• 제목/요약/키워드: Parameters Estimation

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Effectiveness of Sensitivity Analysis for Parameter Selection in CLIMEX Modeling of Metcalfa pruinosa Distribution

  • Byeon, Dae-hyeon;Jung, Sunghoon;Mo, Changyeun;Lee, Wang-Hee
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • 제43권4호
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    • pp.410-419
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: CLIMEX, a species distribution modeling tool, includes various types of parameters representing climatic conditions; the estimation of these parameters directly determines the model accuracy. In this study, we investigated the sensitivity of parameters for the climatic suitability calculated by CLIMEX for Metcalfa pruinosa in South Korea. Methods: We first changed 12 parameters and identified the three significant parameters that considerably affected the CLIMEX simulation response. Results: The result indicated that the simulation was highly sensitive to changes in lower optimal temperatures, lower soil moisture thresholds, and cold stress accumulation rate based on the sensitivity index, suggesting that these were the fundamental parameters to be used for fitting the simulation into the actual distribution. Conclusion: Sensitivity analysis is effective for estimating parameter values, and selecting the most important parameters for improving model accuracy.

Bayesian Estimation for the Multiple Regression with Censored Data : Mutivariate Normal Error Terms

  • Yoon, Yong-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.165-172
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    • 1998
  • This paper considers a linear regression model with censored data where each error term follows a multivariate normal distribution. In this paper we consider the diffuse prior distribution for parameters of the linear regression model. With censored data we derive the full conditional densities for parameters of a multiple regression model in order to obtain the marginal posterior densities of the relevant parameters through the Gibbs Sampler, which was proposed by Geman and Geman(1984) and utilized by Gelfand and Smith(1990) with statistical viewpoint.

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Estimation of Parameters in Fuzzy Time Series Model with Triangular Fuzzy Numbers

  • 손은희;손건태
    • 한국통계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국통계학회 2000년도 추계학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.267-269
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    • 2000
  • Using the fuzzified coefficients, ARMA processes can be extended to fuzzy time series model. In this paper, the estimation of parameters in the fuzzy time series model with asymmetric triangular fuzzy coefficients is studied. Nonlinear programming is applied to get solutions of parameters.

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BMS 수리모형하에서 시스템의 수리효과 및 고장강도함수의 모수추정 (Estimating Repair Effect and Parameters of Intensity Function under BMS Repair Model)

  • 윤원영;정석주;정일한;김종운;정상욱
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.45-54
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    • 2000
  • Estimation Problems of parameters of the failure process and the repair effect in repairable systems are considered. We propose estimation procedures in repairable systems without preventive maintenances. The failure process is modeled by a proportional age reduction model (Brown, Mahoney, Sivazlian [5]) which is able to consider both aging and repair effects. Maximum likelihood method is used to estimate the repair effect and parameters of intensity function simultaneously. simulations are performed to evaluate the accuracy of estimators. A numerical example is also presented.

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미계측유역의 일유출량 추정을 위한 탱크모형 매개변수의 회귀식 산정(수공) (A Regression Equation of Tank Model Parameters for Daily Runoff Estimation in a Region with Insufficient Hydrological Data)

  • 김선주;김필식;윤찬영
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농공학회 2000년도 학술발표회 발표논문집
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    • pp.412-418
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of this study is estimation of daily runoff in the watershed with insufficient hydrological data using tank model. In order to estimate, twentysix watersheds were selected to calibrate tank model parameters that were defined by a trial and error method. Results were correlated with characteristics of watershed. Relationships between the parameters and the watershed characteristics were derived by a multiple regression analysis. The simulation results were in agreement with the observed data.

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Estimation in Mixture of Shifted Poisson Distributions with Known Shift Parameters

  • Lee, Hyun-Jung;Oh, Chang-Hyuck
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.785-794
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    • 2006
  • Suggested is an EM algorithm for estimation in mixture of shifted Poisson distributions with known shift parameters. For this type of mixture distribution, we have to utilize values of shift parameters to determine whether each of data belongs to some component distribution. We propose a method of estimating values of component information and then follow typical EM methodology. Simulation results show that the algorithm provides reasonable performance for the distribution.

