• Title/Summary/Keyword: 위험선호

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Reproductive Factor and Food Intake Pattern Influencing on the Breast Cancer Risk in Daegu${\cdot}$Gyungbuk Area, Korea (대구${\cdot}$경북지역 유방암 위험에 영향 미치는 생식적 요인 및 식품섭취 패턴)

  • Lee, Eun-Ju;Suh, Su-Won;Lee, Won-Kee;Lee, Hye-Sung
    • Journal of Nutrition and Health
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.334-346
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    • 2007
  • The present study examined the reproductive factors and food intake pattern which influence on the breast cancer risk in Daegu${\cdot}$Gyungbuk area. The case subjects were 103 patients newly diagnosed as breast cancer at Kyungpook National University Hospital. The control subjects were 159 healthy women selected by frequency matching of age and menopausal status in the same community. The survey was conducted by individual interviews using questionnaires which include general and reproductive characteristics, dietary habits, and food frequency. The odds ratios were calculated by using unconditional logistic regression after adjusting for confounding variables. The mean age of the subjects was 50 yrs, and mean body mass index was significantly high in the patient group than in the control. The patient group had a significantly higher familial history of breast cancer and a significantly shorter breast-feeding period compared to the control group. It has been found no significant relationship between extrinsic hormone use such as oral contraceptives or estrogen replacement therapy and breast cancer risk. In regard of food habits, a high preference for the cooking method of steaming rather than frying, panbroiling or roasting was significantly associated with lower relative risk of breast cancer. The higher intake frequencies of fruits for all subjects, and seaweeds only for postmenopausal subjects were related with a significantly lower relative risk of breast cancer. The results of the study suggest that the possible risk factors for the breast cancer occurrence include high BMI, family history, less breast feeding experience, preference for the cooking method of frying, and less consumption of fruits and seaweeds. This study provides an useful data for nutrition education to prevent breast cancer for the residents in Daegu${\cdot}$Gyungbuk area.

Estimating Values of Statistical Lives using Choice Experiment Method (선택실험법을 이용한 확률적 인간생명가치의 추정)

  • Shin, Young Chul
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.683-699
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    • 2007
  • This study applied the choice experiment (CE) method to measure values of statistical lives from multi-attributed mortality risk reduction choices. The four characteristics of mortality risk (i.e. cause of death, voluntariness of mortality risk, timing of death, magnitude of mortality risk reduction) are utilized to design the alternatives of choice sets. The estimation results for the multinomial logit model show that individuals are willing to pay 27,930 won per year for a change from the status quo to a $\frac{1}{100}$ mortality risk reduction for 10 years, 116,773 won per year for mortality risk reduction associated with adults, 97,682 won per year for voluntary mortality risk reduction, 77,234 won per year for involuntary mortality risk reduction. There were several estimates of VSL related to different attributes of mortality risk. The mean VSLs of infant/child/young adult ranged from 1,165 million won to 1,367 million won. The mean VSLs ranged from 1,631 million won to 1,833 million won for adult, and were between 1,128 million won and 1,330 million won for old person.

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The effect of subjective perception on preference for the universality of the welfare system: the approach using instrument variables (개인의 주관적 인식이 복지제도의 보편성에 대한 선호에 미치는 효과: 도구변수를 활용한 접근법)

  • Kim, Sa-Hyun
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.213-239
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this research is to explore the explanatory factors of preference for the universality of the welfare system at the time of expanding the welfare system. In particular, considering endogenous problem that may occur in the process of analyzing the causal relationship between subjective perception and preference for welfare policy, the 2SLS regression analysis using instrument variables was attempted in this research. The key findings of this research were as follow. First, the groups who are opposed to the welfare state expansion, for example high income earners, low risk group, and employer/self-employer, prefer the more universal welfare systems. Second, the negative perception of welfare policy and recipients, which is stronger in older generation who experienced a much longer period of industrializaion, have a negative effect on preference for the universal welfare system. Last, we find that the endogenous problem arise in this research and distort the estimated regression coefficients. Therefore, subsequent studies must be mindful of this problem when they explain attitudes with attitudes.

