• 제목/요약/키워드: tail distribution

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A Study on the Inference Model of In-use Vehicles Emission Distribution according to the Vehicle Mileage (주행거리별 운행차 배출가스 분포 추정 모델에 관한 연구)

  • 김현우
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.85-92
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    • 2002
  • To investigate the safety of the in-use vehicles emission against the tail-pipe emission regulation, in-use vehicles emission trend according to vehicle mileage should be known. But it is impossible to collect all vehicles emission data In order to know that. Therefore, it is necessary to establish a statistically meaningful inference method that can be used generally to estimate in-use vehicles emissions distribution according to the vehicle mileage with relatively less in-use vehicles emission data. To do this, a linear regression model that solved the problems of data normality and common variance of error was studied. As a way that can secure the data normality, In(emission) instead of emission itself was used as a sampled data. And a reciprocal of mileage was suggested as a factor to secure common variance of error. As an example, 36 data of FTP-75 test were handled in this study. As a result, using average value and standard deviation at each mileage which were inferred from a linear regression model, probability density distribution and cumulative distribution of emissions according to the vehicle mileage were obtained and it was possible to predict the deterioration factor through full useful life mileage and also possible to decide whether those in-use vehicles will meet the tail-pipe emission regulations or not.

Estimations in a skewed uniform distribution

  • Son, Hee-Ju;Woo, Jung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.733-740
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    • 2009
  • We obtain a skewed uniform distribution by a uniform distribution, and evaluate its coeffcient of skewness. And we obtain the approximate maximum likelihood estimator (AML) and moment estimator of skew parameter in the skewed uniform distribution. And we compare simulated mean squared errors (MSE) of those estimators, and also compare MSE of two proposed reliability estimators in two independent skewed uniform distributions each with different skew parameters.

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An Efficient Implementation of Tornado Code for Fault Tolerance

  • Lei, Jian-Jun;Kwon, Gu-In
    • Journal of Korea Spatial Information System Society
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.13-18
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    • 2009
  • This paper presents the implementation procedure of encoding and decoding algorithms for Tornado code that can provide fault tolerance for storage and transmission system. The degree distribution satisfying heavy tail distribution is produced. Based on this distribution, a good random irregular bipartite graph is attained after plenty of trails. Such graph construction is proved to be efficient, and the experiments also demonstrate that the implementation obtains good performance in terms of decoding overhead.

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Time-Varying Comovement of KOSPI 200 Sector Indices Returns

  • Kim, Woohwan
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.335-347
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    • 2014
  • This paper employs dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model to examine time-varying comovement in the Korean stock market with a focus on the financial industry. Analyzing the daily returns of KOSPI 200 eight sector indices from January 2008 to December 2013, we find that stock market correlations significantly increased during the GFC period. The Financial Sector had the highest correlation between the Constructions-Machinery Sector; however, the Consumer Discretionary and Consumer Staples sectors indicated a relatively lower correlation between the Financial Sector. In terms of model fitting, the DCC with t distribution model concludes as the best among the four alternatives based on BIC, and the estimated shape parameter of t distribution is less than 10, implicating a strong tail dependence between the sectors. We report little asymmetric effect in correlation dynamics between sectors; however, we find strong asymmetric effect in volatility dynamics for each sector return.

Influences of Trap States at Metal/Semiconductor Interface on Metallic Source/Drain Schottky-Barrier MOSFET

  • Cho, Won-Ju
    • JSTS:Journal of Semiconductor Technology and Science
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.82-87
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    • 2007
  • The electrical properties of metallic junction diodes and metallic source/drain (S/D) Schottky barrier metal-oxide-semiconductor field-effect transistor (SB-MOSFET) were simulated. By using the abrupt metallic junction at the S/D region, the short-channel effects in nano-scaled MOSFET devices can be effectively suppressed. Particularly, the effects of trap states at the metal-silicide/silicon interface of S/D junction were simulated by taking into account the tail distributions and the Gaussian distributions at the silicon band edge and at the silicon midgap, respectively. As a result of device simulation, the reduction of interfacial trap states with Gaussian distribution is more important than that of interfacial trap states with tail distribution for improving the metallic junction diodes and SB-MOSFET. It is that a forming gas annealing after silicide formation significantly improved the electrical properties of metallic junction devices.

