• Title/Summary/Keyword: artificial neural network model

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Performance Comparison Analysis of Artificial Intelligence Models for Estimating Remaining Capacity of Lithium-Ion Batteries

  • Kyu-Ha Kim;Byeong-Soo Jung;Sang-Hyun Lee
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.310-314
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to predict the remaining capacity of lithium-ion batteries and evaluate their performance using five artificial intelligence models, including linear regression analysis, decision tree, random forest, neural network, and ensemble model. We is in the study, measured Excel data from the CS2 lithium-ion battery was used, and the prediction accuracy of the model was measured using evaluation indicators such as mean square error, mean absolute error, coefficient of determination, and root mean square error. As a result of this study, the Root Mean Square Error(RMSE) of the linear regression model was 0.045, the decision tree model was 0.038, the random forest model was 0.034, the neural network model was 0.032, and the ensemble model was 0.030. The ensemble model had the best prediction performance, with the neural network model taking second place. The decision tree model and random forest model also performed quite well, and the linear regression model showed poor prediction performance compared to other models. Therefore, through this study, ensemble models and neural network models are most suitable for predicting the remaining capacity of lithium-ion batteries, and decision tree and random forest models also showed good performance. Linear regression models showed relatively poor predictive performance. Therefore, it was concluded that it is appropriate to prioritize ensemble models and neural network models in order to improve the efficiency of battery management and energy systems.

Analysis of privacy issues and countermeasures in neural network learning (신경망 학습에서 프라이버시 이슈 및 대응방법 분석)

  • Hong, Eun-Ju;Lee, Su-Jin;Hong, Do-won;Seo, Chang-Ho
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.17 no.7
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    • pp.285-292
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    • 2019
  • With the popularization of PC, SNS and IoT, a lot of data is generated and the amount is increasing exponentially. Artificial neural network learning is a topic that attracts attention in many fields in recent years by using huge amounts of data. Artificial neural network learning has shown tremendous potential in speech recognition and image recognition, and is widely applied to a variety of complex areas such as medical diagnosis, artificial intelligence games, and face recognition. The results of artificial neural networks are accurate enough to surpass real human beings. Despite these many advantages, privacy problems still exist in artificial neural network learning. Learning data for artificial neural network learning includes various information including personal sensitive information, so that privacy can be exposed due to malicious attackers. There is a privacy risk that occurs when an attacker interferes with learning and degrades learning or attacks a model that has completed learning. In this paper, we analyze the attack method of the recently proposed neural network model and its privacy protection method.

Vehicle Dynamic Simulation Using the Neural Network Bushing Model (인공신경망 부싱모델을 사용한 전차량 동역학 시뮬레이션)

  • 손정현;강태호;백운경
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.110-118
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, a blackbox approach is carried out to model the nonlinear dynamic bushing model. One-axis durability test is performed to describe the mechanical behavior of typical vehicle elastomeric components. The results of the tests are used to develop an empirical bushing model with an artificial neural network. The back propagation algorithm is used to obtain the weighting factor of the neural network. Since the output for a dynamic system depends on the histories of inputs and outputs, Narendra's algorithm of ‘NARMAX’ form is employed in the neural network bushing module. A numerical example is carried out to verify the developed bushing model.

A Prediction of the Plane Failure Stability Using Artificial Neural Networks (인공신경망을 이용한 평면파괴 안정성 예측)

  • Kim, Bang-Sik;Lee, Sung-Gi;Seo, Jae-Young;Kim, Kwang-Myung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.513-520
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    • 2002
  • The stability analysis of rock slope can be predicted using a suitable field data but it cannot be predicted unless suitable field data was taken. In this study, artificial neural networks theory is applied to predict plane failure that has a few data. It is well known that human brain has the advantage of handling disperse and parallel distributed data efficiently. On the basis of this fact, artificial neural networks theory was developed and has been applied to various fields of science successfully In this study, error back-propagation algorithm that is one of the teaching techniques of artificial neural networks is applied to predict plane failure. In order to verify the applicability of this model, a total of 30 field data results are used. These data are used for training the artificial neural network model and compared between the predicted and the measured. The simulation results show the potentiality of utilizing the neural networks for effective safety factor prediction of plane failure. In conclusion, the well-trained artificial neural network model could be applied to predict the plane failure stability of rock slope.

