• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제25권6호
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• pp.1569-1579
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• 2014

This article deals with the problem of testing for the equality of the shape parameters in two inverse Weibull distributions. We propose Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures for the equality of the shape parameters under the noninformative prior. The noninformative prior is usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be defined up to a multiplicative constant. So we propose the default Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factors under the reference priors. Simulation study and an example are provided.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제27권2호
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• pp.565-575
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• 2016

In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the linear combinations of means in the exponential distributions. We develop the matching priors and the reference priors. The matching priors, the reference prior and Jeffreys' prior for the linear combinations of means are developed. It turns out that the reference prior and Jeffreys' prior are not a matching prior. We show that the proposed matching prior matches the target coverage probabilities much more accurately than the reference prior and Jeffreys' prior in a frequentist sense through simulation study, and an example based on real data is given.

• 방사성폐기물학회지
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• 제18권2호
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• pp.179-194
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• 2020

기존의 확률론적 안전성 평가의 신뢰도 제고를 위하여 잘 알려진 입력 파라미터의 일반적인 분포에 새롭게 측정된 신뢰도 있는 데이터를 결합하여 사후분포를 구할 수 있는 베이지안 업데이팅 방법론을 제안하였다. 마코프체인 몬테 칼로 샘플링 기법의 알고리듬을 통한 GoldSim 모듈도 개발하였다. 복수의 입력 파라미터의 사전분포에 대해 연속적으로 사후분포를 구해낼 수 있는 베이지안 업데이팅이 가능하도록 개발된 이 모듈을 GoldSim 템플릿 형태의 기존의 GSTSPA 프로그램으로 이행하여 보다 신뢰도 있는 확률론적 방사성폐기물 처분 시스템 안전성 평가가 가능하도록 하였다. 이는 기존에 존재하는 사전분포의 일반적인 형태는 취하되 새롭게 얻어지는 실제 측정치나 전문가들의 의견을 기존의 분포에 적용하여 보다 더 높은 믿음을 갖는 입력 파라미터의 사후분포를 얻을 수 있게 한다. 균열암반 내 핵종 이동에 관련된 몇 개의 입력 파라미터의 사전분포의 세차례의 연속적 업데이팅을 통해 프로그램의 유용성도 예시하였다. 이 연구를 통하여 처분시스템과 같이 장기적 평가가 필요하고 넓은 모델링 지역을 가지며 측정된 입력자료가 부족한 경우 보다 더 믿음직한 방법으로 안전성 평가를 수행할 수 있는 것을 보였다.

• 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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• 제11권2호
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• pp.151-165
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• 2011

We consider the problem of estimating the system reliability using noninformative priors when both stress and strength follow generalized gamma distributions with index, scale, and shape parameters. We first derive group-ordering reference priors using the reparametrization. We next provide the sufficient condition for propriety of posterior distributions and provide marginal posterior distributions under those noninformative priors. Finally, we provide and compare estimated values of the system reliability based on the simulated values of parameter of interest in some special cases.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.1413-1425
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• 2006

When X and Y have independent gamma distributions, we develop a Bayesian procedure for testing the equality of two gamma means. The reference prior is derived. Using the derived reference prior, we propose a Bayesian test procedure for the equality of two gamma means using fractional Bayes factor and intrinsic Bayes factor. Simulation study and a real data example are provided.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.1329-1341
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• 2006

When X and Y have independent gamma distributions, we consider the testing problem for two gamma means. We propose a solution based on a Bayesian model selection procedure to this problem in which no subjective input is considered. The reference prior is derived. Using the derived reference prior, we compute the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factors. The posterior probability of each model is used as a model selection tool. Simulation study and a real data example are provided.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제22권1호
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• pp.142-151
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• 1994

Optimum screening procedures using prior information are presented. An optimal cutoff value on the screening variable X minimizing the expected total cost is obtained for the normal model; it is assumed that a continuous screening variable X given a dichotomous performance variable T is normally distributed and that costs are incurred by screening inspection and misclassification errors. Methods for finding optimal cutoff values based on the prior distributions for unknown parameters are presented.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제16권4호
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• pp.1095-1106
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• 2005

When X and Y have independent two parameter exponential distributions, we develop a Bayesian testing procedures for the equality of two location parameters. The reference prior in non-regular exponential model is derived. Under this reference prior, we propose a Bayesian test procedures for the equality of two location parameters using fractional Bayes factor and intrinsic Bayes factor. Simulation study and some real data examples are provided.

• 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국데이터정보과학회 2004년도 춘계학술대회
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• pp.15-23
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• 2004

When X and Y have independent two parameter exponential distributions, we develop a Bayesian testing procedures for the equality of two location parameters. Under the noninformative prior, we propose a Bayesian test procedures for the equality of two location parameters using fractional Bayes factor and intrinsic Bayes factor. Simulation study and some real data examples are provided.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제36권2호
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• pp.32-38
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• 2021

This paper suggests an approach to evaluate the reliability of an intelligent power module with information deficiency of prior distribution and the characteristics of censored data through Bayesian statistics. This approach used a prior distribution of Bayesian statistics using the lifetime information provided by the manufacturer and compared and evaluated diffuse prior (vague prior) distributions. To overcome the computational complexity of Bayesian posterior distribution, it was computed with Gibbs sampling in the Monte Carlo simulation method. As a result, the standard deviation of the prior distribution developed using simple information was smaller than that of the posterior distribution calculated with the diffuse prior. In addition, it showed excellent error characteristics on RMSE compared with the Kaplan-Meier method.