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http://dx.doi.org/10.14191/Atmos.2015.25.1.179

A Prediction of Northeast Asian Summer Precipitation Using Teleconnection  

Lee, Kang-Jin (Physical Oceanography Division, Korea Institute of Ocean Science and Technology)
Kwon, MinHo (Physical Oceanography Division, Korea Institute of Ocean Science and Technology)
Publication Information
Atmosphere / v.25, no.1, 2015 , pp. 179-183 More about this Journal
Abstract
Even though state-of-the-art general circulation models is improved step by step, the seasonal predictability of the East Asian summer monsoon still remains poor. In contrast, the seasonal predictability of western North Pacific and Indian monsoon region using dynamic models is relatively high. This study builds canonical correlation analysis model for seasonal prediction using wind fields over western North Pacific and Indian Ocean from the Global Seasonal Forecasting System version 5 (GloSea5), and then assesses the predictability of so-called hybrid model. In addition, we suggest improvement method for forecast skill by introducing the lagged ensemble technique.
Keywords
Monsoon; seasonal prediction; canonical correlation analysis; lagged ensemble technique;
Citations & Related Records
Times Cited By KSCI : 2  (Citation Analysis)
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