• Title/Summary/Keyword: exponentially weighted moving average

Search Result 73, Processing Time 0.018 seconds

Dynamic bivariate correlation methods comparison study in fMRI

  • Jaehee Kim
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.31 no.1
    • /
    • pp.87-104
    • /
    • 2024
  • Most functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) studies in resting state have assumed that the functional connectivity (FC) between time series from distinct brain regions is constant. However, increased interest has recently been in quantifying possible dynamic changes in FC during fMRI experiments. FC study may provide insight into the fundamental workings of brain networks to brain activity. In this work, we focus on the specific problem of estimating the dynamic behavior of pairwise correlations between time courses extracted from two different brain regions. We compare the sliding-window techniques such as moving average (MA) and exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA), dynamic causality with vector autoregressive (VAR) model, dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) based on volatility, and the proposed alternative methods to use differencing and recursive residuals. We investigate the properties of those techniques in a series of simulation studies. We also provide an application with major depressive disorder (MDD) patient fMRI data to demonstrate studying dynamic correlations.

Enhancing TCP Performance to Persistent Packet Reordering

  • Leung Ka-Cheong;Ma Changming
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
    • /
    • v.7 no.3
    • /
    • pp.385-393
    • /
    • 2005
  • In this paper, we propose a simple algorithm to adaptively adjust the value of dupthresh, the duplicate acknowledgement threshold that triggers the transmission control protocol (TCP) fast retransmission algorithm, to improve the TCP performance in a network environment with persistent packet reordering. Our algorithm uses an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) and the mean deviation of the lengths of the reordering events reported by a TCP receiver with the duplicate selective acknowledgement (DSACK) extension to estimate the value of dupthresh. We also apply an adaptive upper bound on dupthresh to avoid the retransmission timeout events. In addition, our algorithm includes a mechanism to exponentially reduce dupthresh when the retransmission timer expires. With these mechanisms, our algorithm is capable of converging to and staying at a near-optimal interval of dupthresh. The simulation results show that our algorithm improves the protocol performance significantly with minimal overheads, achieving a greater throughput and fewer false fast retransmissions.

A Study on the Design of Adaptive EWMA Control Chart using Kalman Gain Recursive Average (칼만 게인 궤환 평균을 이용한 적응 EWMA 관리도 설계)

  • Yoon, Sangwon;Yoon, Seokhwan;Shin, Yongback
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
    • /
    • v.24 no.1
    • /
    • pp.73-86
    • /
    • 1996
  • Adaptive EWMA(Exponentially Weighted Moving Average)-x control chart using the Kalman gain recursive average is designed. The designed control chart is effective to on-line process monitoring as continuous flow processes. Performance evaluation between the designed control chart and traditional one is implemented. For this, ARL(Average Run Length) is adopted as a criterion. Results show that the designed adaptive EWMA-x control chart has shorter ARL than EWMA-x control chart when process mean is shifted. This model can be extended to process prevention control. The methodology proposed in this research is turned out to show the high performance than that of the given methodologies.

  • PDF

Comparison of EWMA and CUSUM Charts with Variable Sampling Intervals for Monitoring Variance-Covariance Matrix

  • Chang, Duk-Joon
    • Journal of Integrative Natural Science
    • /
    • v.13 no.4
    • /
    • pp.152-157
    • /
    • 2020
  • To monitor all elements simultaneously of variance-covariance matrix Σ of several correlated quality characteristics under multivariate normal process Np($\underline{\mu}$, Σ), multivariate exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) chart and cumulative sum (CUSUM) chart are considered and compared. Numerical performances of the considered variable sampling interval (VSI) charts are evaluated using average run length (ARL), average time to signal (ATS), average number of switches (ANSW) to signal, and the probability of switch Pr(switch) between two sampling interval d1 and d2 where d1 < d2. For small or moderate changes of Σ, the performances of multivariate EWMA chart is approximately equivalent to that of multivariate CUSUM chart.

Evaluating the ANSS and ATS Values of the Multivariate EWMA Control Charts with Markov Chain Method

  • Chang, Duk-Joon
    • Journal of Integrative Natural Science
    • /
    • v.7 no.3
    • /
    • pp.200-207
    • /
    • 2014
  • Average number of samples to signal (ANSS) and average time to signal (ATS) are the most widely used criterion for comparing the efficiencies of the quality control charts. In this study the method of evaluating ANSS and ATS values of the multivariate exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts with Markov chain approach was presented when the production process is in control state or out of control state. Through numerical results, it is found that when the number of transient state r is less than 50, the calculated ANSS and ATS values are unstable; and ATS(r) tends to be stabilized when r is greater than 100; in addition, when the properties of multivariate EWMA control chart is evaluated using Markov chain method, the number of transient state r requires bigger values when the smoothing constatnt ${\lambda}$ becomes smaller.

