• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제24권4호
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• pp.825-833
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• 2013

온실가스 인벤토리 불확도 산정을 위해서는 인벤토리의 신뢰구간 추정이 필수적이다. 일반적으로 모수에 대한 신뢰구간 추정시에는 모집단이 정규분포를 따른다고 가정한다. 그러나 자료의 구조가 복잡해짐에 따라 정규분포가 아닌 비대칭형 자료, 즉 양의 왜도를 갖는 자료의 경우 기존의 정규분포를 가정한 신뢰구간 추정 방식은 적합하지 않다. 본 연구에서는 비대칭형 분포인 지수분포의 신뢰구간추정 방법으로 모수적인 방법과 비모수적인 방법에 대해 각각 비교분석하였다. 모의실험을 통한 신뢰구간 추정 결과를 바탕으로 범위확률, 신뢰구간 길이, 상대적 편의를 비교한 결과 모수적 방법 중에서 예상했던 대로 정확한 방법인 카이제곱방법이 신뢰계수와 유사한 범위확률을 보이고 상대적 편의도 작아 모수적 방법 중에서 신뢰구간 추정에 가장 적합한 것으로 나타났다. 마찬가지로 비모수적 방법 중에서는 표준화된 t-붓스트랩 방법이 가장 적합한 것으로 나타났다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.139-145
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• 2002

This paper deals with the problem of obtaining the Bayesian predictive density function and the prediction intervals for a future observation and the p-th order statistics of n future observations for the exponential model under the censored sampling with incomplete information.

• Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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• 제6권2호
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• pp.661-668
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• 1999

Reliability estimation using Gibbs sampler considered for modeling mixture exponential reliability problems. Gibbs sampler is developed to compute the features of the posterior distribution. Bayesian estimation of complicated functions requires simpler esti-mation techniques due to the mathematical difficulties involved in the Bayes approach. The Maximum likelihood estimator and the Gibbs estimator of reliability of the system are derived. By simula-tion risk behaviors of derived estimators are compared. model de-termination based on relative error is considered. A numerical study with a simulated data set is provided.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제18권2호
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• pp.507-514
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• 2007

We shall propose several estimators for the scale parameter in the Pareto distribution with an unidentified exponential outlier when the scale parameter is functions of a known exposure level, and obtain expectations and variances for their proposed estimators. And we shall compare numerically efficiencies for proposed estimators of the scale and shape parameters in the small sample sizes.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제19권4호
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• pp.1379-1390
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• 2008

This article deals with the problem of testing the difference of quantiles in exponential distributions. We propose Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures for the difference of two quantiles under the noninformative prior. The noninformative prior is usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be defined up to a multiplicative constant. So we propose the objective Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factor under the matching prior. Simulation study and a real data example are provided.

• 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.1-10
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• 2013

A Bayesian zero-failure reliability demonstration test method for products with exponential lifetime distribution is presented. Beta prior distribution for reliability of a product is used to design the Bayesian test plan and selecting a prior distribution using a prior test information is discussed. A test procedure with zero-failure acceptance criterion is developed that guarantees specified reliability of a product with given confidence level. An example is provided to illustrate the use of the developed Bayesian reliability demonstration test method.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제2권3호
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• pp.189-197
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• 2001

The estimation of mean lifetimes in presence of interval censoring with mixed replacement procedure is examined when the distributions of lifetimes are exponential. It is assumed that, due to physical restrictions and/or economic constraints, the number of failures is investigated only at several inspection times during the lifetime test; thus there is interval censoring. The maximum likelihood estimator is found in an implicit form. The Cramor-Rao lower bound, which is the asymptotic variance of the estimator, is derived. The estimation of mean lifetimes for competing failures model has been expanded.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.141-152
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• 2008

This paper presents equations, which can be used to evaluate the failure frequency and the failure rate of a two identical component parallel redundant system in which each component can operate in its wear out period, and the failure rate of each component is exponential power distribution. The optimum maintenance interval for a two identical component parallel redundant system can be obtained using these equations. The proposed approach is presented and illustrated using several numerical examples. The optimum maintenance interval for each component in a two identical parallel redundant system will depend on factors such as: failure rate, repair and maintenance times of each component in the parallel redundant systems.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제21권5호
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• pp.935-944
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• 2010

In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the reliability in a stress-strength model where a strength X and a stress Y have independent exponential distributions with different scale parameters and a common location parameter. We derive the reference priors and prove the propriety of joint posterior distribution under the general prior including the reference priors. Through the simulation study, we show that the proposed reference priors match the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제20권5호
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• pp.387-394
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• 2013

In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the ratio of the scale parameters in the inverted exponential distributions. The first and second order matching priors, the reference prior and Jeffreys prior are developed. It turns out that the second order matching prior matches the alternative coverage probabilities, is a cumulative distribution function matching prior and is a highest posterior density matching prior. In addition, the reference prior and Jeffreys' prior are the second order matching prior. We show that the proposed reference prior matches the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense through a simulation study as well as provide an example based on real data is given.