• Title/Summary/Keyword: second-order statistics

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A Study on Small Composite Designs for Fitting Second Order Response Surface Models (2차 반응표면분석 모델 적합을 위한 부분합성계획에 관한 연구)

  • Park Sung-Hyun;Seo Hyeok;Park Jun-Oh
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Quality Management Conference
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    • 1998.11a
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    • pp.580-593
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    • 1998
  • The small composite design for second order response surface might be appropriate when experimentation is expensive, difficult, or time-consuming, especially when an independent estimate of experimental error is available. It is important that the small composite designs for response surface analysis would be rotatable and slope-rotatable. Therefore the small composite designs are studied from the viewpoint of rotatability and slope-rotatability, and the optimal values of a(the distance of axial points from the center) are investigated as k(the number of independent variables) and $n_0$(the number of center points) are changed.

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Generation of Synthetic Time Series Wind Speed Data using Second-Order Markov Chain Model (2차 마르코프 사슬 모델을 이용한 시계열 인공 풍속 자료의 생성)

  • Ki-Wahn Ryu
    • Journal of Wind Energy
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.37-43
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    • 2023
  • In this study, synthetic time series wind data was generated numerically using a second-order Markov chain. One year of wind data in 2020 measured by the AWS on Wido Island was used to investigate the statistics for measured wind data. Both the transition probability matrix and the cumulative transition probability matrix for annual hourly mean wind speed were obtained through statistical analysis. Probability density distribution along the wind speed and autocorrelation according to time were compared with the first- and the second-order Markov chains with various lengths of time series wind data. Probability density distributions for measured wind data and synthetic wind data using the first- and the second-order Markov chains were also compared to each other. For the case of the second-order Markov chain, some improvement of the autocorrelation was verified. It turns out that the autocorrelation converges to zero according to increasing the wind speed when the data size is sufficiently large. The generation of artificial wind data is expected to be useful as input data for virtual digital twin wind turbines.

Slope-Rotatability over All Directions in Third Order Response Surface Models

  • Park, Sung-Hyun;Lee, Min-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.519-536
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    • 1995
  • In the design of experiments for response surface analysis, sometimes it is of interest to estimate the difference of responses at two points. If differences at points close together are involved, the design that reliably estimates the slope of response surface is important. This idea was conceptualized by slope rotatability by Hader & Park (1978) and Park (1987). Until now, second order polynomial models were only studied for slope ratatability. In this paper, we will propose the necessary and sufficient conditions for slope rotatability over all directions for the thired order polynomial models in two, three and four independent variables. Also practical slope rotatable designs over all directions for two independent variables are suggested.

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Note on Properties of Noninformative Priors in the One-Way Random Effect Model

  • Kang, Sang Gil;Kim, Dal Ho;Cho, Jang Sik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.835-844
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    • 2002
  • For the one-way random model when the ratio of the variance components is of interest, Bayesian analysis is often appropriate. In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the ratio of the variance components under the balanced one-way random effect model. We reveal that the second order matching prior matches alternative coverage probabilities up to the second order (Mukerjee and Reid, 1999) and is a HPD(Highest Posterior Density) matching prior. It turns out that among all of the reference priors, the only one reference prior (one-at-a-time reference prior) satisfies a second order matching criterion. Finally we show that one-at-a-time reference prior produces confidence sets with expected length shorter than the other reference priors and Cox and Reid (1987) adjustment.

Noninformative priors for product of exponential means

  • Kang, Sang Gil;Kim, Dal Ho;Lee, Woo Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.763-772
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the product of different powers of k means in the exponential distribution. We developed the first and second order matching priors. It turns out that the second order matching prior matches the alternative coverage probabilities, and is the highest posterior density matching prior. Also we revealed that the derived reference prior is the second order matching prior, and Jeffreys' prior and reference prior are the same. We showed that the proposed reference prior matches very well the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense through simulation study, and an example based on real data is given.

Noninformative Priors for the Ratio of the Scale Parameters in the Inverted Exponential Distributions

  • Kang, Sang Gil;Kim, Dal Ho;Lee, Woo Dong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.387-394
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the ratio of the scale parameters in the inverted exponential distributions. The first and second order matching priors, the reference prior and Jeffreys prior are developed. It turns out that the second order matching prior matches the alternative coverage probabilities, is a cumulative distribution function matching prior and is a highest posterior density matching prior. In addition, the reference prior and Jeffreys' prior are the second order matching prior. We show that the proposed reference prior matches the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense through a simulation study as well as provide an example based on real data is given.

Noninformative priors for the ratio of the scale parameters in the half logistic distributions

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.833-841
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the ratio of the scale parameters in the half logistic distributions. We develop the first and second order matching priors. It turns out that the second order matching prior matches the alternative coverage probabilities, and is a highest posterior density matching prior. Also we reveal that the one-at-a-time reference prior and Jeffreys' prior are the second order matching prior. We show that the proposed reference prior matches the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense through simulation study, and an example based on real data is given.

Edgeworth Expansion and Bootstrap Approximation for Survival Function Under Koziol-Green Model

  • Kil Ho;Seong Hwa
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.233-244
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    • 2000
  • Confidence intervals for survival function give useful information about the lifetime distribution. In this paper we develop Edgeworkth expansions as approximation to the true and bootstrap distributions of normalized nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator of survival function in the Koziol-Green model and then use these results to show that the bootstrap approximations have second order accuracy.

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Noninformative priors for the shape parameter in the generalized Pareto distribution

  • Kang, Sang Gil;Kim, Dal Ho;Lee, Woo Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.171-178
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we develop noninformative priors for the generalized Pareto distribution when the parameter of interest is the shape parameter. We developed the first order and the second order matching priors.We revealed that the second order matching prior does not exist. It turns out that the reference prior satisfies a first order matching criterion, but Jeffrey's prior is not a first order matching prior. Some simulation study is performed and a real example is given.

Estimation of Asymmetric Bell Shaped Probability Curve using Logistic Regression (로지스틱 회귀모형을 이용한 비대칭 종형 확률곡선의 추정)

  • 박성현;김기호;이소형
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2001
  • Logistic regression model is one of the most popular linear models for a binary response variable and used for the estimation of probability function. In many practical situations, the probability function can be expressed by a bell shaped curve and such a function can be estimated by a second order logistic regression model. However, when the probability curve is asymmetric, the estimation results using a second order logistic regression model may not be precise because a second order logistic regression model is a symmetric function. In addition, even if a second order logistic regression model is used, the interpretation for the effect of second order term may not be easy. In this paper, in order to alleviate such problems, an estimation method for asymmetric probabiity curve based on a first order logistic regression model and iterative bi-section method is proposed and its performance is compared with that of a second order logistic regression model by a simulation study.

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