• 대기
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• 제30권3호
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• pp.311-318
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• 2020

Impacts on the atmospheric circulation and ocean system over the Mediterranean during boreal summer are investigated using Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) historical simulations (from 1911 to 2005). As the climate warms, global and remote effects lead to a strengthening in descending motion, an increase in sea surface temperature (SST) and surface dryness, but a decrease in marine primary production over the Western Mediterranean. The global effect is estimated from interannual variability over the global mean SST and the remote effect is driven by diabatic forcing generated from the South and East Asian summer monsoons. On the other hand, a local contribution leads to the strengthened descending motion and increased surface dryness over the Eastern Mediterranean, whereas the marine primary production over this region tends to increase due to possibly the urban wastewater and sewage. Our result suggests that particular attention needs to be paid to conserve the marine ecosystem over the Mediterranean.

• 대기
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• 제25권1호
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• pp.179-183
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• 2015

Even though state-of-the-art general circulation models is improved step by step, the seasonal predictability of the East Asian summer monsoon still remains poor. In contrast, the seasonal predictability of western North Pacific and Indian monsoon region using dynamic models is relatively high. This study builds canonical correlation analysis model for seasonal prediction using wind fields over western North Pacific and Indian Ocean from the Global Seasonal Forecasting System version 5 (GloSea5), and then assesses the predictability of so-called hybrid model. In addition, we suggest improvement method for forecast skill by introducing the lagged ensemble technique.

• Ocean Science Journal
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• 제41권1호
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• pp.1-10
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• 2006

Total sea surface temperature (SST) in a coupled GCM is diagnosed by separating the variability into signal variance and noise variance. The signal and the noise is calculated from multi-decadal simulations from the COLA anomaly coupled GCM and the interactive ensemble model by assuming both simulations have a similar signal variance. The interactive ensemble model is a new coupling strategy that is designed to increase signal to noise ratio by using an ensemble of atmospheric realizations coupled to a single ocean model. The procedure for separating the signal and the noise variability presented here does not rely on any ad hoc temporal or spatial filter. Based on these simulations, we find that the signal versus the noise of SST variability in the North Pacific is significantly different from that in the equatorial Pacific. The noise SST variability explains the majority of the total variability in the North Pacific, whereas the signal dominates in the deep tropics. It is also found that the spatial characteristics of the signal and the noise are also distinct in the North Pacific and equatorial Pacific.

• 한국해안해양공학회지
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.80-87
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• 2001

GFDL의 진단적 모형인 MOM(Modular Ocean Model)을 이용한 전구 해수순환이 연구되었다. 모형의 수평 해상도는 1/2$^{\circ}$이며, 수직으로는 21개의 층을 가지고 있다. 열염 관측자료로는 Levitus등(1994)의 자료를, 바람응력자료는 Hellerman과 Rosenstein(1983)의 자료를 사용하였다. 대표적인 분할지역을 가로지르는 수평적 유량 및 열염이송이 모형결과로부터 계산되었다. 초기결과로서 다음과 같은 사실을 알 수 있었다. 대서양, 인도양 및 태평양에서 적도를 통한 수송량이 매우 작았지만 적도를 횡단하는 대서양지역의 열수송은 관측결과에 의하면 북향이었는데 이는 명백히 상층의 난류를 보상하는 북대서양 심해에서의 남향 흐름의 영향이다. 본 연구에서 계산된 태평양 적도지역의 연평균 열수송량은 Philander등(1987)에 의해 계산된 값보다는 작은 값을 보였는데 태평양의 열수송에서 Indonesian Throughflow의 중요성을 말해주는 것으로 보인다. 본 연구에서는 인도네시아 군도를 통한 열수송량이 -0.5PW 정도로 계산되었는데 북대서양과 태평양에서의 극방향 열수송과 비견될 만한 양이다. 구획5와 구획6해역의 열수송의 차이는 아굴라스 해류가 전구 해양의 열평형에서 차지하는 중요한 역할을 제시하였다.

• Ocean and Polar Research
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• 제32권4호
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• pp.379-386
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• 2010

This study examines changes in the Arctic sea ice associated with global warming by analyzing the climate coupled general circulation models (CGCMs) provided in the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. We selected nine models for better performance under 20th century climate conditions based on two different criteria, and then estimated the changes in sea ice extent under global warming conditions. Under projected 21st century climate conditions, all models, with the exception of the GISS-AOM model, project a reduction in sea ice extent in all seasons. The mean reduction in summer (-63%) is almost four times larger than that in winter (-16%), resulting an enhancement of seasonal variations in sea ice extent. The difference between the models, however, becomes larger under the 21st century climate conditions than under 20th century conditions, thus limiting the reliability of sea-ice projections derived from the current CGCMs.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2005년도 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.138-142
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• 2005

The change of precipitation and temperature due to the global. warming eventually caused the variation of water availability in terms of potential evapotranspiration, soil moisture, and runoff. In this reason national long-term water resource planning should be considered the effect of climate change. Study of AOGCM-based scenario to proposed the plausible future states of the climate system has become increasingly important for hydrological impact assessment. Future climate changes over East Asia are projected from the coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model (AOGCM) simulations based on Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A2 and B2 scenarios using multi-model ensembles (MMEs) method (Min et al. 2004). MME method is used to reduce the uncertainty of individual models. However, the uncertainty increases are larger over the small area than the large area. It is demonstrated that the temperature increases is larger over continental area than oceanic area in the 21st century.

