• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제53권8호
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• pp.2523-2533
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• 2021

In the last decade, the best estimate plus uncertainty methodologies in nuclear technology and nuclear power plant design have become a trending topic in the nuclear field. Since BEPU was allowed for licensing purposes by the most important regulator bodies, different uncertainty assessment methods have become popular, overall non-parametric methods. While non-parametric tolerance regions can be well stated and used in uncertainty quantification for licensing purposes, the propagation of the uncertainty through different codes (multi-scale, multiphysics) in cascade needs a better depiction of uncertainty than the one provided by the tolerance regions or a probability distribution. An alternative method based on the parametric or distributional probability boxes is used to perform uncertainty quantification and propagation regarding statistic uncertainty from one code to another. This method is sample-size independent and allows well-defined tolerance intervals for uncertainty quantification, manageable for uncertainty propagation. This work characterizes the distributional p-boxes behavior on uncertainty quantification and uncertainty propagation through nested random sampling.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제56권8호
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• pp.3097-3111
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• 2024

Since the level 2 PSA of OPR-1000 was the requirement for regulatory purposes, Cs-137 release estimation was contained as the Nuclear Safety Act of ROK in which the Cs-137 release frequency exceeding 100 TBq was determined to happen less than 1.0E-6 per year after the Fukushima Daiichi Accident. However, Cs-137 release estimation from the conventional level 2 PSA of OPR-1000 provided uncertainty due to dominant accident sequence consideration. Thus, this study aimed to develop systematic methods through the overall framework to quantify realistic uncertainty concerns of radioactive material release using sensitivity and uncertainty analysis methods and apply them to OPR-1000. This framework helped to quantify confidential value for the Cs-137 release under the BEPU approach using both parametric and non-parametric methods to cover both realistic and conservative points. Uncertainty propagation analysis showed the unexpected uncertainty increase of Cs-137 release exceeding 100 TBq. The non-parametric uncertainty analysis provided higher conservative concerns for safety than the realistic concerns in terms of economics when compared with the parametric uncertainty analysis. Wilks' uncertainty analysis showed the importance to consider conservative Cs-137 release in order to reach the higher safety need. Sensitivity analysis showed reasonable relationships between engineering safety parameters with the Cs-137 release.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 제어로봇시스템학회 1997년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집; 한국전력공사 서울연수원; 17-18 Oct. 1997
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• pp.293-296
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• 1997

Robust stability conditions for discrete-time variable structure control is proposed. Conventionally the discrete-time variable structure control method with a variable structure uncertainty compensator approach requires a bounded changing rate of the uncertainties to ensure robust stability. However, when uncertainties vary as a function of state variables, which occur with parametric uncertainties, it is not reasonable to assume a bounded variation on the uncertainties. In this paper, uncertainties are assumed to consist of exogenous disturbances and parametric uncertainties. An uncertainty compensator is used to deal with the former, and a robust stability condition is derived using Small Gain Theorem for the latter.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• 제38권12호
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• pp.1051-1060
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• 2005

The present study analyzes hydrologic utilization of optimal radar-derived rainfall by using semi-distributed TOPMODEL and evaluates the impacts of radar rainfall and model parametric uncertainty on a hydrologic model. Monte Carlo technique is used to produce the flow ensembles. The simulated flows from the corrected radar rainfalls with real-time bias adjustment scheme are well agreed to observed flows during 22-26 July 2003. It is shown that radar-derived rainfall is useful for simulating streamflow on a basin scale. These results are diagnose with which radar-rainfall Input and parametric uncertainty influence the character of the flow simulation uncertainty. The main conclusions for this uncertainty analysis are that the radar input uncertainty is less influent than the parametric one, and combined uncertainty with radar and Parametric input can be included the highest uncertainty on a streamflow simulation.

• Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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• 제49권1호
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• pp.60-67
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• 2012

This study considers the numerical analysis on parametric roll for container ships. As a method of numerical simulation, an impulse-response-function approach is applied in time domain. A systematic study is carried out for the parametric roll of two container ships, particularly observing the sensitivity of computational results to some parameters which can affect the analysis of parametric roll. The parameters to be considered are metacentric height (GM), simulation time window, and the discretization of wave spectrum. Based on the result of parametric roll simulation, numerical sensitivity and uncertainty in computational analysis are discussed.

• Coupled systems mechanics
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• 제6권4호
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• pp.487-499
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• 2017

This paper investigates the approximate solution bounds of radon diffusion equation in soil pore matrix coupled with uncertainty. These problems have been modeled by few researchers by considering the parameters as crisp, which may not give the correct essence of the uncertainty. Here, the interval uncertainties are handled by parametric form and solution of the relevant uncertain diffusion equation is found by using Galerkin's Method. The shape functions are taken as the linear combination of orthogonal polynomials which are generated based on the parametric form of the interval uncertainty. Uncertain bounds are computed and results are compared in special cases viz. with the crisp solution.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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• 제42권3호
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• pp.243-253
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• 2014

This paper deals with the Quantitative Feedback Thoery(QFT) guaranteeing robustness in spite of the plant parametric uncertainty. In the frequency domain, the QFT guarantees the robustness of the design specification on the uncertainty of plant parameters and disturbance. In order to use the QFT, a selected plant is a Quad Rotor Vehicle(QRV) which has excellent maneuverability and possibility of vertical take-off and landing like the helicopter. And attitude control is examined the possibility satisfied the requirement specification under the setting parametric uncertainty of motors driving 4-blades. Additionally, in an attitude control, the pre-filter considering parameter range and operating range of a QRV was used. For these purpose, in this paper, by using QFTCT, that is the QFT Control Toolbox designing the controller in MATLAB by the QFT, each design phases are introduced.

• Korean Journal of Veterinary Research
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• 제47권2호
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• pp.259-263
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• 2007

The choice of input distribution in quantitative risk assessments modeling is of great importance to get unbiased overall estimates, although it is difficult to characterize them in situations where data available are too sparse or small. The present study is particularly concerned with accommodation of uncertainties commonly encountered in the practice of modeling. The authors applied parametric and non-parametric bootstrap simulation methods which consist of re-sampling with replacement, in together with the classical Student-t statistics based on the normal distribution. The implications of these methods were demonstrated through an empirical analysis of trade volume from the amount of chicken and pork meat imported to Korea during the period of 1998-2005. The results of bootstrap method were comparable to the classical techniques, indicating that bootstrap can be an alternative approach in a specific context of trade volume. We also illustrated on what extent the bias corrected and accelerated non-parametric bootstrap method produces different estimate of interest, as compared by non-parametric bootstrap method.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제43권2호
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• pp.175-186
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• 2011

Previous evaluations of the safety of the Ulchin Nuclear Power Plant in the event of a tsunami have the shortcoming of uncertainty of the tsunami sources. To address this uncertainty, maximum and minimum wave heights at the intake of Ulchin NPP have been estimated through a parametric study, and then assessment of the safety margin for the intake has been carried out. From the simulation results for the Ulchin NPP site, it can be seen that the coefficient of eddy viscosity considerably affects wave height at the inside of the breakwater. In addition, assessment of the safety margin shows that almost all of the intake water pumps have a safety margin over 2 m, and Ulchin NPP site seems to be safe in the event of a tsunami according to this parametric study, although parts of the CWPs rarely have a margin for the minimum wave height.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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• 한국소음진동공학회 2007년도 춘계학술대회논문집
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• pp.251-257
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• 2007

For the modern aircraft, uncertainty has bee an important issue to its aeroelastic stability. Therefore, many researches have been conducted regarding this topic. The uncertainties in the aeroelastic system amy consist of the structural and aerodynamic uncertainty. In this paper, we suggest a parametric uncertainty modeling and conduct the aeroelastic stability analysis of a typical wing including the uncertainty.