• Title/Summary/Keyword: accelerated failure model

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Estimation of Failure Rate and Acceleration Factor in Accelerated Life Testing under Type-I Censoring (정시중단 가속수명시험에서 고장률과 가속계수의 추정)

  • Kong, Myung Bock;Park, Il Gwang
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.145-149
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    • 2003
  • We consider the estimation of failure rate and acceleration factor under type-I censoring without using acceleration model when testing is conducted in only one highly accelerated condition. Failure times of an item are assumed to be exponentially distributed. It is also assumed that the uncertainty about the acceleration factor, the failure time contraction ratio between accelerated condition and use condition, can be modeled by the uniform or gamma prior distribution of appropriate parameters. We respectively use Bayes and maximum likelihood approaches to estimate acceleration factor and failure rate in the use condition. An example is given to show how the method can be applied.

Semiparametric support vector machine for accelerated failure time model

  • Hwang, Chang-Ha;Shim, Joo-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.765-775
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    • 2010
  • For the accelerated failure time (AFT) model a lot of effort has been devoted to develop effective estimation methods. AFT model assumes a linear relationship between the logarithm of event time and covariates. In this paper we propose a semiparametric support vector machine to consider situations where the functional form of the effect of one or more covariates is unknown. The proposed estimating equation can be computed by a quadratic programming and a linear equation. We study the effect of several covariates on a censored response variable with an unknown probability distribution. We also provide a generalized approximate cross-validation method for choosing the hyper-parameters which affect the performance of the proposed approach. The proposed method is evaluated through simulations using the artificial example.

Lifetime prediction of the engine mount about the environment temperature variation (환경 온도변화에 대한 자동차용 엔진마운트의 수명 예측)

  • Kim, Hyung Min;Wei, Shin Hwan;Yoon, Sin Il;Shin, Ik Jae;Kim, Gyu Ro
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.65-76
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    • 2013
  • In order to assess the reliability of engine mount for a vehicles, life test model and procedure are developed. By using this method, failure mechanism and life distribution are analyzed. The main results are as follows; i) the main failure mechanism is degradation failure of engine mount rubber by fatigue failure at dynamic load. ii) temperature is a second factor to affect a failure. iii) the life distribution of engine mount module is fitted well to Weibull life distribution and the shape parameter is 18.4 and the accelerated life model of that is fitted well to Arrhenius model.

A Study of Two-Mode Failure Model for Crystalline Si Photovoltaic Module (실리콘 태양전지 모듈의 two-mode failure 모델의 연구)

  • Choi, Ki Young;Oh, Won Wook;Kang, Byung Jun;Kim, Young Do;Tark, Sung Ju;Kim, Donghwan
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2011.11a
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    • pp.62.2-62.2
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    • 2011
  • To guarantee 20-25 years to the lifetime of the PV modules without failure, reliability test of the module is very important. Field-aged test of the outdoor environment is required. However, due to time constraints, accelerated testing is required to predict the lifetime of PV modules and find causes of failure. Failure is caused by many complex phenomena. In this study, we experimented two accelerated tests about corrosion and fatigue, respectively. First, temperature cycling test for fatigue were tested and Coffin-Manson equation was analyzed. Second, damp heat test for corrosion were tested and Eyring equation were analyzed. Finally, using two-mode failure model, we suggest a new lifetime model that analyze the phenomenon by combining two kinds of data.

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Burn-in Models: Recent Issues, Developments and Future Topics

  • Cha, Ji-Hwan
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.871-880
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    • 2009
  • Recently, there has been much development on burn-in models in reliability area. Especially, the previous burn-in models have been extended to more general cases. For example, (i) burn-in procedures for repairable systems have been developed (ii) an extended assumption on the failure rate of the system has been proposed and (iii) a stochastic model for burn-in procedure in accelerated environment has been developed. In this paper, recent extensions and advances in burn-in models are introduced and some issues to be considered in the future study are discussed.

Parameter Estimation of the Two-Parameter Exponential Distribution under Three Step-Stress Accelerated Life Test

  • Moon, Gyoung-Ae;Kim, In-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.1375-1386
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    • 2006
  • In life testing, the lifetimes of test units under the usual conditions are so long that life testing at usual conditions is impractical. Testing units are subjected to conditions of high stress to yield informations quickly. In this paper, the inferences of parameters on the three step-stress accelerated life testing are studied. The two-parameter exponential distribution with a failure rate function that a log-quadratic function of stress and the tempered failure rate model are considered. We obtain the maximum likelihood estimators of the model parameters and their confidence regions. A numerical example will be given to illustrate the proposed inferential procedures.

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타이어 공기압 센서의 가속수명시험을 통한 수명예측

  • Kim, Hyeong-Min;Wi, Sin-Hwan;Lee, Hui-Bok
    • Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
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    • 2011.06a
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 2011
  • In order to assess the reliability of the Tire Pressure Sensor for automobiles, accelerated life test model and procedure are developed. By using this method, failure mechanism and life distribution are analyzed. The main results are as follows; i) the main failure mechanism is degradation failure that is, PCB destruction and battery Discharge by high temperature. ii) the life distribution of the Tire Pressure Sensor fitted well to Weibull life distribution and the accelerated life model of that is fitted well to Arrhenius model. iii) at the result of the life distribution, accelerated life test method is developed

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Optimal three step stress accelerated life tests under periodic inspection and type I censoring

  • Moon, Gyoung-Ae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.843-850
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    • 2012
  • The inferences of data obtained from periodic inspection and type I censoring for the three step stress accelerated life test are studied in this paper. The failure rate function that a log-quadratic relation of stress and the tampered failure rate model are considered under the exponential distribution. The optimal stress change times which minimize the asymptotic variance of maximum likelihood estimators of parameters is determined and the maximum likelihood estimators of the model parameters are estimated. A numerical example will be given to illustrate the proposed inferential procedures.

Reliability Analysis of the Spur Gear with Accelerated Life Testing Model (가속수명시험 모델에 따른 평기어의 신뢰성 해석)

  • Kim, Chul-Su;Kwon, Yeo-Hyoun;Kim, Joo-Hyung;Kim, Jung-Kyu
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.136-141
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    • 2004
  • The gear in various mechanical components easily occurs at damages by the external torque. The main failure modes of the gear are surface pitting with the tooth surface and breakage with tooth root by caused fatigue. Therefore, the gear is very important role in the reliability research since it may cause fatal damage of entire system such as the gear box in automobile transmission. In this study, the failure mode of the gear was analyzed and accelerated durability analysis was employed for the life estimation of spur gears. In the case of assumed load spectrums, the reliability of spur gears was evaluated by inverse power law-Weibull accelerated life test model with cumulative damage exposure.

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Service Life Prediction of Components or Materials Based on Accelerated Degradation Tests (가속열화시험에 의한 부품·소재 사용수명 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kwon, Young Il
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.103-111
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: Accelerated degradation tests can speed time to market and reduce the test time and costs associated with long term reliability tests to verify the required service life of a product or material. This paper proposes a service life prediction method for components or materials using an accelerated degradation tests based on the relationships between temperature and the rate of failure-causing chemical reaction. Methods: The relationship between performance degradation and the rate of a failure-causing chemical reaction is assumed and least square estimation is used to estimate model parameters from the degradation model. Results: Methods of obtaining acceleration factors and predicting service life using the degradation model are presented and a numerical example is provided. Conclusion: Service life prediction of a component or material is possible at an early stage of the degradation test by using the proposed method.