• 제목/요약/키워드: statistical models

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Bayesian Parameter :Estimation and Variable Selection in Random Effects Generalised Linear Models for Count Data

  • Oh, Man-Suk;Park, Tae-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.93-107
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    • 2002
  • Random effects generalised linear models are useful for analysing clustered count data in which responses are usually correlated. We propose a Bayesian approach to parameter estimation and variable selection in random effects generalised linear models for count data. A simple Gibbs sampling algorithm for parameter estimation is presented and a simple and efficient variable selection is done by using the Gibbs outputs. An illustrative example is provided.

Efficient Quasi-likelihood Estimation for Nonlinear Time Series Models and Its Application

  • Kim, Sahmyeong;Cha, Kyungyup;Lee, Sungduck
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.101-113
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    • 2003
  • Quasi likelihood estimators defined by Wedderburn are derived for several nonlinear time series models. And also, the least squared estimator and Quasi-likelihood estimator are compared in sense of asymptotic relative efficiency at those models. Finally, we apply these estimations to a real data on exchanging rate and stock market prices.

EFFICIENT ESTIMATION IN SEMIPARAMETRIC RANDOM EFFECT PANEL DATA MODELS WITH AR(p) ERRORS

  • Lee, Young-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.523-542
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    • 2007
  • In this paper we consider semiparametric random effect panel models that contain AR(p) disturbances. We derive the efficient score function and the information bound for estimating the slope parameters. We make minimal assumptions on the distribution of the random errors, effects, and the regressors, and provide semiparametric efficient estimates of the slope parameters. The present paper extends the previous work of Park et al.(2003) where AR(1) errors were considered.

Skewness of Gaussian Mixture Absolute Value GARCH(1, 1) Model

  • Lee, Taewook
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.395-404
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    • 2013
  • This paper studies the skewness of the absolute value GARCH(1, 1) models with Gaussian mixture innovations (Gaussian mixture AVGARCH(1, 1) models). The maximum estimated-likelihood estimator (MELE) employed (a two- step estimation method in order to estimate the skewness of Gaussian mixture AVGARCH(1, 1) models. Through the real data analysis, the adequacy of adopting Gaussian mixture innovations is exhibited in reflecting the skewness of two major Korean stock indices.

Statistical Estimation of Typhoon-Induced Rainfall around Korean Peninsular (한반도의 태풍 동반 강우의 통계적 예측)

  • Ku, Hye-Yun;Lee, Sung-Su;Lee, Young-Kyu
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02a
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    • pp.93-96
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    • 2008
  • Considering the loss due to typhoon is increasing, estimation and analysis of a typhoon's influence has become more important. On this basis, the statistical models were presented in this paper by two principal elements. Comparisons between the estimated rainfall rate of these models and the observed value in the duration of Typhoon NARI(2007) were analyzed to confirm the availability of these models.

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Suppression and Collapsibility for Log-linear Models

  • Sun, Hong-Chong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.519-527
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    • 2004
  • Relationship between the partial likelihood ratio statistics for logisitic models and the partial goodness-of-fit statistics for corresponding log-linear models is discussed. This paper shows how definitions of suppression in logistic model can be adapted for log-linear model and how they are related to confounding in terms of collapsibility for categorical data. Several $2{times}2{times}2$ contingency tables are illustrated.

The Chi-squared Test of Independence for a Multi-way Contingency Table wish All Margins Fixed

  • Park, Cheolyong
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.197-203
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    • 1998
  • To test the hypothesis of complete or total independence for a multi-way contingency table, the Pearson chi-squared test statistic is usually employed under Poisson or multinomial models. It is well known that, under the hypothesis, this statistic follows an asymptotic chi-squared distribution. We consider the case where all marginal sums of the contingency table are fixed. Using conditional limit theorems, we show that the chi-squared test statistic has the same limiting distribution for this case.

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Local Asymptotic Normality for Independent Not Identically Distributed Observations in Semiparametric Models

  • Park, Byeong U.;Jeon, Jong W.;Song, Moon S.;Kim, Woo C.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.85-92
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    • 1991
  • A set of conditions ensuring local asymptotic normality for independent but not necessarily identically distributed observations in semiparametric models is presented here. The conditions are turned out to be more direct and easier to verify than those of Oosterhoff and van Zwet(1979) in semiparametric models. Examples considered include the simple linear regression model and Cox's proportional hazards model without censoring where the covariates are not random.

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A Study on the Comparison of Electricity Forecasting Models: Korea and China

  • Zheng, Xueyan;Kim, Sahm
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.675-683
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    • 2015
  • In the 21st century, we now face the serious problems of the enormous consumption of the energy resources. Depending on the power consumption increases, both China and South Korea face a reduction in available resources. This paper considers the regression models and time-series models to compare the performance of the forecasting accuracy based on Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) in order to forecast the electricity demand accurately on the short-term period (68 months) data in Northeast China and find the relationship with Korea. Among the models the support vector regression (SVR) model shows superior performance than time-series models for the short-term period data and the time-series models show similar results with the SVR model when we use long-term period data.

Random Effects Models for Multivariate Survival Data: Hierarchical-Likelihood Approach

  • Ha Il Do;Lee Youngjo;Song Jae-Kee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.193-200
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    • 2000
  • Modelling the dependence via random effects in censored multivariate survival data has recently received considerable attention in the biomedical literature. The random effects models model not only the conditional survival times but also the conditional hazard rate. Systematic likelihood inference for the models with random effects is possible using Lee and Nelder's (1996) hierarchical-likelihood (h-likelihood). The purpose of this presentation is to introduce Ha et al.'s (2000a,b) inferential methods for the random effects models via the h-likelihood, which provide a conceptually simple, numerically efficient and reliable inferential procedures.

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