• 제목/요약/키워드: stationary process

검색결과 457건 처리시간 0.02초

On Asymptotic Properties of Bootstrap for Autoregressive Processes with Regularly Varying Tail Probabilities

  • Kang, Hee-Jeong
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.31-46
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    • 1997
  • Let $X_{t}$ = .beta. $X_{{t-1}}$ + .epsilon.$_{t}$ be an autoregressive process where $\mid$.beta.$\mid$ < 1 and {.epsilon.$_{t}$} is independent and identically distriubted with regularly varying tail probabilities. This process is called the asymptotically stationary first-order autoregressive process (AR(1)) with infinite variance. In this paper, we obtain a host of weak convergences of some point processes based on bootstrapping of { $X_{t}$}. These kinds of results can be generalized under the infinite variance assumption to ensure the asymptotic validity of the bootstrap method for various functionals of { $X_{t}$} such as partial sums, sample covariance and sample correlation functions, etc.ions, etc.

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Some limiting properties for GARCH(p, q)-X processes

  • Lee, Oesook
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.697-707
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, we propose a modified GARCH(p, q)-X model which is obtained by adding the exogenous variables to the modified GARCH(p, q) process. Some limiting properties are shown under various stationary and nonstationary exogenous processes which are generated by another process independent of the noise process. The proposed model extends the GARCH(1, 1)-X model studied by Han (2015) to various GARCH(p, q)-type models such as GJR GARCH, asymptotic power GARCH and VGARCH combined with exogenous process. In comparison with GARCH(1, 1)-X, we expect that many stylized facts including long memory property of the financial time series can be explained effectively by modified GARCH(p, q) model combined with proper additional covariate.

A Weak Convergence for a Linear Process with Positive Dependent Sequences

  • Kim, Tae-Sung;Ryu, Dae-Hee;Lee, Il-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.483-490
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    • 2002
  • A weak convergence is obtained for a linear process of the form (equation omitted) where {$\varepsilon$$_{t}$ } is a strictly stationary sequence of associated random variables with E$\varepsilon$$_{t}$ = 0 and E$\varepsilon$$^{^2}$$_{t}$ < $\infty$ and {a $_{j}$ } is a sequence of real numbers with (equation omitted). We also apply this idea to the case of linearly positive quadrant dependent sequence.

Derivation of response spectrum compatible non-stationary stochastic processes relying on Monte Carlo-based peak factor estimation

  • Giaralis, Agathoklis;Spanos, Pol D.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제3권5호
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    • pp.719-747
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    • 2012
  • In this paper a novel approach is proposed to address the problem of deriving non-stationary stochastic processes which are compatible in the mean sense with a given (target) response (uniform hazard) spectrum (UHS) as commonly desired in the aseismic structural design regulated by contemporary codes of practice. The appealing feature of the approach is that it is non-iterative and "one-step". This is accomplished by solving a standard over-determined minimization problem in conjunction with appropriate median peak factors. These factors are determined by a plethora of reported new Monte Carlo studies which on their own possess considerable stochastic dynamics merit. In the proposed approach, generation and treatment of samples of the processes individually on a deterministic basis is not required as is the case with the various "two-step" approaches found in the literature addressing the herein considered task. The applicability and usefulness of the approach is demonstrated by furnishing extensive numerical data associated with the elastic design UHS of the current European (EC8) and the Chinese (GB 50011) aseismic code provisions. Purposely, simple and thus attractive from a practical viewpoint, uniformly modulated processes assuming either the Kanai-Tajimi (K-T) or the Clough-Penzien (C-P) spectral form are employed. The Monte Carlo studies yield damping and duration dependent median peak factor spectra, given in a polynomial form, associated with the first passage problem for UHS compatible K-T and C-P uniformly modulated stochastic processes. Hopefully, the herein derived stochastic processes and median peak factor spectra can be used to facilitate the aseismic design of structures regulated by contemporary code provisions in a Monte Carlo simulation-based or stochastic dynamics-based context of analysis.