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FORECASTING THE COST AND DURATION OF SCHOOL RECONSTRUCTION PROJECTS USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK

  • Ying-Hua Huang ;Wei Tong Chen;Shih-Chieh Chan
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.913-916
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents the development of Artificial Neural Network models for forecasting the cost and contract duration of school reconstruction projects to assist the planners' decision-making in the early stage of the projects. 132 schools reconstruction projects in central Taiwan, which received the most serious damage from the Chi-Chi Earthquake, were collected. The developed Artificial Neural Network prediction models demonstrate good prediction abilities with average error rates under 10% for school reconstruction projects. The analytical results indicate that the Artificial Neural Network model with back-propagation learning is a feasible method to produce accurate prediction results to assist planners' decision-making process.

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A Comparative Analysis of the Forecasting Performance of Coal and Iron Ore in Gwangyang Port Using Stepwise Regression and Artificial Neural Network Model (단계적 회귀분석과 인공신경망 모형을 이용한 광양항 석탄·철광석 물동량 예측력 비교 분석)

  • Cho, Sang-Ho;Nam, Hyung-Sik;Ryu, Ki-Jin;Ryoo, Dong-Keun
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.187-194
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    • 2020
  • It is very important to forecast freight volume accurately to establish major port policies and future operation plans. Thus, related studies are being conducted because of this importance. In this paper, stepwise regression analysis and artificial neural network model were analyzed to compare the predictive power of each model on Gwangyang Port, the largest domestic port for coal and iron ore transportation. Data of a total of 121 months J anuary 2009-J anuary 2019 were used. Factors affecting coal and iron ore trade volume were selected and classified into supply-related factors and market/economy-related factors. In the stepwise regression analysis, the tonnage of ships entering the port, coal price, and dollar exchange rate were selected as the final variables in case of the Gwangyang Port coal volume forecasting model. In the iron ore volume forecasting model, the tonnage of ships entering the port and the price of iron ore were selected as the final variables. In the analysis using the artificial neural network model, trial-and-error method that various Hyper-parameters affecting the performance of the model were selected to identify the most optimal model used. The analysis results showed that the artificial neural network model had better predictive performance than the stepwise regression analysis. The model which showed the most excellent performance was the Gwangyang Port Coal Volume Forecasting Artificial Neural Network Model. In comparing forecasted values by various predictive models and actually measured values, the artificial neural network model showed closer values to the actual highest point and the lowest point than the stepwise regression analysis.

Prediction of the price for stock index futures using integrated artificial intelligence techniques with categorical preprocessing

  • Kim, Kyoung-jae;Han, Ingoo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1997.10a
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    • pp.105-108
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    • 1997
  • Previous studies in stock market predictions using artificial intelligence techniques such as artificial neural networks and case-based reasoning, have focused mainly on spot market prediction. Korea launched trading in index futures market (KOSPI 200) on May 3, 1996, then more people became attracted to this market. Thus, this research intends to predict the daily up/down fluctuant direction of the price for KOSPI 200 index futures to meet this recent surge of interest. The forecasting methodologies employed in this research are the integration of genetic algorithm and artificial neural network (GAANN) and the integration of genetic algorithm and case-based reasoning (GACBR). Genetic algorithm was mainly used to select relevant input variables. This study adopts the categorical data preprocessing based on expert's knowledge as well as traditional data preprocessing. The experimental results of each forecasting method with each data preprocessing method are compared and statistically tested. Artificial neural network and case-based reasoning methods with best performance are integrated. Out-of-the Model Integration and In-Model Integration are presented as the integration methodology. The research outcomes are as follows; First, genetic algorithms are useful and effective method to select input variables for Al techniques. Second, the results of the experiment with categorical data preprocessing significantly outperform that with traditional data preprocessing in forecasting up/down fluctuant direction of index futures price. Third, the integration of genetic algorithm and case-based reasoning (GACBR) outperforms the integration of genetic algorithm and artificial neural network (GAANN). Forth, the integration of genetic algorithm, case-based reasoning and artificial neural network (GAANN-GACBR, GACBRNN and GANNCBR) provide worse results than GACBR.