The Relationship Between Son Preference and Fertility (남아 선호와 출산력간의 관계)

  • 이성용
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.31-57
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    • 2003
  • This study is intended to examine (l)whether the value of son-for example, old age security and succession of family lineage- causing son preference in the traditional society can be explained at the individual level, (2)whether women without son in the son preference country continue her childbearing until having at least one son or give up the desire of having a son at a certain level. To accomplish these purposes, the 1974 Korean National Fertility Survey data are analyzed by the quadratic hazard models controlling unobserved heterogeneity. Unlike ordinary regression model, even omitted variables that affect hazard rates and are uncorrelated with the included independent variables can distort the parameter estimates in the hazard model. Therefore the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator(NPMLE) of a mixing distribution developed by Heckman and Singer is used to control unobserved heterogeneity. Based on the statistical result in this study, the value of son causing son preference is determined at the societal level, not at the individual level. And Korean women without a son did not continue endlessly childbearing during child bearing ages until having a son. In general, they gave up the desire having a son when she had born six daughters continuously. Thus, 30-40 years ago, the number of daughters that women without a son giving up the desire of son was six, which is about the level of total fertility rate during 1960s. In these days, we can often see many women who have only two or three daughters and do not any son. This means that the level of giving up the desire of son, which is one factor representing the strength of son preference, becomes lower. If the strength of son preference did not become much weaker, then the fertility rates in Korea could not reach the below replacement level.

M&V(측정 및 평가) 시행 방안에 대하여 ESCOs에게 물었다

  • 에너지절약전문기업협회
    • The Magazine for Energy Service Companies
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    • s.26
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    • pp.62-66
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    • 2004
  • 전미ESCO협회는 현재 미국 내에서 ESCO에 의해 사용되고 있는 M&V방식에 대해 질의하였다. 오늘날 측정평가(M&V)에 있어서 가장 기본적인 방법은 에너지 결정 변수 중의 하나가 측정되는 또는 어쩌면 하나도 측정되지 않는 ''A형 옵션''일 것이다. 이러한 프로젝트에서 절약 보증을 결정하는 데는 사전 설치분석법이 사용되고 있다. 그러나 요구 절감 가치에 대한 분쟁이 발생하는 상황에서 ''A형 옵션''은 상황을 ''조용히'' 해결하는 데 불충분한 정보를 제공할 수 있다. 계약에 충실히 따르는 인기있는 접근법은 설비별 계산서 분석 소프트웨어를 사용하여 건물 전체의 에너지를 분석하는 ''C형 옵션''이다. M&V를 단순화하는 이유는 조명프로젝트의 절약에 대한 이해가 클수록, 신규 설비 위주 프로젝트를 선호하는 고객과 에너지절감 위주 프로젝트를 선호하는 고객간의 대립으로 인한 M&V를 실행하는 비용과 위험성을 감안한 듯 하다.

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Does Market Performance Influence Credit Risk? (기업의 시장성과는 신용위험에 영향을 미치는가?)

  • Lim, Hyoung-Joo;Mali, Dafydd
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.81-90
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    • 2016
  • This study aims to investigate the association between stock performance and credit ratings, and credit rating changes using a sample of 1,691 KRX firm-years that acquire equity in the form of long-term bonds from 2002 to 2013. Previous U.S. literature is mixed with regard to the relation between credit ratings and stock price. On one hand, there is evidence of a positive relation between credit ratings and stock prices, an anomaly established in U.S. studies. On the other hand, the CAPM model suggests a negative relation between stock prices and credit ratings, implying that investors expect financial rewards for bearing additional risk. To our knowledge, we are the first to examine the relationship between stock price and default risk proxied by credit ratings in period t+1. We find a negative (positive) relation between credit ratings (risk) in period t+1 and stock returns in period t, suggesting that credit rating agencies do not consider stock returns as a metric with the potential to influence default risk. Our results suggest that market participants may prefer firms with higher credit risk because of expected higher returns.