Derivation of response spectrum compatible non-stationary stochastic processes relying on Monte Carlo-based peak factor estimation

  • Giaralis, Agathoklis;Spanos, Pol D.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제3권3_4호
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    • pp.581-609
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    • 2012
  • In this paper a novel non-iterative approach is proposed to address the problem of deriving non-stationary stochastic processes which are compatible in the mean sense with a given (target) response (uniform hazard) spectrum (UHS) as commonly desired in the aseismic structural design regulated by contemporary codes of practice. This is accomplished by solving a standard over-determined minimization problem in conjunction with appropriate median peak factors. These factors are determined by a plethora of reported new Monte Carlo studies which on their own possess considerable stochastic dynamics merit. In the proposed approach, generation and treatment of samples of the processes individually on a deterministic basis is not required as is the case with the various approaches found in the literature addressing the herein considered task. The applicability and usefulness of the approach is demonstrated by furnishing extensive numerical data associated with the elastic design UHS of the current European (EC8) and the Chinese (GB 50011) aseismic code provisions. Purposely, simple and thus attractive from a practical viewpoint, uniformly modulated processes assuming either the Kanai-Tajimi (K-T) or the Clough-Penzien (C-P) spectral form are employed. The Monte Carlo studies yield damping and duration dependent median peak factor spectra, given in a polynomial form, associated with the first passage problem for UHS compatible K-T and C-P uniformly modulated stochastic processes. Hopefully, the herein derived stochastic processes and median peak factor spectra can be used to facilitate the aseismic design of structures regulated by contemporary code provisions in a Monte Carlo simulation-based or stochastic dynamics-based context of analysis.

DISCRETE-TIME ANALYSIS OF OVERLOAD CONTROL FOR BURSTY TRAFFIC

  • Choi, Doo-Il
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.285-295
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    • 2001
  • We consider a queueing system under overload control to support bursty traffic. The queueing system under overload control is modelled by MMBP/D1/K queue with two thresholds on buffer. Arrival of customer is assumed to be a Markov-modulated Bernoulli process (MMBP) by considering burstiness of traffic. Analysis is done in discrete-time case. Using the generating function method, we obtain the stationary queue length distribution. Finally, the loss probability and the waiting time distribution of a customer are given.

A New Estimator for Seasonal Autoregressive Process

  • So, Beong-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.31-39
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    • 2001
  • For estimating parameters of possibly nonlinear and/or non-stationary seasonal autoregressive(AR) processes, we introduce a new instrumental variable method which use the direction vector of the regressors in the same period as an instrument. On the basis of the new estimator, we propose new seasonal random walk tests whose limiting null distributions are standard normal regardless of the period of seasonality and types of mean adjustments. Monte-Carlo simulation shows that he powers of he proposed tests are better than those of the tests based on ordinary least squares estimator(OLSE).

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Lagged Unstable Regressor Models and Asymptotic Efficiency of the Ordinary Least Squares Estimator

  • Shin, Dong-Wan;Oh, Man-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제31권2호
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    • pp.251-259
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    • 2002
  • Lagged regressor models with general stationary errors independent of the regressors are considered. The regressor process is unstable having characteristic roots on the unit circle. If the order of the lag matches the number of roots on the unit circle, the ordinary least squares estimator (OLSE) is asymptotically efficient in that it has the same limiting distribution as the generalized least squares estimator (GLSE) under the same normalization. This result extends the well-known result of Grenander and Rosenblatt (1957) for asymptotic efficiency of the OLSE in deterministic polynomial and/or trigonometric regressor models to a class of models with stochastic regressors.

ROBUST UNIT ROOT TESTS FOR SEASONAL AUTOREGRESSIVE PROCESS

  • Oh, Yu-Jin;So, Beong-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제33권2호
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    • pp.149-157
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    • 2004
  • The stationarity is one of the most important properties of a time series. We propose robust sign tests for seasonal autoregressive processes to determine whether or not a time series is stationary. The proposed tests are robust to the outliers and the heteroscedastic errors, and they have an exact binomial null distribution regardless of the period of seasonality and types of median adjustments. A Monte-Carlo simulation shows that the sign test is locally more powerful than the tests based on ordinary least squares estimator (OLSE) for heavy-tailed and/or heteroscedastic error distributions.

A SINGLE SERVER RETRIAL QUEUE WITH VACATION

  • Kalyanaraman, R.;Murugan, S. Pazhani Bala
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • 제26권3_4호
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    • pp.721-732
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    • 2008
  • A single server infinite capacity queueing system with Poisson arrival and a general service time distribution along with repeated attempt and server vacation is considered. We made a comprehensive analysis of the system including ergodicity and limiting behaviour. Some operating characteristics are derived and numerical results are presented to test the feasibility of the queueing model.

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