with simulation have shown that the approximate method provides fairly good results.

• 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국경영과학회 2004년도 추계학술대회 및 정기총회
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• pp.8-12
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• 2004

In this study we consider a CONWIP system in which the processing times at each station follow a Coxian distribution and the demands for the finished products arrive according to a compound Poisson process. The demands that are not satisfied are backordered according to the number of demands that exist at their arrival instants. For this system we develop an approximation method to calculate order based performance measures such as the mean time of fulfilling a customer order and the mean number o: customer orders. For the analysis of the proposed CONWIP system, we model the CONWIP system as a closed queueing network with a synchronization station and analyze the closed queueing network using a product form approximation method. Numerical tests show that the approximation method provides fairly good estimation of the performance measures of interest.

• 한국통계학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국통계학회 2004년도 학술발표논문집
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• pp.123-128
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• 2004

A finite dam under $P_{\lambda,;,T}^M-policy$ is considered, where the input of water is formed by a Wiener process subject to random jumps arriving according to a Poisson process. Explicit expression is deduced for the stationary distribution of the level of water. And the long-run average cost per unit time is obtained after assigning costs to the changes of release rate, a reward to each unit of output, and a penalty which is a function of the level of water in the reservoir.

• 한국산업융합학회 논문집
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• 제23권6_2호
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• pp.1103-1110
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• 2020

In this study, a segmented model with Upside-Down bathtub shaped failure intensity for a repairable system are proposed under the assumption that the occurrences of the failures of a repairable system follow the Non-Homogeneous Poisson Process. The proposed segmented model is the compound model of S-PLP and LIP (Segmented Power Law Process and Logistic Intensity Process), that fits the separate failure intensity functions on each segment of time interval. The maximum likelihood estimation is used for estimating the parameters of the S-PLP and LIP model. The case study of system A shows that the S-PLP and LIP model fits better than the other models when compared by AICc (Akaike Information Criterion corrected) and MSE (Mean Squared Error). And it also implies that the S-PLP and LIP model can be useful for explaining the failure intensities of similar systems.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제22권5호
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• pp.937-942
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• 2009

본 논문에서는 보험 상품의 잉여금(surplus)을 확률적으로 모형화한 후, 잉여금의 파산 확률과 이의 근사 공식들을 소개한다. 잉여금은 일정한 율(rate)로 들어오는 프리미엄(premium)에 의해 증가한다. 보험금 청구(claim)는 포아송 과정(Poisson process)을 따라 발생하고 보험금 청구가 있을 때마다 잉여금은 임의의 양(random amount) 만큼 줄어든다. 잉여금이 0이하로 떨어지면 파산(ruin)이 발생한다고 한다. 이와 같은 리스크(risk) 모형에서 파산 확률의 이론적 공식은 잘 알려져 있으나, 공식에 n차 공률(convolution)과 무한 합(infinite sum)이 포함되어 있어 실질적인 계산은 불가능하다. 본 논문에서는 잘 알려진 De Vylder의 근사 공식과 지수적인 근사 공식(exponential approximation)을 소개하고, 이들을 일반화한 새로운 근사 공식을 제안한다. 기존 근사 공식과의 수치적 비교를 통해 새로 제안된 근사 공식의 우월성을 보인다.

• 한국경영과학회지
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• 제31권3호
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• pp.63-79
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• 2006

In this study we consider a CONWIP system in which the processing times at each station follow a Coxian distribution and the demands for the finished products arrive according to a compound Poisson process. The demands that are not satisfied immediately are either backordered or lost according to the number of demands that exist at their arrival Instants. For this system we develop an approximation method to calculate performance measures such as steady state probabilities of the number of parts at each station, proportion of lost demands and the mean number of backordered demands. For the analysis of the proposed CONWIP system, we model the CONWIP system as a closed queueing network with a synchronization station and analyze the closed queueing network using a product-form approximation method. A recursive technique is used to solve the subnetwork in the application of the product-form approximation method. To test the accuracy of the approximation method, the results obtained from the approximation method are compared with those obtained by simulation. Comparisons with simulation show that the approximation method provides fairly good results.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제19권39호
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• pp.205-218
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• 1996

본 연구는 써버의 고장을 허용하는 단수써버 Queueing 시스템의 확률적 모델을 제시한 것으로, 써버는 N 제어 정책에 의하여 작동되며, 도착은 Stationary compound poisson에 의하여 이루어지고, 서비스 시간에 대한 분포는 Erlang에 의하여 발생하며, 수리시간에 대한 분포는 평균이 일정한 분포에 의하여 생성되는 경우를 고려하였다. 또한 고장간격 시간은 일정한 평균을 가진 임의의 분포를 가진 Renewal process에 의한다고 가정하였고, 완료 시간의 개념은 재생과정의 적용방법에 의하여 유도할 수 있으며, 시스템 크기의 확율 생성 함수의 값이 구해진다는 것을 제시하였다.

• 한국경영과학회지
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• 제17권3호
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• pp.27-46
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• 1992

This paper considers an (r, Q) policy for operation of a multipurpose facility. It is assumed that whenever the inventory level falls below r, the model starts to produce the fixed amount of Q. The facility can be utilized for extra production during idle periods, that is, when the inventory level is still greater than r right after a main production operation is terminated or an extra production operation is finished. But, whenever the facility is in operation for an extra production, the operation can not be terminated for the main production even though the inventory level falls below r. In the model, the demand for the product is assumed to arrive according to a compound Poisson process and the processing time required to produce a product is assumed to follow an arbitary distribution. Similarly, the orders for the extra production is assumed to accur in a Poisson process are the extra production processing time is assumed to follow an arbitrary distribution. It is further assumed that unsatisfied demands are backordered and the expected comulative amount of demands is less than that of production during each production period. Under a cost structure which includes a setup/ production cost, a linear holding cost, a linear backorder cost, a linear extra production lost sale cost, and a linear extra production profit, an expression for the expected cost per unit time for a given (r, Q) policy is obtained, and using a convex property of the cost function, a procedure to find the optimal (r, Q) policy is presented.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제22권6호
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• pp.1089-1096
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• 2011

본 논문에서는 댐으로 물이 복합 포아송 과정을 따라 유입되고, 댐 수위가 적정수준 ${\lambda}$를 넘어서게 되면 방출률 M으로 물을 방출하는 무한 댐 모형이 고려된다. 한번 내리는 비의 양이 지수분포를 따르는 경우, 정상상태에서 댐 수위의 확률적 성질들을 구한다. 댐 운영과 관리에 관련된 여러 비용을 고려한 후, 장시간에 걸친 단위시간당 평균 비용을 구하고, 이를 최소화하는 방출률 M과 적정수준${\lambda}$가 유일하게 존재함을 보인다. MATLAB을 이용하여 수치적인 결과도 함께 보인다.