• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bayes test

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A Bayes Criterion for Testing Homogeneity of Two Multivariate Normal Covariances

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.11-23
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    • 1998
  • A Bayes criterion for testing the equality of covariance matrices of two multivariate normal distributions is proposed and studied. Development of the criterion invloves calculation of Bayes factor using the imaginary sample method introduced by Spiegelhalter and Smith (1982). The criterion is designed to develop a Bayesian test criterion, so that it provides an alternative test criterion to those based upon asymptotic sampling theory (such as Box's M test criterion). For the constructed criterion, numerical studies demonstrate routine application and give comparisons with the traditional test criteria.

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A Multiple Test of a Poisson Mean Parameter Using Default Bayes Factors (디폴트 베이즈인자를 이용한 포아송 평균모수에 대한 다중검정)

  • 김경숙;손영숙
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.118-129
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    • 2002
  • A multiple test of a mean parameter, λ, in the Poisson model is considered using the Bayes factor. Under noninformative improper priors, the intrinsic Bayes factor(IBF) of Berger and Pericchi(1996) and the fractional Bayes factor(FBF) of O'Hagan(1995) called as the default or automatic Bayes factors are used to select one among three models, M$_1$: λ< $λ_0, M$_2$: λ= $λ_0, M$_3$: λ> $λ_0. Posterior probability of each competitive model is computed using the default Bayes factors. Finally, theoretical results are applied to simulated data and real data.

A Bayesian Test Criterion for the Multivariate Behrens-Fisher Problem

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.107-124
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    • 1999
  • An approximate Bayes criterion for multivariate Behrens-Fisher problem is proposed and examined. Development of the criterion involves derivation of approximate Bayes factor using the imaginary training sample approach introduced by Speigelhalter and Smith (1982). The criterion is designed to develop a Bayesian test, so that it provides an alternative test to other tests based upon asymptotic sampling theory (such as the tests suggested by Bennett(1951), James(1954) and Yao(1965). For the derived criterion, numerical studies demonstrate routine application and give comparisons with the classical tests.

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A pooled Bayes test of independence using restricted pooling model for contingency tables from small areas

  • Jo, Aejeong;Kim, Dal Ho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.547-559
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    • 2022
  • For a chi-squared test, which is a statistical method used to test the independence of a contingency table of two factors, the expected frequency of each cell must be greater than 5. The percentage of cells with an expected frequency below 5 must be less than 20% of all cells. However, there are many cases in which the regional expected frequency is below 5 in general small area studies. Even in large-scale surveys, it is difficult to forecast the expected frequency to be greater than 5 when there is small area estimation with subgroup analysis. Another statistical method to test independence is to use the Bayes factor, but since there is a high ratio of data dependency due to the nature of the Bayesian approach, the low expected frequency tends to decrease the precision of the test results. To overcome these limitations, we will borrow information from areas with similar characteristics and pool the data statistically to propose a pooled Bayes test of independence in target areas. Jo et al. (2021) suggested hierarchical Bayesian pooling models for small area estimation of categorical data, and we will introduce the pooled Bayes factors calculated by expanding their restricted pooling model. We applied the pooled Bayes factors using bone mineral density and body mass index data from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey conducted in the United States and compared them with chi-squared tests often used in tests of independence.

Default Bayes Factors for Testing the Equality of Poisson Population Means

  • Son, Young Sook;Kim, Seong W.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.549-562
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    • 2000
  • Default Bayes factors are computed to test the equality of one Poisson population mean and the equality of two independent Possion population means. As default priors are assumed Jeffreys priors, noninformative improper priors, and default Bayes factors such as three intrinsic Bayes factors of Berger and Pericchi(1996, 1998), the arithmetic, the median, and the geometric intrinsic Bayes factor, and the factional Bayes factor of O'Hagan(1995) are computed. The testing results by each default Bayes factor are compared with those by the classical method in the simulation study.

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Bayes tests of independence for contingency tables from small areas

  • Jo, Aejung;Kim, Dal Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.207-215
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    • 2017
  • In this paper we study pooling effects in Bayesian testing procedures of independence for contingency tables from small areas. In small area estimation setup, we typically use a hierarchical Bayesian model for borrowing strength across small areas. This techniques of borrowing strength in small area estimation is used to construct a Bayes test of independence for contingency tables from small areas. In specific, we consider the methods of direct or indirect pooling in multinomial models through Dirichlet priors. We use the Bayes factor (or equivalently the ratio of the marginal likelihoods) to construct the Bayes test, and the marginal density is obtained by integrating the joint density function over all parameters. The Bayes test is computed by performing a Monte Carlo integration based on the method proposed by Nandram and Kim (2002).

A Bayesian Test Criterion for the Behrens-Firsher Problem

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.193-205
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    • 1999
  • An approximate Bayes criterion for Behrens-Fisher problem (testing equality of means of two normal populations with unequal variances) is proposed and examined. Development of the criterion involves derivation of approximate Bayes factor using the imaginary training sample approachintroduced by Spiegelhalter and Smith (1982). The proposed criterion is designed to develop a Bayesian test criterion having a closed form, so that it provides an alternative test to those based upon asymptotic sampling theory (such as Welch's t test). For the suggested Bayes criterion, numerical study gives comparisons with a couple of asymptotic classical test criteria.

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Bayesian Test for the Equality of Gamma Means

  • Kang, Sang-Gil
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.1413-1425
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    • 2006
  • When X and Y have independent gamma distributions, we develop a Bayesian procedure for testing the equality of two gamma means. The reference prior is derived. Using the derived reference prior, we propose a Bayesian test procedure for the equality of two gamma means using fractional Bayes factor and intrinsic Bayes factor. Simulation study and a real data example are provided.

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Bayesian Test for the Difference of Exponential Guarantee Time Parameters

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.1095-1106
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    • 2005
  • When X and Y have independent two parameter exponential distributions, we develop a Bayesian testing procedures for the equality of two location parameters. The reference prior in non-regular exponential model is derived. Under this reference prior, we propose a Bayesian test procedures for the equality of two location parameters using fractional Bayes factor and intrinsic Bayes factor. Simulation study and some real data examples are provided.

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Bayesian Test for the Difference of Exponential Guarantee Time Parameters

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 2004
  • When X and Y have independent two parameter exponential distributions, we develop a Bayesian testing procedures for the equality of two location parameters. Under the noninformative prior, we propose a Bayesian test procedures for the equality of two location parameters using fractional Bayes factor and intrinsic Bayes factor. Simulation study and some real data examples are provided.

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