• 제목/요약/키워드: likelihood interval

검색결과 194건 처리시간 0.028초

A visualizing method for investigating individual frailties using frailtyHL R-package

  • Ha, Il Do;Noh, Maengseok
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.931-940
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    • 2013
  • For analysis of clustered survival data, the inferences of parameters in semi-parametric frailty models have been widely studied. It is also important to investigate the potential heterogeneity in event times among clusters (e.g. centers, patients). For purpose of this analysis, the interval estimation of frailty is useful. In this paper we propose a visualizing method to present confidence intervals of individual frailties across clusters using the frailtyHL R-package, which is implemented from h-likelihood methods for frailty models. The proposed method is demonstrated using two practical examples.

Effects of ILFs on DRAM algorithm in SURR model uncertainty evaluation caused by interpolated rainfall using different methods

  • Nguyen, Thi Duyen;Nguyen, Duc Hai;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2022년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.137-137
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    • 2022
  • Evaluating interpolated rainfall uncertainty of hydrological models caused by different interpolation methods for basins where can not fully collect rainfall data are necessary. In this study, the adaptive MCMC method under effects of ILFs was used to analyze the interpolated rainfall uncertainty of the SURR model for Gunnam basin, Korea. Three events were used to calibrate and one event was used to validate the posterior distributions of unknown parameters. In this work, the performance of four ILFs on uncertainty of interpolated rainfall was assessed. The indicators of p_factor (percentage of observed streamflow included in the uncertainty interval) and r_factor (the average width of the uncertainty interval) were used to evaluate the uncertainty of the simulated streamflow. The results showed that the uncertainty bounds illustrated the slight differences from various ILFs. The study confirmed the importance of the likelihood function selection in the application the adaptive Bayesian MCMC method to the uncertainty assessment of the SURR model caused by interpolated rainfall.

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MPE-LPC음성합성에서 Maximum- Likelihood Estimation에 의한 Multi-Pulse의 크기와 위치 추정 (Multi-Pulse Amplitude and Location Estimation by Maximum-Likelihood Estimation in MPE-LPC Speech Synthesis)

  • 이기용;최홍섭;안수길
    • 대한전자공학회논문지
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    • 제26권9호
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    • pp.1436-1443
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    • 1989
  • In this paper, we propose a maximum-likelihood estimation(MLE) method to obtain the location and the amplitude of the pulses in MPE( multi-pulse excitation)-LPC speech synthesis using multi-pulses as excitation source. This MLE method computes the value maximizing the likelihood function with respect to unknown parameters(amplitude and position of the pulses) for the observed data sequence. Thus in the case of overlapped pulses, the method is equivalent to Ozawa's crosscorrelation method, resulting in equal amount of computation and sound quality with the cross-correlation method. We show by computer simulation: the multi-pulses obtained by MLE method are(1) pseudo-periodic in pitch in the case of voicde sound, (2) the pulses are random for unvoiced sound, (3) the pulses change from random to periodic in the interval where the original speech signal changes from unvoiced to voiced. Short time power specta of original speech and syunthesized speech obtained by using multi-pulses as excitation source are quite similar to each other at the formants.

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Bayesian Inference of the Stochastic Gompertz Growth Model for Tumor Growth

  • Paek, Jayeong;Choi, Ilsu
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제21권6호
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    • pp.521-528
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    • 2014
  • A stochastic Gompertz diffusion model for tumor growth is a topic of active interest as cancer is a leading cause of death in Korea. The direct maximum likelihood estimation of stochastic differential equations would be possible based on the continuous path likelihood on condition that a continuous sample path of the process is recorded over the interval. This likelihood is useful in providing a basis for the so-called continuous record or infill likelihood function and infill asymptotic. In practice, we do not have fully continuous data except a few special cases. As a result, the exact ML method is not applicable. In this paper we proposed a method of parameter estimation of stochastic Gompertz differential equation via Markov chain Monte Carlo methods that is applicable for several data structures. We compared a Markov transition data structure with a data structure that have an initial point.

Comparative analysis of Bayesian and maximum likelihood estimators in change point problems with Poisson process

  • Kitabo, Cheru Atsmegiorgis;Kim, Jong Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.261-269
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    • 2015
  • Nowadays the application of change point analysis has been indispensable in a wide range of areas such as quality control, finance, environmetrics, medicine, geographics, and engineering. Identification of times where process changes would help minimize the consequences that might happen afterwards. The main objective of this paper is to compare the change-point detection capabilities of Bayesian estimate and maximum likelihood estimate. We applied Bayesian and maximum likelihood techniques to formulate change points having a step change and multiple number of change points in a Poisson rate. After a signal from c-chart and Poisson cumulative sum control charts have been detected, Monte Carlo simulation has been applied to investigate the performance of Bayesian and maximum likelihood estimation. Change point detection capacities of Bayesian and maximum likelihood estimation techniques have been investigated through simulation. It has been found that the Bayesian estimates outperforms standard control charts well specially when there exists a small to medium size of step change. Moreover, it performs convincingly well in comparison with the maximum like-lihood estimator and remains good choice specially in confidence interval statistical inference.

The Role of Artificial Observations in Testing for the Difference of Proportions in Misclassified Binary Data

  • Lee, Seung-Chun
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.513-520
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    • 2012
  • An Agresti-Coull type test is considered for the difference of binomial proportions in two doubly sampled data subject to false-positive error. The performance of the test is compared with the likelihood-based tests. It is shown that the Agresti-Coull test has many desirable properties in that it can approximate the nominal significance level with compatible power performance.

Three level constant stress accelerated life tests for Weibull distribution

  • Moon, Gyoung Ae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.281-288
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, the maximum likelihood estimators and confidence intervals for parameters of Weibull distribution are derived under three level constant stress accelerated life tests and the assumption that a log quadratic relationship exits between stress and the scale parameter ${\theta}$. The compound linear plan proposed by Kim (2006) is used to allocate the test units at each stress level, which performed nearly as good as the optimum quadratic plan and had the advantage of simplicity. Some simulation studies are given.

Reliability for Series System in Bivariate Weibull Model under Bivariate Type I Censorship

  • Cho, Jang-Sik;Cho, Kil-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.571-578
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we consider two components system which have bivariate weibull model with bivariate type I censored data. We proposed maximum likelihood estimator and relative frequency estimator for the reliability of series system. Also, we construct approximate confidence intervals for the reliability based on the two proposed estimators. And we present a numerical study.

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Parameters Estimators for the Generalized Exponential Distribution

  • Abuammoh, A.;Sarhan, A.M.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.17-25
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    • 2007
  • Maximum likelihood method is utilized to estimate the two parameters of generalized exponential distribution based on grouped and censored data. This method does not give closed form for the estimates, thus numerical procedure is used. Reliability measures for the generalized exponential distribution are calculated. Testing the goodness of fit for the exponential distribution against the generalized exponential distribution is discussed. Relevant reliability measures of the generalized exponential distributions are also evaluated. A set of real data is employed to illustrate the results given in this paper.

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THE LENGTH-BIASED POWERED INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION WITH APPLICATIONS

  • MUSTAFA, ABDELFATTAH;KHAN, M.I.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • 제40권1_2호
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2022
  • This article introduces a new distribution called length-biased powered inverse Rayleigh distribution. Some of its statistical properties are derived. Maximum likelihood procedure is applied to report the point and interval estimations of all model parameters. The proposed distribution is also applied to two real data sets for illustrative purposes.