• 응용통계연구
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• 제33권3호
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• pp.347-355
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• 2020

IM 모형(Isolation-with-Migration model; IM model)은 현존하는 집단들의 크기, 그 집단들이 공통 조상 집단으로부터 분리 된 분화 시간, 그리고 현존 집단 간의 이주율을 추정하는 데 널리 사용되는 진화 모형이다. IM 모형과 같은 진화 모형은 그 진화 모형 내 현존 집단으로부터 추출 된 DNA 염기서열을 분석하여 추정할 수 있다. 참인 진화 모형이 데이터가 추출되지 않은 미표본 집단(unsampled population) 혹은 소위 ghost라 불리는 집단을 포함할 때, 종종 이 미표본 집단을 제외한 진화 모델이 추론된다. 본 논문에서는 미표본 집단이 표본집단의 크기 추정에 미치는 영향을 조사하기 위해 모의실험을 수행하였다. 표본집단과 미표본집단 사이에 이주 사건들이 존재하는 경우, 표본집단의 크기의 추정량은 편향되었다. 그러나 미표본집단을 포함한 진화 모델이 추정되면 표본집단의 크기의 추정량은 많은 경우 개선되었다.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제6권3호
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• pp.729-748
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• 1999

In this paper we present combined estimator of capture-recapture and line transect model using bivariate detection function and detection probability according to objects being in cluster population. Here bivariate detection function use distance and cluster size. The simulation shows that combined estimator approaches the more true value the larger size parameter. Therefore this estimator using the bivariate detection function is more efficient in estimate the population size and density by size parameter.

• 한국인구학
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• 제29권1호
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• pp.269-292
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• 2006

오늘날 환경문제는 범지구적이며 인류의 생존 자체를 위협할 만큼 심각하다. 산업화가 환경문제 발생의 근원적 원인이다. 그러나 자연관 자연에 대한 지식 증가, 기술개발, 경제성장과 불평등, 인구 등 산업화의 과정 또는 결과로 인해 초래되는 개별 요소들도 환경문제 발생의 중요한 원인들로 지적되고 있다. 특히 인구를 환경문제 발생의 한 원인으로 보는 관점은 적정인구의 초과를 주장하고 있다. 그 이유는 인구가 지탱되는 데 필요한 의식주의 자원은 전적으로 자연에 의존하고 있고, 풍요롭고 편리한 의식주를 위한 재화와 용역의 생산, 유통, 소비 과정에서 배출되는 폐기물도 모두 자연으로 되돌아가는데 오늘날 인구수는 자연이 감당할 수 있는 자원공급과 폐기물 흡수 처리용량을 초과하고 있기 때문이다. 그러나 몇 명이 적정인구인가에 관한 연구는 국내외적으로 아직 없다. 이런 맥락에서 본 연구는 환경 측면에서 한국이 수용가능한 적정인구를 두 차원에서 추계하였다. 하나는 환경상태 및 이와 관련된 변인들에 기초한 추계이고, 다른 하나는 국민들이 바람직하다고 생각하는 환경상태와 이와 관련된 변인들에 기초한 추계이다. 전자는 객관적 상태에 기초한 추계이고, 후자는 사회적 합의에 의한 추계라고 할 수 있다. 객관적 상태에 의한 최소 적정인구는 약 4,749만 명으로 추계되었고, 사회적 합의에 의한 적정인구는 4,850만 명으로 추계되었다. 그러나 정부환경예산을 2.00%로 증액시키면 수용가능한 적정인구는 5,046만 명으로 증가한다. 이처럼 적정인구는 변인들의 값에 따라 증감한다. 적정인구 결정에 가장 강한 영향을 주는 변인이 정부의 환경예산이고, 다음으로 청정에너지공급 등이다. 그러나 본 연구는 1993년부터 2002년까지 10년간 시계일 자료에 기초한 적정인구 추계이기 때문에 다른 연도의 시계열 자료에 기초하면 적정인구 추계모형이 달라지고, 그 결과 적정인구수도 다르게 추계될 수 있다.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제47권4호
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• pp.847-859
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• 2019

