• 제목/요약/키워드: Method of Maximum Likelihood

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Maximum Likelihood Estimation Using Laplace Approximation in Poisson GLMMs

  • Ha, Il-Do
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제16권6호
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    • pp.971-978
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    • 2009
  • Poisson generalized linear mixed models(GLMMs) have been widely used for the analysis of clustered or correlated count data. For the inference marginal likelihood, which is obtained by integrating out random effects is often used. It gives maximum likelihood(ML) estimator, but the integration is usually intractable. In this paper, we propose how to obtain the ML estimator via Laplace approximation based on hierarchical-likelihood (h-likelihood) approach under the Poisson GLMMs. In particular, the h-likelihood avoids the integration itself and gives a statistically efficient procedure for various random-effect models including GLMMs. The proposed method is illustrated using two practical examples and simulation studies.

일반화 지수분포를 따르는 제 1종 구간 중도절단표본에서 모수 추정 (Estimation for the generalized exponential distribution under progressive type I interval censoring)

  • 조영석;이창수;신혜정
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.1309-1317
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    • 2013
  • 일반화 지수분포 (generalized exponential distribution)를 따르는 점진 제 1종 구간 중도절단 (progressive type-I interval censoring) 표본에서 모수 추정은 Chen과 Lio (2010)가 최대우도 추정법 (maximum likelihood estimation), 중간점 근사법 (mid-point approximation method), EM 알고리즘 (expectation maximization algorithm), 적률 추정법 (method of moments estimation; MME)으로 하였으며, 그 방법들 중 평균제곱오차 (mean square error; MSE)가 가장 작은 추정법은 중간점 근사법이다. 하지만 중간점 근사법을 바탕으로 최대우도 추정법을 이용하여 모수를 추정하려고 한다면 모수에 대한 해를 전개할 수 없기 때문에 수치 해석적인 방법을 이용하여 추정하여야 한다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 문제를 해결하기 위해서 근사 최대우도 추정법 (approximate maximum likelihood estimation)을 이용하여 두 종류의 모수를 추정하고, 모의실험을 통하여 수치해석학적인 방법을 이용한 중간점 근사법의 해 (estimate of mid-point approximation method; MP)와 제시한 두 가지 추정량을 평균제곱오차 측면에서 비교한다.

Modified inverse moment estimation: its principle and applications

  • Gui, Wenhao
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제23권6호
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    • pp.479-496
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    • 2016
  • In this survey, we present a modified inverse moment estimation of parameters and its applications. We use a specific model to demonstrate its principle and how to apply this method in practice. The estimation of unknown parameters is considered. A necessary and sufficient condition for the existence and uniqueness of maximum-likelihood estimates of the parameters is obtained for the classical maximum likelihood estimation. Inverse moment and modified inverse moment estimators are proposed and their properties are studied. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to compare the performances of these estimators. As far as the biases and mean squared errors are concerned, modified inverse moment estimator works the best in all cases considered for estimating the unknown parameters. Its performance is followed by inverse moment estimator and maximum likelihood estimator, especially for small sample sizes.

단발 터어보프롭 항공기 동적 모델의 파라메터추정 (Parameter estimation of a single turbo-prop aircraft dynamic model)

  • 이환;이상기
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.38-44
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    • 1998
  • The modified maximum likelihood estimation method is used to estimate the nondimensional aerodynamic derivatives of a single turbo-prop aircraft at a specified flight condition for the best deduction of the dynamic characteristics. In wind axes the six degree of freedom equations are algebraically linearized so that the linear state equation contains aerodynamic derivatives in a state-space form and is used in the maximum likelihood method. The simulated data added with the measurement noise is used as a flight test data which is necessary to the estimation of nondimensional aerodynamic derivatives. It is obtained by implementing the 6-DOF nonlinear flight simulation. In the flight simulation, the effects of several control input types, control deflection amplitudes, and the turbulence intensities on the statistical convergence criteria are also examined and quantitative analysis of the results is discussed.

