• Title/Summary/Keyword: Parametric bootstrap

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Bearing fault detection through multiscale wavelet scalogram-based SPC

  • Jung, Uk;Koh, Bong-Hwan
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.377-395
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    • 2014
  • Vibration-based fault detection and condition monitoring of rotating machinery, using statistical process control (SPC) combined with statistical pattern recognition methodology, has been widely investigated by many researchers. In particular, the discrete wavelet transform (DWT) is considered as a powerful tool for feature extraction in detecting fault on rotating machinery. Although DWT significantly reduces the dimensionality of the data, the number of retained wavelet features can still be significantly large. Then, the use of standard multivariate SPC techniques is not advised, because the sample covariance matrix is likely to be singular, so that the common multivariate statistics cannot be calculated. Even though many feature-based SPC methods have been introduced to tackle this deficiency, most methods require a parametric distributional assumption that restricts their feasibility to specific problems of process control, and thus limit their application. This study proposes a nonparametric multivariate control chart method, based on multiscale wavelet scalogram (MWS) features, that overcomes the limitation posed by the parametric assumption in existing SPC methods. The presented approach takes advantage of multi-resolution analysis using DWT, and obtains MWS features with significantly low dimensionality. We calculate Hotelling's $T^2$-type monitoring statistic using MWS, which has enough damage-discrimination ability. A bootstrap approach is used to determine the upper control limit of the monitoring statistic, without any distributional assumption. Numerical simulations demonstrate the performance of the proposed control charting method, under various damage-level scenarios for a bearing system.

Multiple-threshold asymmetric volatility models for financial time series (비대칭 금융 시계열을 위한 다중 임계점 변동성 모형)

  • Lee, Hyo Ryoung;Hwang, Sun Young
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.347-356
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    • 2022
  • This article is concerned with asymmetric volatility models for financial time series. A generalization of standard single-threshold volatility model is discussed via multiple-threshold in which we specialize to twothreshold case for ease of presentation. An empirical illustration is made by analyzing S&P500 data from NYSE (New York Stock Exchange). For comparison measures between competing models, parametric bootstrap method is used to generate forecast distributions from which summary statistics of CP (Coverage Probability) and PE (Prediction Error) are obtained. It is demonstrated that our suggestion is useful in the field of asymmetric volatility analysis.

Flood Frequency Analysis using SIR Algorithm (SIR 알고리즘을 이용한 홍수량 빈도해석에 관한 연구)

  • Moon, Kiho;Kyoung, Minsoo;Kim, Duckgil;Kawk, Jaewon;Kim, Hungsoo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.125-132
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    • 2008
  • Generally, stationary is considered as a basic assumption in frequency analysis. However, rainfall and flood discharge are changing due to the climate change and climate variability. Therefore, there is a new opinion that changing pattern of rainfall and flood discharge must be considered in frequency analysis. This study suggests the flood frequency analysis methodology using SIR algorithm which was developed from bootstrap could be used for considering climate change. Than is, SIR algorithm is selected for resampling method considering changing pattern of flood discharge and it has been used for resampling method with likelihood function. Resampled flood discharge data considering the increase of flood discharge pattern are used for parametric flood frequency analysis and this results are compared with frequency analysis results by Bootstrap and original observations. As the results, SIR algorithm shows the greatest flood discharge than other methods in all frequencies and this may reflect the increasing pattern of flood discharge due to the climate change and climate variability.

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On the Model Selection Criteria in Normal Distributions

  • Chung, Han-Yeong;Lee, Kee-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.93-110
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    • 1992
  • A model selection approach is used to find out whether the mean and the variance of a unique sample are different from the pre-specified values. Normal distribution is selected as an approximating model. Kullback-Leibler discrepancy comes out as a natural measure of discrepancy between the operating model and the approximating model. Several estimates of selection criterion are computed including AIC, TIC, and a coupleof bootstrap estimator of the selection criterion are considered according to the way of resampling. It is shown that a closed form expression is available for the parametric bootstrap estimated cirterion. A Monte Carlo study is provided to give a formal comparison when the operating family itself is normally distributed.

