• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제8권10호
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• pp.239-247
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• 2021

Central Bank authorities should carefully manage inflation rate uncertainties to achieve economic growth and development not only in the short-run but also in the long-run. Since inflation is a key macroeconomic variable, an increased understanding about its behavior is undoubtedly important. Thus, paper employs unit root with breakpoints to examine the mean reverting behavior of inflation rate in the Philippines using monthly data from 2002 to 2020. Empirically, the unit root breakpoint innovational and additive outlier tests favor the stationarity or mean reverting behavior of inflation in the Philippines. Also, results of standard unit root tests, ADF, PP, GLS-Dickey-Fuller, KPSS and NP, provide strong evidence of mean reverting processes. The mean reverting behavior of inflation rate reveals that the monetary policy using inflation targeting framework has succeeded in reducing chronic inflation persistence in the Philippines. Thus, this research supports inflation targeting policy that aims to maintain general price level stability for the Philippine economy's long-term growth and development prospects. The findings of this research remain important for the central bankers for not only providing them better understanding about the behavior of inflation rate, but also helping them formulate and implement policy reforms related to money, credit and banking.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제23권1호
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• pp.73-79
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• 2010

Missing values for unit root processes are imputed by the most recent observations. Treating the imputed observations as if they are complete ones, semiparametric unit root tests are extended to missing value situations. Also, an invariance principle for the partial sum process of the imputed observations is established under some mild conditions, which shows that the extended tests have the same limiting null distributions as those based on complete observations. The proposed tests are illustrated by analyzing an unequally spaced real data set.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제24권1호
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• pp.11-23
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• 2011

Robust unit root tests are developed for dynamic panels consisting of TAR processes. The test statistics are all based on diverse combinations of individual t-type tests for significance of TAR coefficients. Limiting null distributions are established. A Monte-Carlo experiment compares the proposed tests. The tests are applied to a panel data set of Canadian unemployment rates which show asymmetric features as well as having outliers.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제11권2호
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• pp.323-327
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• 2004

In this paper, we investigate the limiting distribution of the Ljung-Box test statistic in the unit root AR models with ARCH errors. We show that the limiting distribution is approximately chi-square distribution with the degrees of freedom only depending on the number of autocorrelation lags appearing in the test. Some simulation results are provided for illustration.

• 충청수학회지
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• 제23권4호
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• pp.625-628
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• 2010

The purpose of this paper is to show that there exists a unit whose p-th root generates the first layer of anti-cyclotomic ${\mathbb{Z}}_p$-extension of certain imaginary quadratic number fields.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제26권3호
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• pp.397-405
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• 1997

Recently maximum likelihood estimators using unconditional likelihood function are used for testing unit roots. When one wants to use this method the determinant term of initial values in the multivariate unconditional likelihood function produces a complicated function of the elements in the coefficient matrix and variance matrix. In this paper an approximation of the determinant term is calculated and based on this aproximation an approximated unconditional likelihood function is calculated. The approximated unconditional maximum likelihood estimators can be used to test for unit roots. When multivariate process has one unit root the limiting distribution obtained by this method and the limiting distribution using exact unconditional likelihood function are the same.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제22권2호
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• pp.271-282
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• 1993

Unit root test for temporally aggregated first order autoregressive process is considered. The temporal aggregate of fist order autoregression is an autoregressive moving average of order (1,1) with moving average parameter being function of the autoregressive parameter. One-step Gauss-Newton estimators are proposed and are shown to have the same limiting distribution as the ordinary least squares estimator for unit root when complete observations are available. A Monte-Carlo simulation shows that the temporal aggregation have no effect on the size. The power of the suggested test are nearly the same as the powers of the test based on complete observations.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제19권1호
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• pp.177-182
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• 2012

A structural break in the level as well as in the innovation variance has often been exhibited in economic time series. In this paper we propose robust unit root tests based on a sign-type test statistic when a time series has a shift in its level and the corresponding volatility. The proposed tests are robust to a wide class of partially stationary processes with heavy-tailed errors, and have an exact binomial null distribution. Our tests are not affected by the size or location of the break. We set the structural break under the null and the alternative hypotheses to relieve a possible vagueness in interpreting test results in empirical work. The null hypothesis implies a unit root process with level shifts and the alternative connotes a stationary process with level shifts. The Monte Carlo simulation shows that our tests have stable size than the OLSE based tests.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제26권2호
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• pp.171-180
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• 1997

Effects of order misspecification on statistical behavior of unit root tests are studied. We derive the limiting distributions of the Dickey-Fuller test statistics whose numerators are of the form c .int. W dW + .kappa. where W is a standard Brownian motion on [0, 1] and c is a real number. The term .kappa. is a major consequence of order misspecification and its explict expression is derived. Based on an analysis of .kappa., effects of order misspecification on unit root tests for AR(2), ARMA(1, 1), and AR(3) models are investigated.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제36권1호
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• pp.149-156
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• 2007

This study suggests a new method for testing seasonal unit roots in a momentum threshold autoregressive (MTAR) process. This sign test is robust against heteroscedastic or heavy tailed errors and is invariant to monotone data transformation. The proposed test is a seasonal extension of the sign test of Park and Shin (2006). In the case of partial seasonal unit root in an MTAR model, a Monte-Carlo study shows that the proposed test has better power than the seasonal sign test developed for AR model.