• International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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• 제11권3호
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• pp.310-314
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• 2023

The purpose of this study is to predict the remaining capacity of lithium-ion batteries and evaluate their performance using five artificial intelligence models, including linear regression analysis, decision tree, random forest, neural network, and ensemble model. We is in the study, measured Excel data from the CS2 lithium-ion battery was used, and the prediction accuracy of the model was measured using evaluation indicators such as mean square error, mean absolute error, coefficient of determination, and root mean square error. As a result of this study, the Root Mean Square Error(RMSE) of the linear regression model was 0.045, the decision tree model was 0.038, the random forest model was 0.034, the neural network model was 0.032, and the ensemble model was 0.030. The ensemble model had the best prediction performance, with the neural network model taking second place. The decision tree model and random forest model also performed quite well, and the linear regression model showed poor prediction performance compared to other models. Therefore, through this study, ensemble models and neural network models are most suitable for predicting the remaining capacity of lithium-ion batteries, and decision tree and random forest models also showed good performance. Linear regression models showed relatively poor predictive performance. Therefore, it was concluded that it is appropriate to prioritize ensemble models and neural network models in order to improve the efficiency of battery management and energy systems.

• 한국자동차공학회논문집
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• 제12권4호
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• pp.110-118
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• 2004

In this paper, a blackbox approach is carried out to model the nonlinear dynamic bushing model. One-axis durability test is performed to describe the mechanical behavior of typical vehicle elastomeric components. The results of the tests are used to develop an empirical bushing model with an artificial neural network. The back propagation algorithm is used to obtain the weighting factor of the neural network. Since the output for a dynamic system depends on the histories of inputs and outputs, Narendra's algorithm of ‘NARMAX’ form is employed in the neural network bushing module. A numerical example is carried out to verify the developed bushing model.

• 디지털융복합연구
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• 제17권7호
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• pp.285-292
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• 2019

PC, SNS, IoT의 대중화로 수많은 데이터가 생성되고 그 양은 기하급수적으로 증가하고 있다. 거대한 양의 데이터를 활용하는 방법으로 인공신경망 학습은 최근 많은 분야에서 주목받는 주제이다. 인공신경망 학습은 음성인식, 이미지 인식에서 엄청난 잠재력을 보였으며 더 나아가 의료진단, 인공지능 게임 및 얼굴인식 등 다양하고 복잡한 곳에 광범위하게 적용된다. 인공신경망의 결과는 실제 인간을 능가할 정도로 정확성을 보이고 있다. 이러한 많은 이점에도 불구하고 인공신경망 학습에는 여전히 프라이버시 문제가 존재한다. 인공신경망 학습을 위한 학습 데이터에는 개인의 민감한 정보를 포함한 다양한 정보가 포함되어 악의적인 공격자로 인해 프라이버시가 노출될 수 있다. 공격자가 학습하는 도중 개입하여 학습이 저하되거나 학습이 완료된 모델을 공격할 때 발생하는 프라이버시 위험이 있다. 본 논문에서는 최근 제안된 신경망 모델의 공격 기법과 그에 따른 프라이버시 보호 방법을 분석한다.

• 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국지반공학회 2002년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.513-520
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• 2002

The stability analysis of rock slope can be predicted using a suitable field data but it cannot be predicted unless suitable field data was taken. In this study, artificial neural networks theory is applied to predict plane failure that has a few data. It is well known that human brain has the advantage of handling disperse and parallel distributed data efficiently. On the basis of this fact, artificial neural networks theory was developed and has been applied to various fields of science successfully In this study, error back-propagation algorithm that is one of the teaching techniques of artificial neural networks is applied to predict plane failure. In order to verify the applicability of this model, a total of 30 field data results are used. These data are used for training the artificial neural network model and compared between the predicted and the measured. The simulation results show the potentiality of utilizing the neural networks for effective safety factor prediction of plane failure. In conclusion, the well-trained artificial neural network model could be applied to predict the plane failure stability of rock slope.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 1th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.913-916
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• 2005

This paper presents the development of Artificial Neural Network models for forecasting the cost and contract duration of school reconstruction projects to assist the planners' decision-making in the early stage of the projects. 132 schools reconstruction projects in central Taiwan, which received the most serious damage from the Chi-Chi Earthquake, were collected. The developed Artificial Neural Network prediction models demonstrate good prediction abilities with average error rates under 10% for school reconstruction projects. The analytical results indicate that the Artificial Neural Network model with back-propagation learning is a feasible method to produce accurate prediction results to assist planners' decision-making process.

• 한국항해항만학회지
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• 제44권3호
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• pp.187-194
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• 2020

항만의 주요 정책 및 향후 운영계획 수립 시 정확한 물동량 예측에 관한 연구는 매우 중요하며 이러한 중요성으로 인해 관련 연구가 활발히 수행되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 국내 최대 석탄 및 철광석 처리 항만인 광양항을 대상으로 단계적 회귀분석과 인공신경망모형을 활용하여 모형간 예측력을 비교하였다. 2009년 1월부터 2019년 1월까지 총 121개월의 월별자료를 활용하였으며 석탄 및 철광석 물동량에 영향을 주는 요인을 선정하여 공급관련요인과 시장·경제관련요인으로 분류하였다. 단계적 회귀분석 결과, 광양항 석탄 물동량 예측모형의 경우, 입항선박 톤수, 석탄가격 및 대미환율이 최종변수로 선정되었고 철광석 물동량 예측모형의 경우, 입항선박 톤수, 철광석가격이 최종변수로 선정되었다. 인공신경망모형의 경우, 모델 성능에 영향을 미치는 다양한 Hyper-parameters를 조정하며 최적 모델을 선정하는 시행착오법을 사용하였다. 분석결과 인공신경망모형이 단계적 회귀분석에 비해 우수한 예측성능을 나타내었으며 예측 모형별 예측값과 실측값을 그래프 상 비교 시에도 인공신경망모형이 단계적 회귀분석에 비해 고·저점을 유사하게 나타냈다.

