• 제목/요약/키워드: Reliability Estimation

검색결과 1,552건 처리시간 0.026초

크리깅 메타모델과 유전알고리즘을 이용한 신뢰도 계산 및 신뢰도기반 최적설계 (Reliability Estimation and RBDO Using Kriging Metamodel and Genetic Algorithm)

  • 조태민;이병채
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
    • /
    • 제33권11호
    • /
    • pp.1195-1201
    • /
    • 2009
  • In this study, effective methods for reliability estimation and reliability-based design optimization(RBDO) are proposed using kriging metamodel and genetic algorithm. In our previous study, we proposed the accurate method for reliability estimation using two-staged kriging metamodel and genetic algorithm. In this study, the possibility of applying the previously proposed method to RBDO is investigated. The efficiency and accuracy of that method were much improved than those of the first order reliability method(FORM). Finally, the effective method for RBDO is proposed and applied to numerical examples. The results are compared to the existing RBDO methods and shown to be very effective and accurate.

신뢰성 보정된 발사체 개발비용 추정방안 연구 (Studies for Reliability-corrected Cost Estimation Methodology of Launch Vehicle Development)

  • 김홍래;유동서;장영근
    • 한국항공우주학회지
    • /
    • 제40권4호
    • /
    • pp.364-374
    • /
    • 2012
  • 본 연구에서는 발사체의 개념설계 단계 동안 성능 변수뿐만 아니라 신뢰성에 따른 개발비용 추정방안을 분석하고자 하였다. 과거에는 발사체의 개발비용을 예측하기 위해서 주로 발사체의 성능과 건조 질량 등을 독립변수로 하는 추정 방법이 많이 이용되었다. 이러한 접근 방법은 비교적 근사하였지만 신뢰성 수준에 따른 비용 변화를 반영할 수 없기 때문에 원하는 신뢰성을 가진 발사체의 개발비용을 근접하게 예측하기는 쉽지 않았다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 비용추정 방법의 한계를 개선하기 위해 성능과 질량을 기반으로 한 비용 모델인 TRANSCOST에 신뢰성 개념을 도입하여 발사체 비용을 추정할 수 있는 방법론을 제시하였다. 이를 기반으로 신뢰성에 따른 한국형발사체(KSLV- II)의 개발비용을 추정했다.

On Jacknife Reliability Estimation in the Weibull Case

  • 이인석;금윤희
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • 제13권2호
    • /
    • pp.39-44
    • /
    • 2002
  • We compare MISE of the MLE, UMVUE, invariantly optimal estimator and Jacknife estimator for the reliability function of the Weibull distribution when the sample size is small.

  • PDF

On Reliability and UMVUE of Right-Tail Probability in a Half-Normal Variable

  • Woo, Jung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • 제18권1호
    • /
    • pp.259-267
    • /
    • 2007
  • We consider parametric estimation in a half-normal variable and a UMVUE of its right-tail probability. Also we consider estimation of reliability in two independent half-normal variables, and derive k-th moment of ratio of two same variables.

  • PDF

Reliability P(Y

  • Woo, Jung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • 제18권3호
    • /
    • pp.783-792
    • /
    • 2007
  • We consider estimation of reliability P(Y

  • PDF

Reliability in Two Independent Uniform and Power Function-Half Normal Distribution

  • Woo, Jung-Soo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • 제15권3호
    • /
    • pp.325-332
    • /
    • 2008
  • We consider estimation of reliability P(Y < X) and distribution of the ratio when X and Y are independent uniform random variable and power function random variable, respectively and also consider the estimation problem when X and Y are independent uniform random variable and a half-normal random variable, respectively.

TRUNCATED SOFTWARE RELIABILITY GROWTH MODEL

  • Prince Williams, D.R.;Vivekanandan, P.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
    • /
    • 제9권2호
    • /
    • pp.761-769
    • /
    • 2002
  • Due to the large scale application of software systems, software reliability plays an important role in software developments. In this paper, a software reliability growth model (SRGM) is proposed. The testing time on the right is truncated in this model. The instantaneous failure rate, mean-value function, error detection rate, reliability of the software, estimation of parameters and the simple applications of this model are discussed .

피로균열전파수명의 확률분포추정 프로그램 개발 (Development of Probability Distribution Estimation Program for Fatigue Crack Growth Lives)

  • 김선진;안석환;윤성환
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • 제25권5호
    • /
    • pp.1058-1064
    • /
    • 2001
  • In this paper, the development of probability distribution estimation program for fatigue crack growth lives was summarize. The probability distribution estimation program of life was developed to increase the reliability of life estimation. In this study, it is considered that the cause of scatter in fatigue crack growth data is due to material inhomogeneity. The material resistance to fatigue crack growth is modelled as a spatial stochastic process, which varies randomly along the crack path. We developed the GUI program to estimate the probability distribution and reliability using the non-Gaussian stochastic process method. This program can be used for the reliability assessment.

  • PDF

QFD와 고장메커니즘 분석에 의한 농기계부품의 신뢰성평가 (Reliability Estimation of Agricultural Machinery Components Based on QFD and Failure Mechanism Analysis)

  • 정원
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
    • /
    • 제33권4호
    • /
    • pp.209-217
    • /
    • 2010
  • Reliability tools such as QFD and FMEA identify voice of customer related to product design, its use, how failures may occur, the severity of such failures, and the probability of the failure occurring. With these identified items, a development team can focus on the design process and the major issues facing the product in its potential use environment for the customer. The purpose of this research is to develop a reliability estimation process of agricultural machinery components using QFD, FMEA, and field failure data. Based on QFD method, customer requirements, engineering design elements and part characteristics were deployed. Using the field failure data, failures are investigated, and Weibull B10 life are estimated. This estimation process is useful for preparing the design input and planning the durability target.