An Adaptive Synthetic Control Chart for Detecting Shifts in the Process Mean (공정평균 이동을 탐지하기 위한 적응 합성 관리도)

  • Lim Taejin
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
    • /
    • v.32 no.4
    • /
    • pp.169-183
    • /
    • 2004
  • The synthetic control chart (SCC) proposed by Wu and Spedding (2000) is to detect shifts in the process mean. The performance was re-evaluated by Davis and Woodall (2002), and the steady-state average run length (ARL) performance was shown to be inferior to cumulative sum (CUSUM) or exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) chart This paper proposes a simple adaptive scheme to improve the performance of the synthetic control chart. That is, once a non-conforming (NC) sample occurs, we investigate the next L-consecutive samples with larger sample sizes and shorter sampling intervals. We employ a Markov chain model to derive the ARL and the average time to s19na1 (ATS). We also propose a statistical design procedure for determining decision variables. Comprehensive comparative study shows that the proposed control chart is uniformly superior to the original SCC or double sampling (DS) Χ chart and comparable to the EWMA chart in ATS performance.

Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Charts for Counted Data (계수치 데이터를 위한 EWMA 관리도)

  • An, Dong-Geun;Jang, Joong-Soon
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
    • /
    • v.22 no.4
    • /
    • pp.13-27
    • /
    • 1994
  • This study is concerned with design of EWMA control charts for counted data. Control charts for the fraction defective and the number of defects are designed. Performance analysis is accomplished for validity of the designed EWMA control charts. Average run length(ARL) is adopted as a criterion for comparison. Simulation results show that the designed EWMA control charts have shorter ARL than pn, p and c control charts when the fraction nonconforming or the average defect number are shifted. This means that the designed control charts can detect the out of -control state of the process more fastly than the traditional control charts.

  • PDF

Development of a Hybrid Exponential Forecasting Model for Household Electric Power Consumption (가정용(家庭用) 전력수요예측(電力需要豫測)을 위(爲)한 혼합지표(混合指表) 모델의 개발(開發))

  • Hwang, Hak;Kim, Jun-Sik
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
    • /
    • v.7 no.1
    • /
    • pp.21-31
    • /
    • 1981
  • This paper develops a short term forecasting model for household electric power consumption in Seoul, which can be used for the effective planning and control of utility management. The model developed is based on exponentially weighted moving average model and incorporates monthly average temperature as an exogeneous factor so as to enhance its forecasting accuracy. The model is empirically compared with the Winters' three parameter model which is widely used in practice and the Box-Jenkins model known to be one of the most accurate short term forecasting techniques. The result indicates that the developed hybrid exponential model is better in terms of accuracy measured by average forecast error, mean squared error, and autocorrelated error.

  • PDF

An Adaptive Moving Average (A-MA) Control Chart with Variable Sampling Intervals (VSI) (가변 샘플링 간격(VSI)을 갖는 적응형 이동평균 (A-MA) 관리도)

  • Lim, Tae-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
    • /
    • v.33 no.4
    • /
    • pp.457-468
    • /
    • 2007
  • This paper proposes an adaptive moving average (A-MA) control chart with variable sampling intervals (VSI) for detecting shifts in the process mean. The basic idea of the VSI A-MA chart is to adjust sampling intervals as well as to accumulate previous samples selectively in order to increase the sensitivity. The VSI A-MA chart employs a threshold limit to determine whether or not to increase sampling rate as well as to accumulate previous samples. If a standardized control statistic falls outside the threshold limit, the next sample is taken with higher sampling rate and is accumulated to calculate the next control statistic. If the control statistic falls within the threshold limit, the next sample is taken with lower sampling rate and only the sample is used to get the control statistic. The VSI A-MA chart produces an 'out-of-control' signal either when any control statistic falls outside the control limit or when L-consecutive control statistics fall outside the threshold limit. The control length L is introduced to prevent small mean shifts from being undetected for a long period. A Markov chain model is employed to investigate the VSI A-MA sampling process. Formulae related to the steady state average time-to signal (ATS) for an in-control state and out-of-control state are derived in closed forms. A statistical design procedure for the VSI A-MA chart is proposed. Comparative studies show that the proposed VSI A-MA chart is uniformly superior to the adaptive Cumulative sum (CUSUM) chart and to the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) chart, and is comparable to the variable sampling size (VSS) VSI EWMA chart with respect to the ATS performance.

Application of Patient-based Real-time Quality Control (환자 기반 실시간 정도관리의 적용)

  • Seung Mo LEE;Kyung-A SHIN
    • Korean Journal of Clinical Laboratory Science
    • /
    • v.56 no.2
    • /
    • pp.105-114
    • /
    • 2024
  • Clinical laboratories endeavor to secure quality by establishing effective quality management systems. However, laboratory environments are complex, and single quality control procedures may inadequately detect many errors. Patient-based real-time quality control (PBRTQC) is a laboratory tool that monitors the testing process using algorithms such as Bull's algorithm and several variables, such as average of normal, moving median, moving average, and exponentially weighted moving average. PBRTQC has many advantages over conventional quality control, including low cost, commutability, continuous real-time performance monitoring, and sensitivity to pre-analytical errors. However, PBRTQC is not easily implemented as it requires statistical algorithm selection, the design of appropriate rules and protocols, and performance verification. This review describes the basic concepts, methods, and procedures of PBRTQC and presents guidelines for implementing a patient-based quality management system. Furthermore, we propose the combined use of PBRTQC when the performance of internal quality control is limited. However, clinical evaluations were not conducted during this review, and thus, future evaluation is required.