• Title/Summary/Keyword: Survival distributions

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Study on the Reliability Evaluation Method of Components when Operating in Different Environments (이종 환경에서 운용되는 부품의 신뢰도 평가 방법 연구)

  • Hwang, Jeong Taek;Kim, Jong Hak;Jeon, Ju Yeon;Han, Jae Hyeon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.115-121
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    • 2017
  • This paper is to introduce the main modeling assumptions and data structures associated with right-censored data to describe the successful methodological ideas for analyzing such a field-failure-data when components operating in different environments. The Kaplan - Meier method is the most popular method used for survival analysis. Together with the log-rank test, it may provide us with an opportunity to estimate survival probabilities and to compare survival between groups. An important advantage of the Kaplan - Meier curve is that the method can take into account some types of censored data, particularly right-censoring. The above non-parametric method was used to verify the equality of parts life used in different environments. After that, we performed the life distribution analysis using the parametric method. We simulated data from three distributions: exponential, normal, and Weibull. This allowed us to compare the results of the estimates to the known true values and to quantify the reliability indices. Here we used the Akaike information criterion to find a suitable life time distribution. If the Akaike information criterion is the smallest, the best model of failure data is presented. In this paper, no-nparametrics and parametrics methods are analyzed using R program which is a popular statistical program.

Change-Point Estimation and Bootstrap Confidence Regions in Weibull Distribution

  • Jeong, Kwang-Mo
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.359-370
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    • 1999
  • We considered a change-point hazard rate model generalizing constant hazard rate model. This type of model is very popular in the sense that the Weibull and exponential distributions formulating survival time data are the special cases of it. Maximum likelihood estimation and the asymptotic properties such as the consistency and its limiting distribution of the change-point estimator were discussed. A parametric bootstrap method for finding confidence intervals of the unknown change-point was also suggested and the proposed method is explained through a practical example.

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Estimation for a bivariate survival model based on exponential distributions with a location parameter

  • Hong, Yeon Woong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.921-929
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    • 2014
  • A bivariate exponential distribution with a location parameter is proposed as a model for a two-component shared load system with a guarantee time. Some statistical properties of the proposed model are investigated. The maximum likelihood estimators and uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimators of the parameters, mean time to failure, and the reliability function of system are obtained with unknown guarantee time. Simulation studies are given to illustrate the results.

Sample Size Determination Comparing Survival Distributions in the Stratified Clinical Trials (층화된 임상시험에서 생존분포의 비교를 위한 표본수의 결정)

  • 김선우;박미라;이재원
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.175-190
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    • 1999
  • 생존시간을 비교하기 위한 임상시험에서는 생존기간과 관련된 위험인자들을 고려한 층화된 연구설계가 종종 요구된다. 이 경우 필요한 표본수가 결정은 층이 없는 경우에 비하여 다양한 연구상황과 복잡한 표본수의 산출 절차를 수반한다. 본 논문에서는 층이 있는 경우 생존시간을 비교할 때 필요한 표본수를 결정하는 방법들을 실례와 함께 설명하고, 연구자가 주어진 상황하에서 적절한 방법을 선택하는데 도움이 될 수 있도록, 다양한 상황을 설정하여 이에 대한 표본수를 비교하였다.

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Retrospective studies of dental implant placement at each intraoral site and situation (임플란트 식립 유형에 따른 후향적 연구)