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잔류강도 저하모델의 파라미터결정법에 따른 피로수명예측 (The Prediction of Fatigue Life According to the Determination of the Parameter in Residual Strength Degradation Model)

  • 김도식;김정규
    • 대한기계학회논문집
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    • 제18권8호
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    • pp.2053-2061
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    • 1994
  • The static and fatigue tensile tests have been conduted to predict the fatigue life of 8-harness satin woven and plain woven carbon/epoxy composite plates containing a circular hole. A fatigue residual strength degradation model, based on the assumption that the residual strength for unnotched specimen decreases monotonically, has been applied to predict statistically the fatigue life of materials used in this study. To determine the parameters(c, b and K) of the residual strength degradation model, the minimization technique and the maximum likelihood method are used. Agreement of the converted ultimate strength by using the minimization technique with the static ultimate strength is reasonably good. Therefore, the minimization technique is more adjustable in the determination of the parameter and the prediction of the fatigue life than the maximum likelihood method.

Estimation of Coverage Growth Functions

  • Park, Joong-Yang;Lee, Gye-Min;Kim, Seo-Yeong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제18권5호
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    • pp.667-674
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    • 2011
  • A recent trend in software reliability engineering accounts for the coverage growth behavior during testing. The coverage growth function (representing the coverage growth behavior) has become an essential component of software reliability models. Application of a coverage growth function requires the estimation of the coverage growth function. This paper considers the problem of estimating the coverage growth function. The existing maximum likelihood method is reviewed and corrected. A method of minimizing the sum of squares of the standardized prediction error is proposed for situations where the maximum likelihood method is not applicable.

Maximum Likelihood 기법을 이용한 Edge 검출 (A Maximum Likelihood Approach to Edge Detection)

  • 조문;박래홍
    • 한국통신학회논문지
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.73-84
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    • 1986
  • 화상이해의 기본적인 특성중의 하나인 edge를 추정하는 statistical 한 방법을 제안하였다. 종래의 edge검출기법은 주로 deterministic한 신호에는 잘 적용되었지만 statistical한 신호에는 만족스러운 결과를 얻을 수 없었다. 본 논문에서는 신호의 statistical 한 성질을 고려한 likelihood함수를 이용하여 결정함수를 구하고, 이것을 최대로 하는 위치를 edge로 선정하는 maximum likelihood edge 검출기법에 대하여 논하였다. 이 기법을 random number generator에 의하여 발생된 통계적인 성질을 갖는 신호에 적용하여 edge가 잘 검출됨을 보였다. 또 이 방법을 통계적인 성질을 갖는 이차원의 화상으로 확장하였을 때에도 정확하게 edge가 검출됨을 알 수 있었다.

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A computational note on maximum likelihood estimation in random effects panel probit model

  • Lee, Seung-Chun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.315-323
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    • 2019
  • Panel data sets have recently been developed in various areas, and many recent studies have analyzed panel, or longitudinal data sets. Often a dichotomous dependent variable occur in survival analysis, biomedical and epidemiological studies that is analyzed by a generalized linear mixed effects model (GLMM). The most common estimation method for the binary panel data may be the maximum likelihood (ML). Many statistical packages provide ML estimates; however, the estimates are computed from numerically approximated likelihood function. For instance, R packages, pglm (Croissant, 2017) approximate the likelihood function by the Gauss-Hermite quadratures, while Rchoice (Sarrias, Journal of Statistical Software, 74, 1-31, 2016) use a Monte Carlo integration method for the approximation. As a result, it can be observed that different packages give different results because of different numerical computation methods. In this note, we discuss the pros and cons of numerical methods compared with the exact computation method.

Statistical Estimation for Generalized Logit Model of Nominal Type with Bootstrap Method

  • Cho, Joong-Jae;Han, Jeong-Hye
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 1995
  • The generalized logit model of nominal type with random regressors is studied for bootstrapping. In particular, asymptotic normality and consistency of bootstrap model estimators are derived. It is shown that the bootstrap approximation to the distribution of the maximum likelihood estimators is valid for alsomt all sample sequences.

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A Note on Estimating Parameters in The Two-Parameter Weibull Distribution

  • Rahman, Mezbahur;Pearson, Larry M.
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.1091-1102
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    • 2003
  • The Weibull variate is commonly used as a lifetime distribution in reliability applications. Estimation of parameters is revisited in the two-parameter Weibull distribution. The method of product spacings, the method of quantile estimates and the method of least squares are applied to this distribution. A comparative study between a simple minded estimate, the maximum likelihood estimate, the product spacings estimate, the quantile estimate, the least squares estimate, and the adjusted least squares estimate is presented.

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