• 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국경영과학회 1997년도 추계학술대회발표논문집; 홍익대학교, 서울; 1 Nov. 1997
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• pp.105-108
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• 1997

Previous studies in stock market predictions using artificial intelligence techniques such as artificial neural networks and case-based reasoning, have focused mainly on spot market prediction. Korea launched trading in index futures market (KOSPI 200) on May 3, 1996, then more people became attracted to this market. Thus, this research intends to predict the daily up/down fluctuant direction of the price for KOSPI 200 index futures to meet this recent surge of interest. The forecasting methodologies employed in this research are the integration of genetic algorithm and artificial neural network (GAANN) and the integration of genetic algorithm and case-based reasoning (GACBR). Genetic algorithm was mainly used to select relevant input variables. This study adopts the categorical data preprocessing based on expert's knowledge as well as traditional data preprocessing. The experimental results of each forecasting method with each data preprocessing method are compared and statistically tested. Artificial neural network and case-based reasoning methods with best performance are integrated. Out-of-the Model Integration and In-Model Integration are presented as the integration methodology. The research outcomes are as follows; First, genetic algorithms are useful and effective method to select input variables for Al techniques. Second, the results of the experiment with categorical data preprocessing significantly outperform that with traditional data preprocessing in forecasting up/down fluctuant direction of index futures price. Third, the integration of genetic algorithm and case-based reasoning (GACBR) outperforms the integration of genetic algorithm and artificial neural network (GAANN). Forth, the integration of genetic algorithm, case-based reasoning and artificial neural network (GAANN-GACBR, GACBRNN and GANNCBR) provide worse results than GACBR.

• Computers and Concrete
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• 제24권5호
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• pp.469-488
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• 2019

In this research study, the artificial neural networks approach is used to estimate the ultimate shear capacity of reinforced concrete beams with transverse reinforcement. More specifically, surrogate approaches, such as artificial neural network models, have been examined for predicting the shear capacity of concrete beams, based on experimental test results available in the pertinent literature. The comparison of the predicted values with the corresponding experimental ones, as well as with available formulas from previous research studies or code provisions highlight the ability of artificial neural networks to evaluate the shear capacity of reinforced concrete beams in a trustworthy and effective manner. Furthermore, for the first time, the (quantitative) values of weights for the proposed neural network model, are provided, so that the proposed model can be readily implemented in a spreadsheet and accessible to everyone interested in the procedure of simulation.

• Asian Journal of Atmospheric Environment
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.67-79
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• 2016

The forecasting of air pollution is an important and popular topic in environmental engineering. Due to health impacts caused by unacceptable particulate matter (PM) levels, it has become one of the greatest concerns in metropolitan cities like Karaj City in Iran. In this study, the concentration of $PM_{2.5}$ was predicted by applying a multilayer percepteron (MLP) neural network, a radial basis function (RBF) neural network and a Markov chain model. Two months of hourly data including temperature, NO, $NO_2$, $NO_x$, CO, $SO_2$ and $PM_{10}$ were used as inputs to the artificial neural networks. From 1,488 data, 1,300 of data was used to train the models and the rest of the data were applied to test the models. The results of using artificial neural networks indicated that the models performed well in predicting $PM_{2.5}$ concentrations. The application of a Markov chain described the probable occurrences of unhealthy hours. The MLP neural network with two hidden layers including 19 neurons in the first layer and 16 neurons in the second layer provided the best results. The coefficient of determination ($R^2$), Index of Agreement (IA) and Efficiency (E) between the observed and the predicted data using an MLP neural network were 0.92, 0.93 and 0.981, respectively. In the MLP neural network, the MBE was 0.0546 which indicates the adequacy of the model. In the RBF neural network, increasing the number of neurons to 1,488 caused the RMSE to decline from 7.88 to 0.00 and caused $R^2$ to reach 0.93. In the Markov chain model the absolute error was 0.014 which indicated an acceptable accuracy and precision. We concluded the probability of occurrence state duration and transition of $PM_{2.5}$ pollution is predictable using a Markov chain method.

• 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국지반공학회 2002년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.451-458
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• 2002

This paper presents the prediction of deep excavation-induced ground surface movements using artificial neural network, which is of prime importance in the perspective of damage assessment of adjacent buildings. A finite element model, which can realistically replicate deep-excavation-induced ground movements was employed and validated against available large-scale model test results. The validated model was then used to perform a parametric study on deep excavations with emphasis on ground movements. Using the result of the finite element analysis, Artificial Neural Network(ANN) system is formed, which can be used in the prediction of deep exacavation-induced ground surface displacements. The developed ANN system can be effecting used for a first-order prediction of ground movements associated with deep-excavation.