  • Hong, Ji-Youn;Chae, Gyung-Joon;Jung, Ui-Won;Kim, Chang-Sung;Cho, Kyoo-Sung;Chae, Jung-Kiu;Kim, Chong-Kwan;Choi, Seong-Ho
    • Journal of Periodontal and Implant Science
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.805-824
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    • 2007
  • Purpose: Developments in micro/macrostructures of implants and surgical techniques brought out stable outcomes of implant dentistry. The aim of this study was to evaluate the distributions of implant patients, the types of implanted sites, and the success or survival rates of various implant systems and to analyze the implant placement done at each specificintraoral site and situation. Materials and Methods: The data of dental implantations collected between 1992 and 2006 at the Department of Periodontology in 00000 University Hospital were analyzed. Results: 1. Largest part of the patients were at the age of 40s and 50s in bothgender who lost their teeth mostly by periodontaldiseases and caries at the posterior intraoral sites as major ones. Bone densities of type II(mandible) and III(maxilla) were likely to be seen with quantity of type B. Lengths of the implants between 10 and 15 mm and wide platform took the largest part. 2. Survival rates of $Implantium^{(R)}(98.8%)$, $Xive^{(R)}(100%)$ and ITI $TE^{(R)}(100%)$ were high when $Frialit-2^{(R)}$ showed 82%(poor bone density area) or 87.2%(combined with additional therapy). $IMZ^{(R)}$ had lowest cumulative survival(67.5%) and success rate(49.4%) amongst all. 3. Replacement with 2 wide or 3 regular platforms showed no significant differences in survival rate and marginal bone loss atmandibular posterior area. In single restoration of mandibular second molar, 5-year success rate of machined surface $Br{\aa}nemark^{(R)}(70.37%)$ was lower than that of rough surface $ITI^{(R)}$ SLA(100%). 4. Replacement of single tooth in anterior area showed high survival rate of 94.5%. 5. The success rates of $Br{\aa}nemark$ Ti-Unite and ITI SLA at posterior maxilla with poor bone density both showed stable outcomes. 6. 10-year cumulative survival rate of implants with maxillary sinus augmentation by lateral window approach appeared to be 96.60%. Low survival rate(75%) was shown when there were more than two complications combined. Height of grafted bone remained stable above the implant apex. Conclusions : Rough surfaced implants showed stable outcomes in most of the situation including poor bone density and additional therapy combined.

Treatment Patterns, Costs, and Survival among Medicare-Enrolled Elderly Patients Diagnosed with Advanced Stage Gastric Cancer: Analysis of a Linked Population-Based Cancer Registry and Administrative Claims Database

  • Karve, Sudeep;Lorenzo, Maria;Liepa, Astra M;Hess, Lisa M;Kaye, James A;Calingaert, Brian
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.87-104
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: To assess real-world treatment patterns, health care utilization, costs, and survival among Medicare enrollees with locally advanced/unresectable or metastatic gastric cancer receiving standard first-line chemotherapy. Materials and Methods: This was a retrospective analysis of the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-Medicare linked database (2000~2009). The inclusion criteria were as follows: (1) first diagnosed with locally advanced/unresectable or metastatic gastric cancer between July 1, 2000 and December 31, 2007 (first diagnosis defined the index date); (2) ${\geq}65$ years of age at index; (3) continuously enrolled in Medicare Part A and B from 6 months before index through the end of follow-up, defined by death or the database end date (December 31, 2009), whichever occurred first; and (4) received first-line treatment with fluoropyrimidine and/or a platinum chemotherapy agent. Results: In total, 2,583 patients met the inclusion criteria. The mean age at index was $74.8{\pm}6.0years$. Over 90% of patients died during follow-up, with a median survival of 361 days for the overall post-index period and 167 days for the period after the completion of first-line chemotherapy. The mean total gastric cancer-related cost per patient over the entire post-index follow-up period was United States dollar (USD) $70,808{\pm}56,620$. Following the completion of first-line chemotherapy, patients receiving further cancer-directed treatment had USD 25,216 additional disease-related costs versus patients receiving supportive care only (P<0.001). Conclusions: The economic burden of advanced gastric cancer is substantial. Extrapolating based on published incidence estimates and staging distributions, the estimated total disease-related lifetime cost to Medicare for the roughly 22,200 patients expected to be diagnosed with this disease in 2014 approaches USD 300 millions.

Does Breast Cancer Drive the Building of Survival Probability Models among States? An Assessment of Goodness of Fit for Patient Data from SEER Registries

  • Khan, Hafiz;Saxena, Anshul;Perisetti, Abhilash;Rafiq, Aamrin;Gabbidon, Kemesha;Mende, Sarah;Lyuksyutova, Maria;Quesada, Kandi;Blakely, Summre;Torres, Tiffany;Afesse, Mahlet
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.17 no.12
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    • pp.5287-5294
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    • 2016
  • Background: Breast cancer is a worldwide public health concern and is the most prevalent type of cancer in women in the United States. This study concerned the best fit of statistical probability models on the basis of survival times for nine state cancer registries: California, Connecticut, Georgia, Hawaii, Iowa, Michigan, New Mexico, Utah, and Washington. Materials and Methods: A probability random sampling method was applied to select and extract records of 2,000 breast cancer patients from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database for each of the nine state cancer registries used in this study. EasyFit software was utilized to identify the best probability models by using goodness of fit tests, and to estimate parameters for various statistical probability distributions that fit survival data. Results: Statistical analysis for the summary of statistics is reported for each of the states for the years 1973 to 2012. Kolmogorov-Smirnov, Anderson-Darling, and Chi-squared goodness of fit test values were used for survival data, the highest values of goodness of fit statistics being considered indicative of the best fit survival model for each state. Conclusions: It was found that California, Connecticut, Georgia, Iowa, New Mexico, and Washington followed the Burr probability distribution, while the Dagum probability distribution gave the best fit for Michigan and Utah, and Hawaii followed the Gamma probability distribution. These findings highlight differences between states through selected sociodemographic variables and also demonstrate probability modeling differences in breast cancer survival times. The results of this study can be used to guide healthcare providers and researchers for further investigations into social and environmental factors in order to reduce the occurrence of and mortality due to breast cancer.