• 대기
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• 제32권3호
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• pp.235-246
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• 2022

A large number of MJO skill metrics and process-oriented MJO simulation metrics have been developed by previous studies including the MJO Working Group and Task Force. To assess models' successes and shortcomings in the MJO simulation, a standardized set of diagnostics with the additional set of dynamics-oriented diagnostics are applied. The Global Coupled (GC) model developed for the operation of the climate prediction system is used with the comparison between the GC2 and GC3.1. Two GC models successfully capture three-dimensional dynamic and thermodynamic structure as well as coherent eastward propagation from the reference regions of the Indian Ocean and the western Pacific. The low-level moisture convergence (LLMC) ahead of the MJO deep convection, the low-level westerly and easterly associated with the coupled Rossby-Kelvin wave and the upper-level divergence are simulated successfully. The GC3.1 model simulates a better three-dimensional structure of MJO and thus reproduces more realistic eastward propagation. In GC2, the MJO convection following the LLMC near and east of the Maritime Continent is much weaker than observation and has an asymmetric distribution of both low and upper-level circulation anomalies. The common shortcomings of GC2 and GC3.1 are revealed in the shorter MJO periods and relatively weak LLMC as well as convective activity over the western Indian Ocean.

• 한국해양공학회지
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.29-35
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• 2006

The flow patterns around multi-circular cylinders are studies, in order to obtain a global view on the structure of wave control and circulation of sea flow in coastal region. The flow force depends upon the vortex shedding exerted on the structure, especially how the vortex shedding affects the erosion when the structure sets on the sand bottom. Therefore, it is necessary that the flow pattern be hocked. In order to simulate the flow around multi-circular cylinders, the CFX and FLUENT of the computational fluid dynamics (CFD) program were used and compared with the experimental results of the flow visualization installation. The phenomena of flow around the multi-cylinders will be applied to fundamental data for predicting the flow force acting against the structure, erosion and sedimentation around cylinders in arrangement.

• 한국해양학회지:바다
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• 제8권3호
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• pp.295-306
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• 2003

산업혁명 이후 인류가 과량으로 방출한 이산화탄소가 지구환경에 어떤 영향을 미치는지, 그리고 해양이 흡수하는 탄소량의 크기가 얼마인지에 대한 연구들이 진행되고 있다. 대양과 비슷한 순환 특징을 가지고 있는 동해가 이산화탄소 증가와 지구온난화에 대해 어떻게 반응하는지를 알아보기 위한 연구계획의 일환으로 탄소순환에 중요하게 기여하는 생물펌프의 크기를 간단한 상자모형을 적용시켜 추정하였다. 매개변수로는 인산염을 사용하였는데, 동해에서 일어나고 있는 수층 구조의 변화를 고려해서 해수 수지와 용존산소 수지를 맞춘 다음에, 인산염의 과거 자료를 바탕으로 인의 순환 플럭스를 모사하였다. 1952년부터 2040년까지 모사해 본 결과, 동해에서 생물펌프는 점차 강화되고 있고, 현재 0.0156 Pg C yr$^{-1}$ 정도를 해양 내부로 내보내고 있는 것으로 추정된다. 한편 동해의 해수순환은 저층수를 만드는 것이 줄어드는 반면 중앙층으로 유입이 증가하는 추세이다. 산소가 풍부한 표층수가 중앙층으로 유입되면서 유광층에서 하강한 생물입자들의 분해가 이 층에서 활발해져서 영양염을 표층으로 되돌리는 것이 강화될 것으로 보인다. 이렇게 되면 생물에 의한 탄소제거가 늘어나게 될 깃이다. 지난 50년간의 생물펌프 변화로 블 때 산업혁명 이후 생물에 의한 동해의 인류기원 이산화탄소 흡수량은 0.025 Pg C 정도로 추정된다.

• 한국측량학회지
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• 제38권2호
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• pp.153-163
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• 2020

After launching the GOCE (Gravity Field and Steady-State Ocean Circulation Explorer) which obtains high-frequency gravity signal using a gravity gradiometer, many research institutes are concentrating on the development of GGM (Global Geopotential Model) based on GOCE data and evaluating its precision. The precision of some GGMs was also evaluated in Korea. However, some studies dealt with GGMs constructed based on initial GOCE data or others applied a part of GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite System) / Leveling data on UCPs (Unified Control Points) for the precision evaluation. Now, GGMs which have a higher degree than EGM2008 (Earth Gravitational Model 2008) are available and UCPs were fully established at the end of 2019. Thus, EIGEN-6C4 (European Improved Gravity Field of the Earth by New techniques - 6C4), GECO (GOCE and EGM2008 Combined model), XGM2016 (Experimental Gravity Field Model 2016), SGG-UGM-1, XGM2019e_2159 were collected with EGM2008, and their precisions were assessed based on the GNSS/Leveling data on UCPs. Among GGMs, it was found that XGM2019e_2159 showed the minimum difference compared to a total of 5,313 points of GNSS/Leveling data. It is about a 1.5cm and 0.6cm level of improvement compare to EGM2008 and EIGEN-6C4. Especially, the local biases in the northern part of Gyeonggi-do, Jeju island shown in the EGM2008 was removed, so that both mean and standard deviation of the difference of XGM2019e_2159 to the GNSS/Leveling are homogeneous regardless of region (mountainous or plain area). NGA (National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency) is currently in progress in developing EGM2020 and XGM2019e_2159 is the experimentally published model of EGM2020. Therefore, it is expected that the improved GGM will be available shortly so that it is necessary to verify the precision of new GGMs consistently.