• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제26권6호
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• pp.611-622
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• 2019

This paper considers the estimation of the long memory parameter in nonparametric regression with strongly correlated errors. The key idea is to minimize a unified mean squared error of long memory parameter to select both kernel bandwidth and the number of frequencies used in exact local Whittle estimation. A unified mean squared error framework is more natural because it provides both goodness of fit and measure of strong dependence. The block bootstrap is applied to evaluate the mean squared error. Finite sample performance using Monte Carlo simulations shows the closest performance to the oracle. The proposed method outperforms existing methods especially when dependency and sample size increase. The proposed method is also illustreated to the volatility of exchange rate between Korean Won for US dollar.

• 한국통신학회논문지
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• 제36권6C호
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• pp.384-390
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• 2011

The paper derives formulas for the mean-squared error distortion and resulting signal-to-noise (SNR) ratio of a fixed-rate scalar quantizer designed optimally in the minimum mean-squared error sense for a Gaussian density with the standard deviation ${\sigma}_q$ when it is mismatched to a Laplacian density with the standard deviation ${\sigma}_q$. The SNR formulas, based on the key parameter and Bennett's integral, are found accurate for a wide range of $p\({\equiv}\frac{\sigma_p}{\sigma_q}\){\geqq}0.25$. Also an upper bound to the SNR is derived, which becomes tighter with increasing rate R and indicates that the SNR behaves asymptotically as $\frac{20\sqrt{3{\ln}2}}{{\rho}{\ln}10}\;{\sqrt{R}}$ dB.

• International journal of advanced smart convergence
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.206-211
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• 2024

This study used a total of 205,565 datasets of 'voltage', 'current', '℃', and 'time(s)' to systematically analyze the properties and performance of solid electrolytes. As a method for characterizing solid electrolytes, a linear regression model, one of the machine learning models, is used to visualize the relationship between 'voltage' and 'current' and calculate the regression coefficient, mean squared error (MSE), and coefficient of determination (R^2). The regression coefficient between 'Voltage' and 'Current' in the results of the linear regression model is about 1.89, indicating that 'Voltage' has a positive effect on 'Current', and it is expected that the current will increase by about 1.89 times as the voltage increases. MSE found that the mean squared error between the model's predicted and actual values was about 0.3, with smaller values closer to the model's predictions to the actual values. The coefficient of determination (R^2) is about 0.25, which can be interpreted as explaining 25% of the data.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제21권5호
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• pp.435-444
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• 2014

The most widely used optimal bandwidth is known to minimize the mean integrated squared error(MISE) of a kernel density estimator from a true density. In this article proposes, we propose a bandwidth which asymptotically minimizes the mean integrated density power divergence(MIDPD) between a true density and a corresponding kernel density estimator. An approximated form of the mean integrated density power divergence is derived and a bandwidth is obtained as a product of minimization based on the approximated form. The resulting bandwidth resembles the optimal bandwidth by Parzen (1962), but it reflects the nature of a model density more than the existing optimal bandwidths. We have one more choice of an optimal bandwidth with a firm theoretical background; in addition, an empirical study we show that the bandwidth from the mean integrated density power divergence can produce a density estimator fitting a sample better than the bandwidth from the mean integrated squared error.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제26권2호
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• pp.349-360
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• 2013

최근 일별 최대 전력수요 예측은 전력설비 계획 및 운용에 매우 중요한 사안으로 주목받고 있다. 본 연구는 일별 최대 전력수요 예측을 위하여 대표적 시계열 모형을 소개하고, 예측의 성능 비교를 위하여 RMSE(Root mean squared error)와 MAPE(Mean absolute percentage error)를 사용한다. 연구결과로 보완된 Holt-Winters 모형과 Reg-ARIMA 모형이 다른 모형에 비하여 우수한 예측 성능을 보였다.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.121-131
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• 2007

In this paper, we examine the problem of estimating the sensitive characteristics and behaviors in a multinomial randomized response model using Bayesian approach. We derived a posterior distribution for parameter of interest for multinomial randomized response model. Based on the posterior distribution, we also calculated a credible intervals and mean squared error (MSE). We finally compare the maximum likelihood estimator and the Bayes estimator in terms of MSE.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.1-9
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• 2007

A three-state Markov logistic regression model is suggested to forecast the probability of tomorrow's precipitation based on the current meteorological situation. The suggested model turns out to be better than Markov regression model in the sense of the mean squared error of forecasting for the rainfall data of Seoul area.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제19권3호
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• pp.951-957
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• 2008

We derive some approximate maximum likelihood estimators(AMLEs) and maximum likelihood estimator(MLE) of the scale parameter in the half-triangle distribution based on progressively Type-II censored samples. We compare the proposed estimators in the sense of the mean squared error for various censored samples. We also obtain the approximate maximum likelihood estimators of the reliability function using the proposed estimators. We compare the proposed estimators in the sense of the mean squared error.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제16권3호
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• pp.629-638
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• 2005

We derive the approximate maximum likelihood estimators of the scale parameter and location parameter of the extreme value distribution based on multiply Type-II censored samples. We compare the proposed estimators in the sense of the mean squared error for various censored samples.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제28권3호
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• pp.325-336
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• 1999

Collinearity among independent variables can have severe effects on the precision of response estimation for some region of interest in the experiments with mixture. A method of finding optimal linear restriction on regression parameter in linear model for mixture experiments in the sense of minimizing integrated mean squared error is studied. We use the formulation of optimal restrictions on regression parameters for estimating responses proposed by Park(1981) by transforming mixture components to mathematically independent variables.