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Parametric inference on step-stress accelerated life testing for the extension of exponential distribution under progressive type-II censoring

  • El-Dina, M.M. Mohie;Abu-Youssef, S.E.;Ali, Nahed S.A.;Abd El-Raheem, A.M.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.269-285
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, a simple step-stress accelerated life test (ALT) under progressive type-II censoring is considered. Progressive type-II censoring and accelerated life testing are provided to decrease the lifetime of testing and lower test expenses. The cumulative exposure model is assumed when the lifetime of test units follows an extension of the exponential distribution. Maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs) and Bayes estimates (BEs) of the model parameters are also obtained. In addition, a real dataset is analyzed to illustrate the proposed procedures. Approximate, bootstrap and credible confidence intervals (CIs) of the estimators are then derived. Finally, the accuracy of the MLEs and BEs for the model parameters is investigated through simulation studies.

Goodness-of-Fit Tests for the Ordinal Response Models with Misspecified Links

  • Jeong, Kwang-Mo;Lee, Hyun-Yung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.697-705
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    • 2009
  • The Pearson chi-squared statistic or the deviance statistic is widely used in assessing the goodness-of-fit of the generalized linear models. But these statistics are not proper in the situation of continuous explanatory variables which results in the sparseness of cell frequencies. We propose a goodness-of-fit test statistic for the cumulative logit models with ordinal responses. We consider the grouping of a dataset based on the ordinal scores obtained by fitting the assumed model. We propose the Pearson chi-squared type test statistic, which is obtained from the cross-classified table formed by the subgroups of ordinal scores and the response categories. Because the limiting distribution of the chi-squared type statistic is intractable we suggest the parametric bootstrap testing procedure to approximate the distribution of the proposed test statistic.

Jacknife and Bootstrap Estimation of the Mean Number of Customers in Service for an $M/G/{\infty}$

  • Park, Dong-Keun
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.68-81
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    • 1986
  • This thesis studies the estimation from interarrival and service time data of the mean number of customers in service at time t for an $M/G/{\infty}$ queue. The assumption is that the parametric form of the service time distribution is unknown and the empirical distribution of twe service time is used in the estimate the mean number of customers in service. In the case in which the customer arrival rate is known the distribution of the estimate is derived and an approximate normal confidence interval procedure is suggested. The use of the nonparametric methods, which are the jackknife and the bootstrap, to estimate variability and construct confidence intervals for the estimate is also studied both analytically and by simulation.

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Bootstrap-Based Fault Identification Method (붓스트랩을 활용한 이상원인변수의 탐지 기법)

  • Kang, Ji-Hoon;Kim, Seoung-Bum
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.234-243
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    • 2011
  • Multivariate control charts are widely used to monitor the performance of a multivariate process over time to maintain control of the process. Although existing multivariate control charts provide control limits to monitor the process and detect any extraordinary events, it is a challenge to identify the causes of an out-of-control alarm when the number of process variables is large. Several fault identification methods have been developed to address this issue. However, these methods require a normality assumption of the process data. In the present study, we propose a bootstrapped-based $T^2$ decomposition technique that does not require any distributional assumption. A simulation study was conducted to examine the properties of the proposed fault identification method under various scenarios and compare it with the existing parametric $T^2$ decomposition method. The simulation results showed that the proposed method produced better results than the existing one, especially in nonnormal situations.

On the Goodness-of-fit Test in Regression Using the Difference Between Nonparametric and Parametric Fits

  • Hong, Chang-Kon;Joo, Jae-Seon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2001
  • This paper discusses choosing the weight function of the Hardle and Mammen statistic in nonparametric goodness-of-fit test for regression curve. For this purpose, we modify the Hardle and Mammen statistic and derive its asymptotic distribution. Some results on the test statistic from the wild bootstrapped sample are also obtained. Through Monte Carlo experiment, we check the validity of these results. Finally, we study the powers of the test and compare with those of the Hardle and Mammen test through the simulation.

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A nonparametric test for parallelism of regression lines against ordered alternatives (회귀직선 기울기의 순서성에 대한 비모수적 검정법)

  • 송문섭;이기훈;김순옥
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.401-408
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    • 1993
  • This paper suggests a nonparametric test for the parallelism of several regression lines against ordered alternatives. The test statistic is an extension of the Potthoff statistic. The asymptotic variance of the proposed statistic is estimated by Bootstrap method. The proposed test are compared with the Adichie's parametric and nonparametric tests.

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