• 대한수학회보
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• 제40권4호
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• pp.663-669
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• 2003

This paper investigates the tail asymptotic behavior of the severity of ruin (the deficit at ruin) in the renewal model. Under the assumption that the tail probability of the claimsize is dominatedly varying, a uniform asymptotic formula for the tail probability of the deficit at ruin is obtained.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.483-491
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• 2010

This study provides the explicit computation of the ruin probability of a Le￠vy process on finite time horizon in Theorem 1 with the help of a fluctuation identity. This paper also gives the numerical results of the ruin probability in Variance Gamma(VG) and Normal Inverse Gaussian(NIG) models as illustrations. Besides, the paths of VG and NIG processes are simulated using the same parameter values as in Madan et al. (1998).

• Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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• 제27권5_6호
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• pp.1033-1047
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• 2009

In this paper, we consider a m-type risk model with Markov-modulated premium rate. A integral equation for the conditional ruin probability is obtained. A recursive inequality for the ruin probability with the stationary initial distribution and the upper bound for the ruin probability with no initial reserve are given. A system of Laplace transforms of non-ruin probabilities, given the initial environment state, is established from a system of integro-differential equations. In the two-state model, explicit formulas for non-ruin probabilities are obtained when the initial reserve is zero or when both claim size distributions belong to the $K_n$-family, n $\in$ $N^+$ One example is given with claim sizes that have exponential distributions.

• 대한수학회보
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• 제50권2호
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• pp.611-626
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• 2013

In the paper we study the finite-time ruin probability in a general risk model with constant interest force, in which the claim sizes are pairwise quasi-asymptotically independent and arrive according to an arbitrary counting process, and the premium process is a general stochastic process. For the case that the claim-size distribution belongs to the consistent variation class, we obtain an asymptotic formula for the finite-time ruin probability, which holds uniformly for all time horizons varying in a relevant infinite interval. The obtained result also includes an asymptotic formula for the infinite-time ruin probability.

• 한국경영과학회지
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• 제40권3호
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• pp.39-48
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• 2015

Even though ruin probability is a fundamental value to determine the insurance premium and policy, the complexity involved in computing its exact value forced us resort to an approximate method. In this paper, we first present an exact method to compute ruin probability under the assumption that the claim size has a GPH distribution, Then, for the arbitrary claim size distribution, we provide a method computing ruin probability quite accurately by approximating the distribution as a GPH. The validity of the proposed method demonstrated by a numerical example. The GPH approach seems to be valid for heavy-tailed claims as well as usual light-tailed claims.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제22권1호
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• pp.95-103
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• 2015

We introduce a surplus process which follows a diffusion process with positive drift and is subject to two types of claim. We assume that type I claim occurs more frequently, however, its size is stochastically smaller than type II claim. We obtain the ruin probability that the level of the surplus becomes negative, and then, decompose the ruin probability into three parts, two ruin probabilities caused by each type of claim and the probability that the level of the surplus becomes negative naturally due to the diffusion process. Finally, we illustrate a numerical example, when the sizes of both types of claim are exponentially distributed, to compare the impacts of two types of claim on the ruin probability of the surplus along with that of the diffusion process.

• 대한수학회지
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• 제51권4호
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• pp.735-749
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• 2014

This paper studies the asymptotic behavior of the finite-time ruin probability in a jump-diffusion risk model with constant force of interest, upper tail asymptotically independent claims and a general counting arrival process. Particularly, if the claim inter-arrival times follow a certain dependence structure, the obtained result also covers the case of the infinite-time ruin probability.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제22권5호
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• pp.937-942
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• 2009

본 논문에서는 보험 상품의 잉여금(surplus)을 확률적으로 모형화한 후, 잉여금의 파산 확률과 이의 근사 공식들을 소개한다. 잉여금은 일정한 율(rate)로 들어오는 프리미엄(premium)에 의해 증가한다. 보험금 청구(claim)는 포아송 과정(Poisson process)을 따라 발생하고 보험금 청구가 있을 때마다 잉여금은 임의의 양(random amount) 만큼 줄어든다. 잉여금이 0이하로 떨어지면 파산(ruin)이 발생한다고 한다. 이와 같은 리스크(risk) 모형에서 파산 확률의 이론적 공식은 잘 알려져 있으나, 공식에 n차 공률(convolution)과 무한 합(infinite sum)이 포함되어 있어 실질적인 계산은 불가능하다. 본 논문에서는 잘 알려진 De Vylder의 근사 공식과 지수적인 근사 공식(exponential approximation)을 소개하고, 이들을 일반화한 새로운 근사 공식을 제안한다. 기존 근사 공식과의 수치적 비교를 통해 새로 제안된 근사 공식의 우월성을 보인다.

• Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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• 제26권1_2호
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• pp.191-201
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• 2008

In this paper, we consider an insurance risk model governed by a compound Binomial arrival claim process and by a compound Binomial arrival premium process. Some formulas for the probabilities of ruin and the distribution of ruin time are given, we also prove the integral equation of the ultimate ruin probability and obtain the Lundberg inequality by the discrete martingale approach.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제25권5호
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• pp.813-820
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• 2012

A surplus process with two types of claims is considered, where Type I claims occur more frequently, however, their sizes are smaller stochastically than Type II claims. The ruin probabilities of the surplus caused by each type of claim are obtained by establishing integro-differential equations for the ruin probabilities. The formulas of the ruin probabilities contain an infinite sum and convolutions that make the formulas hard to be applicable in practice; subsequently, we obtain explicit formulas for the ruin probabilities when the sizes of both types of claims are exponentially distributed. Finally, we show through a numerical example, that Type II claims have more impact on the ruin probability of the surplus than Type I claims.