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Predicting the shear strength of reinforced concrete beams using Artificial Neural Networks

  • Asteris, Panagiotis G.;Armaghani, Danial J.;Hatzigeorgiou, George D.;Karayannis, Chris G.;Pilakoutas, Kypros
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.469-488
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    • 2019
  • In this research study, the artificial neural networks approach is used to estimate the ultimate shear capacity of reinforced concrete beams with transverse reinforcement. More specifically, surrogate approaches, such as artificial neural network models, have been examined for predicting the shear capacity of concrete beams, based on experimental test results available in the pertinent literature. The comparison of the predicted values with the corresponding experimental ones, as well as with available formulas from previous research studies or code provisions highlight the ability of artificial neural networks to evaluate the shear capacity of reinforced concrete beams in a trustworthy and effective manner. Furthermore, for the first time, the (quantitative) values of weights for the proposed neural network model, are provided, so that the proposed model can be readily implemented in a spreadsheet and accessible to everyone interested in the procedure of simulation.

Predicting PM2.5 Concentrations Using Artificial Neural Networks and Markov Chain, a Case Study Karaj City

  • Asadollahfardi, Gholamreza;Zangooei, Hossein;Aria, Shiva Homayoun
    • Asian Journal of Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.67-79
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    • 2016
  • The forecasting of air pollution is an important and popular topic in environmental engineering. Due to health impacts caused by unacceptable particulate matter (PM) levels, it has become one of the greatest concerns in metropolitan cities like Karaj City in Iran. In this study, the concentration of $PM_{2.5}$ was predicted by applying a multilayer percepteron (MLP) neural network, a radial basis function (RBF) neural network and a Markov chain model. Two months of hourly data including temperature, NO, $NO_2$, $NO_x$, CO, $SO_2$ and $PM_{10}$ were used as inputs to the artificial neural networks. From 1,488 data, 1,300 of data was used to train the models and the rest of the data were applied to test the models. The results of using artificial neural networks indicated that the models performed well in predicting $PM_{2.5}$ concentrations. The application of a Markov chain described the probable occurrences of unhealthy hours. The MLP neural network with two hidden layers including 19 neurons in the first layer and 16 neurons in the second layer provided the best results. The coefficient of determination ($R^2$), Index of Agreement (IA) and Efficiency (E) between the observed and the predicted data using an MLP neural network were 0.92, 0.93 and 0.981, respectively. In the MLP neural network, the MBE was 0.0546 which indicates the adequacy of the model. In the RBF neural network, increasing the number of neurons to 1,488 caused the RMSE to decline from 7.88 to 0.00 and caused $R^2$ to reach 0.93. In the Markov chain model the absolute error was 0.014 which indicated an acceptable accuracy and precision. We concluded the probability of occurrence state duration and transition of $PM_{2.5}$ pollution is predictable using a Markov chain method.

Prediction of Deep-Excavation induced Ground surface movements using Artifical Neural Network (인공신경망기법을 이용한 깊은 굴착에 따른 지표변위 예측)

  • 유충식;최병석
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.451-458
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    • 2002
  • This paper presents the prediction of deep excavation-induced ground surface movements using artificial neural network, which is of prime importance in the perspective of damage assessment of adjacent buildings. A finite element model, which can realistically replicate deep-excavation-induced ground movements was employed and validated against available large-scale model test results. The validated model was then used to perform a parametric study on deep excavations with emphasis on ground movements. Using the result of the finite element analysis, Artificial Neural Network(ANN) system is formed, which can be used in the prediction of deep exacavation-induced ground surface displacements. The developed ANN system can be effecting used for a first-order prediction of ground movements associated with deep-excavation.

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