AHP-based Decision Model for Safety Improvement Projects for Hazardous Section of Urban Roadways (AHP 의사결정 기법을 통한 도시부 위험도로 구조개선 사업의 교통사고 저감대책 선호도 분석 -부산광역시를 중심으로-)

  • Um, Jung-An;Lee, Si-Bok;Lim, Chang-Sik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.2D
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    • pp.111-119
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    • 2012
  • In this study, the effect of safety improvement project was analyzed, and a decision making model for traffic accident reduction measures was suggested. The results of this study are as follow; First the overall number of traffic accidents and casualties were reduced, especially reduced the number of unauthorized crossing and centerline encroachments was remarkable. Second, the priorities of traffic accident reduction measures. through hazards roadway section improvement projects were determined. As, higher level evaluation items of AHP hierachy structure include civil facilities and transportation facilities. The civil facilities has 6 lower level evaluation items and transportation facilities has 4 items. The results of this study, It was revealed that traffic experts prefer civil facilities more than transportation facilities and the top 2 items of the each data (or index) took over 50%. In addition, one of the last evaluation contents through the verification, the top 3 items of civil facilities took 55.38%. The project according to the improvement projects for hazards roadway reduced traffic accidents and casualties as well as saving the cost. So these results should be available for basic information for the countermeasure about reducing the traffic accidents by local governments.

Prospect Theory and Risk Preferences of Real Estate Development Companies (부동산 개발 및 공급 기업의 손익과 경영진의 위험 선호도)

  • Kim, Byungil;Kim, Won Tae;Chung, Do-Bum
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.83-88
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    • 2022
  • Companies make decisions with risks such as choosing an investment plan in order to pursue profits. This study explained the decision making of the management of construction companies in South Korea using the tendency to avoid losses in the Prospect Theory. To this end, 20-year financial data of 2,881 companies engaged in real estate development, which have to bear the greatest risk among the construction industry, were collected. The collected companies were roughly classified based on the reference point, and the causal relationship between average return on equity and risk preference by group was empirically analyzed through regression analysis. As a result, it was confirmed that if the average return on equity of a company decreases for the group above the reference point, it tends to select an investment plan with low uncertainty in order not to lose additional money. In addition, it was confirmed that if the average return on equity of a company decreases for the group below the reference point, it tends to select an investment plan with high uncertainty to move to the profit area. This result is exactly consistent with the loss aversion tendency of the Prospect Theory.

Extraction and Analysis of Construction Phase Risk Factors in High-rise Construction Project (초고층 건설공사 시공단계 리스크 요인 도출 및 분석)

  • Kim, Sooyong;Kim, Sunghyun;Yang, Jinkook
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.90-98
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    • 2016
  • High-rise buildings construction project have various risk factors. Major risk factors are negative results such as time delay and increase of costs. Therefore, this study was analyzed risk factors in construction stages of high-rise buildings using by PROMETHEE technique. For this, this research were identified risk factors through experts Focus Group Interview(FGI). And, PROMETHEE was used to setup evaluation standard for analysis of high-rise building construction risks. Next, the standard of evaluation index calculation was composed by using the definition level in PDRI. Preference function and evaluation index were identified through questionnaires. Through these processes, this study has calculated the importance of high-rise building construction risks using by PROMETHEE technique. As a result, high degree risk factors were as following. These are 'Operation plan of material lifting', 'Outrigger & Belt Truss Construction', 'Foundation work plan of high-rise building' and 'Considering a Structure concept of high-rise building'.

A Study on the Values of MBS of Various Security Designs (주택저당증권(MBS)의 발행구조에 관한 연구 : 다양한 MBS 구조설계를 중심으로)

  • Yoo, Jin
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.165-191
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    • 2006
  • I examine the relationship between values and security designs of MBS(mortgage-backed securities), using four different types of them. To this end I consider a pass-through and three different kinds of CMOs(collateralized mortgage obligations). It turns out that the pass-through has the lowest value and that, among CMOs, that of a senior-mezzanine-subordinate design has the highest value. This implies that CMOs of a simple and extreme design, like that of a senior-subordinate design, are not likely to be the best CMOs for risk averse buyers. Another critical finding is that the optimal security design of CMOs or MBS does exist in the form of an interior solution. This indicates that MBS issuers could charge higher prices of MBS given their underlying mortgages by tailoring MBS security designs to the needs or utilities of MBS buyers, usually by removing and combining risks of component tranches of MBS. Accordingly a thorough study of realistic utility functions of MBA buyers could enhance the values or prices of MBS to be issued.

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