Testing Harmonic Used Better than Aged in Expectation in Upper Tail(HUBAEUT) Class of Life Distributions Using Kernel Method

  • Abu-Youssef, S.E.;Al-nachawati, H.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.89-99
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    • 2006
  • A new classes of life distribution, namely harmonic used better than aged in expectation in upper tail (HUBAEUT) is introduced. Testing exponentiality against this class is investigated using kernel method. The limiting null and nonnull distribution of the test statistics is normal and the null variance is calculated exactly. Selected critical values are tabulated for sample sizes of 5(1)40. Power of the test are estimated by simulation. the efficacies of the test statistics used for testing against HUBAEUT are calculated for som common alternatives and are compared to some other procedures. It is shown that proposed test is simple, has high relative efficiency and power for some commonly used alternatives. The set of real data are used as an examples to elucidate the use of the proposed test statistics for practical reliability.

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Asset Price Volatility and Macroeconomic Risk in China (资产价格波动对中国宏观经济风险的影响)

  • Jishi, Piao;Mengjiao, Liu
    • Analyses & Alternatives
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.135-157
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    • 2019
  • The linkages between asset prices and macroeconomic outcomes are long-standing issue to both economists and monetary authorities. This paper explores the impact of asset prices on output and price in China. It focuses on the impacts of asset prices on the low quantiles of GDP gap and high quantiles of price gaprespectively. The main findings are the following: the influence of stock price gap, stock returns, and money growth on the different quantile of GDP gap and price gap are noticeable different, and there are significant impacts on the left tail of GDP gap distribution and on the right tail of price gap distribution. This implies that the results coming from simple regression will underestimate the economic risk imposed by asset price volatility. Moreover, these results also provide the caveat that one should cautiously distinguish the meaning of asset price gap and asset price growth rate and use them, through their contents are similar in some sense. One implication for monetarypolicy is that authority should interpret the relationship between asset prices and macro-economy in wider perspectives, and make the policy decision taking the impacts of asset prices on the tails of economy.

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A Bayesian Approach to Gumbel Mixture Distribution for the Estimation of Parameter and its use to the Rainfall Frequency Analysis (Bayesian 기법을 이용한 혼합 Gumbel 분포 매개변수 추정 및 강우빈도해석 기법 개발)

  • Choi, Hong-Geun;Uranchimeg, Sumiya;Kim, Yong-Tak;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.249-259
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    • 2018
  • More than half of annual rainfall occurs in summer season in Korea due to its climate condition and geographical location. A frequency analysis is mostly adopted for designing hydraulic structure under the such concentrated rainfall condition. Among the various distributions, univariate Gumbel distribution has been routinely used for rainfall frequency analysis in Korea. However, the distributional changes in extreme rainfall have been globally observed including Korea. More specifically, the univariate Gumbel distribution based rainfall frequency analysis is often fail to describe multimodal behaviors which are mainly influenced by distinct climate conditions during the wet season. In this context, we purposed a Gumbel mixture distribution based rainfall frequency analysis with a Bayesian framework, and further the results were compared to that of the univariate. It was found that the proposed model showed better performance in describing underlying distributions, leading to the lower Bayesian information criterion (BIC) values. The mixed Gumbel distribution was more robust for describing the upper tail of the distribution which playes a crucial role in estimating more reliable estimates of design rainfall uncertainty occurred by peak of upper tail than single Gumbel distribution. Therefore, it can be concluded that the mixed Gumbel distribution is more compatible for extreme frequency analysis rainfall data with two or more peaks on its distribution.

Estimation and Comparative Analysis on the Distribution Functions of Air and Water Temperatures in Korean Coastal Seas (우리나라 연안의 기온과 수온 분포함수 추정 및 비교평가)

  • Cho, Hong-Yeon;Jeong, Shin-Taek
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.171-176
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    • 2016
  • The distribution shapes of air and water temperatures are basic and essential information, which determine the frequency patterns of their occurrence. It is also very useful to understand the changes in long-term air and water temperatures with respect to climate change. The typical distribution shapes of air and water temperatures cannot be well fitted using widely used/accepted normal distributions because their shapes show multimodal distributions. In this study, Gaussian mixture distributions and kernel distributions are suggested as the more suitable models to fit their distribution shapes. Based on the results, the tail shape exhibits different patterns. The tail is long in higher temperature regions of water temperature distribution and in lower temperature regions of air temperature distribution. These types of shape comparisons can be useful to identify the patterns of long-term air and water temperature changes and the relationship between air and water temperatures. It is nearly impossible to identify change patterns using only mean-temperatures and normal distributions.