• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.23 no.1
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• pp.33-45
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• 2016

Variance components should be estimated based on mean change when the mean of the observations drift gradually over time. Consistent estimators for the variance components are studied for a particular modeling situation with some underlying functions or drift. We propose a new variance estimator with Fourier estimation of variations. The consistency of the proposed estimator is proved asymptotically. The proposed procedures are studied and compared empirically with the variance estimators removing trends. The result shows that our variance estimator has a smaller mean square error and depends on drift patterns. We estimate and apply the variance to Nile River flow data and resting state fMRI data.

• ETRI Journal
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• v.14 no.4
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• pp.19-27
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• 1992

Since. as is well known, direct computation of the reliability for a large-scaled and complex net work generally requires exponential time, a variety of alternative methods to estimate the network reliability using simulation have been proposed. Monte Carlo sampling is the major approach to estimate the network reliability using simulation. In the paper, a dynamic Monte Carlo sampling method, called conditional minimal cut set (CMCS) algorithm, is suggested. The CMCS algorithm simulates a minimal cut set composed of arcs originated from the (conditional) source node until s-t connectedness is confirmed, then reduces the network on the basis of the states of simulated arcs. We develop the importance sampling estimator and the total hazard estimator and compare the performance of these simulation estimators. It is found that the CMCS algorithm is useful in reducing variance of network reliability estimator.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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• v.26 no.9
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• pp.1859-1865
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• 2002

In the conventional sliding mode control technique, a priori knowledge of the bound of external disturbances or/and parameter uncertainties is required to assure control robustness. This, however, may not be easy to obtain in practical situation. This work presents a novel methodology, a sliding mode controller with perturbation estimator, which offers a robust control performance without a priori knowledge about the perturbations (disturbances and parameter uncertainties). The proposed technique is featured by an integrated average value of the imposed perturbation over a certain sampling period. In order to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed methodology, a two-link robotic system is adopted and its position control performance is evaluated. In addition, a comparative work between the conventional technique and the proposed one is undertaken.

• IE interfaces
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• v.22 no.3
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• pp.214-222
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• 2009

In the early design stage, system reliability must be estimated from life testing data at the component level. Previously, a point estimate of system reliability was obtained from the unbiased estimate of the component reliability after assuming that the number of failed components for a given time followed a binomial distribution. For deriving the confidence interval of system reliability, either the lognormal distribution or the normal approximation of the binomial distribution was assumed for the estimator of system reliability. In this paper, a new estimator is used for the component level reliability, which is biased but has a smaller mean square error than the previous one. We propose to use the beta distribution rather than the lognormal or approximated normal distribution for developing the confidence interval of the system reliability. A numerical example based on Monte Carlo simulation illustrates advantages of the proposed approach over the previous approach.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.20 no.1
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• pp.85-96
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• 2013

A new bootstrap method combined with the stationary bootstrap of Politis and Romano (1994) and the classical residual-based bootstrap is applied to stationary autoregressive (AR) time series models. A stationary bootstrap procedure is implemented for the ordinary least squares estimator (OLSE), along with classical bootstrap residuals for estimated errors, and its large sample validity is proved. A finite sample study numerically compares the proposed bootstrap estimator with the estimator based on the classical residual-based bootstrapping. The study shows that the proposed bootstrapping is more effective in estimating the AR coefficients than the residual-based bootstrapping.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.26 no.2
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• pp.525-533
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• 2015

Modern production process is a very complex structure combined observations which are correlated with several factors. When the error signal occurs in the process, it is very difficult to know the root causes of an out-of-control signal because of insufficient information. However, if we know the time of the change, the system can be controlled more easily. To know it, we derive a maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the change point in a process when observations are from a multivariate IMA(1,1) process by monitoring residual vectors of the model. In this paper, numerical results show that the MLE of change point is effective in detecting changes in a process.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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• v.12 no.5
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• pp.481-486
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• 2002

In this paper, a new on-line parameter estimation methodology for the general continuous time Takagi-Sugeno(T-5) fuzzy model whose parameters are poorly known or uncertain is presented. An estimator with an appropriate adaptive law for updating the parameters is designed and analyzed based on the Lyapunov theory. The adaptive law is designed so that the estimation model follows the plant parameterized model. By the proposed estimator, the parameters of the T-S fuzzy model can be estimated by observing the behavior of the system and it can be a basis for the indirect adaptive fuzzy control. Based on the derived design method, the parameter estimation for controllable canonical T-S fuzzy model is also Presented.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2000.07d
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• pp.2374-2376
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• 2000

In this paper, we propose an indirect vector control method using Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) parameter estimator. It estimates the rotor time constant when the indirect vector control of induction motor is applied. We use the stator current error that is difference between the current command and estimated current calculated from terminal voltage and current. And two induced current estimate equations are used in training ANFIS.The estimator is trained by the hybrid learning algorithm. Simulation results shows good performance under load disturbance and motor parameter variations.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.11 no.3
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• pp.619-629
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• 2004

Binomial group testing or composite sampling is often used to estimate the proportion, p, of positive(infects, defectives) in a population when that proportion is known to be small; the potential benefits of group testing over one-at-a-time testing are well documented. The literature has focused on maximum likelihood estimation. We provide two Bayes estimators and compare them with the MLE. The first of our Bayes estimators uses an uninformative Uniform (0, 1) prior on p; the properties of this estimator are poor. Our second Bayes estimator uses a much more informative prior that recognizes and takes into account key aspects of the group testing context. This estimator compares very favorably with the MSE, having substantially lower mean squared errors in all of the wide range of cases we considered. The priors uses a Beta distribution, Beta ($\alpha$, $\beta$), and some advice is provided for choosing the parameter a and $\beta$ for that distribution.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.27 no.4
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• pp.413-430
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• 2020

The multiply Type-II hybrid censoring scheme is disadvantaged by an experiment time that is too long. To overcome this limitation, we propose a generalized multiply Type-II hybrid censoring scheme. Some estimators of the scale parameter of the exponential distribution are derived under a generalized multiply Type-II hybrid censoring scheme. First, the maximum likelihood estimator of the scale parameter of the exponential distribution is obtained under the proposed censoring scheme. Second, we obtain the Bayes estimators under different loss functions with a noninformative prior and an informative prior. We approximate the Bayes estimators by Lindleys approximation and the Tierney-Kadane method since the posterior distributions obtained by the two priors are complicated. In addition, the Bayes estimators are obtained by using the Markov Chain Monte Carlo samples. Finally, all proposed estimators are compared in the sense of the mean squared error through the Monte Carlo simulation and applied to real data.