Tests based on EDF statistics for randomly censored normal distributions when parameters are unknown

  • Kim, Namhyun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.431-443
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    • 2019
  • Goodness-of-fit techniques are an important topic in statistical analysis. Censored data occur frequently in survival experiments; therefore, many studies are conducted when data are censored. In this paper we mainly consider test statistics based on the empirical distribution function (EDF) to test normal distributions with unknown location and scale parameters when data are randomly censored. The most famous EDF test statistic is the Kolmogorov-Smirnov; in addition, the quadratic statistics such as the $Cram{\acute{e}}r-von$ Mises and the Anderson-Darling statistic are well known. The $Cram{\acute{e}}r-von$ Mises statistic is generalized to randomly censored cases by Koziol and Green (Biometrika, 63, 465-474, 1976). In this paper, we generalize the Anderson-Darling statistic to randomly censored data using the Kaplan-Meier estimator as it was done by Koziol and Green. A simulation study is conducted under a particular censorship model proposed by Koziol and Green. Through a simulation study, the generalized Anderson-Darling statistic shows the best power against almost all alternatives considered among the three EDF statistics we take into account.

Characteristics of the Eggs and Larval Distribution and Transport Process in the Early Life Stage of the Chub Mackerel Scomber japonicus Near Korean Waters (한국 연근해에 분포하는 고등어(Scomber japonicus) 난·자치어의 분포특성 및 초기 수송과정 연구)

  • Kim, So Ra;Kim, Jung Jin;Stockhausen, William T.;Kim, Chang-Sin;Kang, Sukyung;Cha, Hyung Kee;Ji, Hwan-Sung;Jang, Seo-Ha;Baek, Hea Ja
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.52 no.6
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    • pp.666-684
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    • 2019
  • The horizontal distributions of eggs and larvae of chub mackerel Scomber japonicus were extensively surveyed in the vicinity of Korean waters between 31°75'N and 36°50'N during May and June in 2016 and 2017 (total of four surveys). We used a coupled bio-physical model (DisMELS) that combines an individual-based model (IBM) incorporating vertical migration of larvae and temperature-dependent survival to understand transport processes in the early life stage. Using the distributions of eggs and larvae from surveys, the potential spawning grounds were estimated at the northwest and southeast of Jeju Island and the central East China Sea in May, and at the southwestern East Sea and southern West Sea in June by running the model backward in time. In forward experiments within 30 days from the backward results, most larvae were transported to both the Korean and Japanese sides of the East Sea through the Korea Strait. However, the larvae released in the central East China Sea were transported to the Japanese side only, while those released in the southern West Sea were retained within that region. The survival rates at 30 days after release based on the simulation incorporating temperature-dependent survival throughout May and June were 29.7% in 2016 and 28.8% in 2017.

Comparison of Trend Tests for Genetic Association on Censored Ages of Onset (미완결 발병연령에 근거한 연관성 추세 검정법의 비교)

  • Yoon, Hye-Kyoung;Song, Hae-Hiang
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.933-945
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    • 2008
  • The genetic association test on age of onset trait aims to detect the putative gene by means of linear rank tests for a significant trend of onset distributions with genotypes. However, due to the selective sampling of recruiting subjects with ages less than a pre-specified limit, the genotype groups are subject to substantially different censored distributions and thus this is one reason for the low efficiencies in the linear rank tests. In testing the equality of two survival distributions, log-rank statistic is preferred to the Wilcoxon statistic, when censored observations are nonignorable. Therefore, for more then two groups, we propose a generalized log-rank test for trend as a genetic association test. Monte Carlo studies are conducted to investigate the performances of the test statistics examined in this paper.