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Comparative Study of Estimation Methods of the Endpoint Temperature in Basic Oxygen Furnace Steelmaking Process with Selection of Input Parameters

  • Park, Tae Chang;Kim, Beom Seok;Kim, Tae Young;Jin, Il Bong;Yeo, Yeong Koo
    • 대한금속재료학회지
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    • 제56권11호
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    • pp.813-821
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    • 2018
  • The basic oxygen furnace (BOF) steelmaking process in the steel industry is highly complicated, and subject to variations in raw material composition. During the BOF steelmaking process, it is essential to maintain the carbon content and the endpoint temperature at their set points in the liquid steel. This paper presents intelligent models used to estimate the endpoint temperature in the basic oxygen furnace (BOF) steelmaking process. An artificial neural network (ANN) model and a least-squares support vector machine (LSSVM) model are proposed and their estimation performance compared. The classical partial least-squares (PLS) method was also compared with the others. Results of the estimations using the ANN, LSSVM and PLS models were compared with the operation data, and the root-mean square error (RMSE) for each model was calculated to evaluate estimation performance. The RMSE of the LSSVM model 15.91, which turned out to be the best estimation. RMSE values for the ANN and PLS models were 17.24 and 21.31, respectively, indicating their relative estimation performance. The essential input parameters used in the models can be selected by sensitivity analysis. The RMSE for each model was calculated again after a sequential input selection process was used to remove insignificant input parameters. The RMSE of the LSSVM was then 13.21, which is better than the previous RMSE with all 16 parameters. The results show that LSSVM model using 13 input parameters can be utilized to calculate the required values for oxygen volume and coolant needed to optimally adjust the steel target temperature.

M-Estimation Functions Induced From Minimum L$_2$ Distance Estimation

  • Pak, Ro-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.507-514
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    • 1998
  • The minimum distance estimation based on the L$_2$ distance between a model density and a density estimator is studied from M-estimation point of view. We will show that how a model density and a density estimator are incorporated in order to create an M-estimation function. This method enables us to create an M-estimating function reflecting the natures of both an assumed model density and a given set of data. Some new types of M-estimation functions for estimating a location and scale parameters are introduced.

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The RTD Measurement on a Submerged Bio-Reactor using a Radioisotope Tracer and the RTD Analysis

  • Seungkwon Shin;Kim, Jongbum;Sunghee Jung;Joonha Jin
    • International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
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    • 제1권2호
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    • pp.210-214
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents a residence time distribution (RTD) measurement method using a radioisotope tracer and the estimation method of RTD model parameters to analyze a submerged bio-reactor. The mathematical RTD models have been investigated to represent the flow behavior and the existence of stagnant regions in the reactor. Knowing the parameters of the RTD model is important for understanding the mixing characteristics of a reactor The radioisotope tracer experiment was carried out by injecting a radioisotope tracer as a pulse into the inlet of the reactor and recording the change of its concentration at the outlet of the reactor to obtain the experimental RTD response. The parameter estimation was performed by the Levenberg-Marquardt optimization algorithm. The proposed scheme allowed the parameter estimation of RTD model suggested by Adler-Hovorka with very low deviations. The estimation procedure is shown to lead to accurate estimation of the RTD parameters and to a good agreement between experimental and simulated response.

Parameter Estimation of Single and Decentralized Control Systems Using Pulse Response Data

  • Cheres, Eduard;Podshivalov, Lev
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.279-284
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    • 2003
  • The One Pass Method (OPM) previously presented for the identification of single input single output systems is used to estimate the parameters of a Decentralized Control System (DCS). The OPM is a linear and therefore a simple estimation method. All of the calculations are performed in one pass, and no initial parameter guess, iteration, or powerful search methods are required. These features are of interest especially when the parameters of multi input-output model are estimated. The benefits of the OPM are revealed by comparing its results against those of two recently published methods based on pulse testing. The comparison is performed using two databases from the literature. These databases include single and multi input-output process transfer functions and relevant disturbances. The closed loop responses of these processes are roughly captured by the previous methods, whereas the OPM gives much more accurate results. If the parameters of a DCS are estimated, the OPM yields the same results in multi or single structure implementation. This is a novel feature, which indicates that the OPM is a convenient and practice method for the parameter estimation of multivariable DCSs.