Purpose: The companies must be located in the area, scale up, create jobs, and return to the local economy. This paper attempted to analyze empirically the relationship between regional context and entrepreneurial orientation(EO) in the region of Korea. Methods: This paper analyzed survey data and regional statistics. We measured EO by region and then examined which regional context affect EO. Regional contexts were measured by population, economic size, budget size, firm size, innovation capacity, and education level. EO was measured by innovativeness, risk taking, proactiveness, autonomy, competitive aggressiveness, and need for achievement. Results: EO was high in the region where the budget size per thousand population, the number of manufacturers per thousand population, the number of new corporations per thousand population, the number of R&D personnel per thousand population, and the number of students of higher education institutions per thousand population were high. Conclusion: The implications of this paper are that regional context affect EO, and there are differences in budget scale, firm size, innovation capacity, and education level. In regions with many investment resources for innovation and startups and manufacturers, the number of R&D personnel and students of higher education institutions (future R&D personnel), in particular, determines EO.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제17권6호
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• pp.791-801
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• 2010

마이크로데이터 제공시 발생될 수 있는 노출(disclosure)과 노출위험을 나타내는데 사용되는 측도인 유일성(uniqueness) 그리고 모집단 유일성의 개수를 추정하기 위한 초모집단 모형으로 Multinomial-Dirichlet 모형, Takemura의 Poisson-Gamma 모형, Modified Multinomial-Dirichlet 모형, Bethlehem의 Poisson-Gamma 모형을 다룬다. 이 4개의 모형에 대해 마이크로데이터 제공에 따른 임계모집단 크기(critical population size)를 결정한다.

• 한국인구학
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• 제17권1호
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• pp.1-16
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• 1994

Since 1962, the population growth control has been one of the most important aims in the 5-Year So-cioeconomic Development Plans of Korea. The annual population growth rate has dropped to tess than 1 percent in 1990 from about 3 percents in 1960s, and projected to reach to $\ulcorner$0$\urcorner$ percent in 2021. From 2021, Korean population will decrease and the age structure will be distorted because birth rate will drop suddenly and continuously. Thus, we can consider $\ulcorner$0$\urcorner$ growth population for minimizing the prob- lems on the decreasing population. To discuss the problems caused from the changes of population size and age- sex composition, we projected three kinds of population including two kinds of $\ulcorner$0$\urcorner$ growth population under different as- sumptions. The first is the population which extended the projection of National Statistical Office up to 2090. Because the TFR is assumed and fixed as low as 1.63 after 1990, the population growth rate will be under $\ulcorner$0$\urcorner$ in 2021 and drop by about 1 percent every year from around 2050. This population trend results to old age population : 38.1 of old- age dependency ratio and 46.5 years of median age. The second is the population which the size in 2021 projected by the NOS continues after 2021. To change over from the decreasing population after 2021 to the $\ulcorner$0$\urcorner$ growth one, the TFR should be in-creased up to over 3.0 in 2040-2050, which fertility level would be too high to be accepted. The third is the population which approaches to the $\ulcorner$0$\urcorner$ growth population under the assumptions that the TFR increases from 1.63 to 2.1 in the period of 2010-2030 and then the same level continues. Although the maximum population size reaches 51, 503 thousand persons, the population will approach to the stationary population with about 42.4 million persons around 2090. In this projected population there is no more serious problems on population composition, on the rapid decrease of population, and on the increase TFR level. When the $\ulcorner$0$\urcorner$ growth population continues the problems of over population caused by the populationincrease wou]d be minimized, and the problems of unusual age composition resulted from the popula-tion decrease would not be found any more. Furthermore, when the changes of population size and composition is continuing slowly, the factors of population would effect moderately to socioeconomic development and help social changes. Therefore, with the attention of the present population changes, we should adapt new and detailde population policy which is able to get the $\ulcorner$0$\urcorner$ growth population.

• Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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• 제63권6호
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• pp.1232-1246
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• 2021

Recently, the cattle genome sequence has been completed, followed by developing a commercial single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) chip panel in the animal genome industry. In order to increase statistical power for detecting quantitative trait locus (QTL), a number of animals should be genotyped. However, a high-density chip for many animals would be increasing the genotyping cost. Therefore, statistical inference of genotype imputation (low-density chip to high-density) will be useful in the animal industry. The purpose of this study is to investigate the effect of the reference population size and marker density on the imputation accuracy and to suggest the appropriate number of reference population sets for the imputation in Hanwoo cattle. A total of 3,821 Hanwoo cattle were divided into reference and validation populations. The reference sets consisted of 50k (38,916) marker data and different population sizes (500, 1,000, 1,500, 2,000, and 3,600). The validation sets consisted of four validation sets (Total 889) and the different marker density (5k [5,000], 10k [10,000], and 15k [15,000]). The accuracy of imputation was calculated by direct comparison of the true genotype and the imputed genotype. In conclusion, when the lowest marker density (5k) was used in the validation set, according to the reference population size, the imputation accuracy was 0.793 to 0.929. On the other hand, when the highest marker density (15k), according to the reference population size, the imputation accuracy was 0.904 to 0.967. Moreover, the reference population size should be more than 1,000 to obtain at least 88% imputation accuracy in Hanwoo cattle.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제28권12호
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• pp.1123-1131
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• 2019

In this study, we investigated the spatial range, distribution pattern, temporal appearance, sex ratio, seasonal pattern, and size of the population of Leptalina unicolor locally inhabiting the wetland protection area in the Jaeyaksan Mountain. We found that the butterfly was distributed across four areas at 750 m above sea level and in an area of 96,000 ㎡. in the southeastern slope of the mountain. The discontinuous distribution of the butterflies in the meadow. According to our survey conducted from 2012 to 2014, L. unicolor occurred in May (spring) and July (summer) each year, with the male population more than three times higher than that of the female population. The population size estimated using the mark and recapture method on the back of the hind wing in the two years was as follows: 877±502 and 1243±800 individuals in the spring and summer of 2012, respectively, and 783±429 and 506±365 individuals in the spring and summer of 2014, respectively, suggesting no specific seasonal pattern. The findings of this study are expected to be useful for the conservation of the populations and habitats of L. unicolor, which are currently distributed locally due to a decrease in population size.

• Proceedings of the National Institute of Ecology of the Republic of Korea
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• 제4권1호
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• pp.1-8
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• 2023

In this study, we aimed to quantify the population size and spatial distribution of three predatory Scarites species in coastal sand dunes. In June and August 2014, 252 pitfall traps were utilized to conduct a trapping web analysis at three distinct sites with varying vegetation dominance values. Scarites sulcatus had the largest estimated population in a 10 m² area with a habitat density of 36.6 in a Vitex rotundifolia community area (site B) in the June survey. In contrast, Scarites aterrimus had the largest population size with a habitat density of 2.9 in a Calystegia soldanella community area (site A) in the August survey. Spatial distribution analysis revealed that S. sulcatus dominated the Vitex rotundifolia community without preference for a particular site, whereas S. aterrimus and Scarites terricola pacificus were primarily observed on the beach. The results indicated that the three Scarites species in the Sohwang coastal sand dune region exhibited differences in their spatial and temporal distributions in the coastal dune ecosystem in order to avoid competition and predation. In conclusion, our findings can be utilized to estimate the population density of the genus Scarites on the Korean Peninsula. The outcomes of this study will contribute to estimating insect population densities on the Korean Peninsula and developing investigative assessment methodologies.

• 농촌계획
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• 제24권3호
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• pp.127-135
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• 2018

In countries and regions population plays an important role. Recently the importance of population migration increased as population growth slowed. Researches on population migration are mainly focused on the analysis of the population movement factors and the regional structure analysis using the network analysis method. Analysis of regional structure through population movement is not enough to explain the phenomenon of migration of small cities and rural regions. In this study, to overcome the limit of previous studies the characteristics of the population movement rate according to the size of the population were analyzed. Also network analysis using the population movement OD (Origin and Destination) and population movement rate OD were conducted and the results of them were compared. As the results of analysis by the regional population scale, the population movement by population size showed a big difference in the areas with more than 100 thousand people and less than 100 thousand people. Migration to the outside of the province was the most frequent in regions with 30,000~50,000 people. The population migration rate network analysis result showed that the new area with large population inflow capacity was identified, which could not be found in the population movement network analysis because population movement number is small. The population movement rate irate is expected to be used to identify the central regions of the province and to analyze the difference in resident attractiveness.