• Title/Summary/Keyword: Mean-variance model

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A NONPARAMETRIC CHANGE-POINT ESTIMATOR USING WINDOW IN MEAN CHANGE MODEL

  • Kim, Jae-Hee;Jang, Hee-Yoon
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.653-664
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    • 2000
  • The problem of inference about the unknown change-point with a change in mean is considered. We suggest a nonparametric change-point estimator using window and prove its consistency when the errors are from the distribution with the mean zero and the common variance. a comparison study is done by simulation on the mean, the variance, and the proportion of matching the true change-points.

The Admissible Multiperiod Mean Variance Portfolio Selection Problem with Cardinality Constraints

  • Zhang, Peng;Li, Bing
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.118-128
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    • 2017
  • Uncertain factors in finical markets make the prediction of future returns and risk of asset much difficult. In this paper, a model,assuming the admissible errors on expected returns and risks of assets, assisted in the multiperiod mean variance portfolio selection problem is built. The model considers transaction costs, upper bound on borrowing risk-free asset constraints, cardinality constraints and threshold constraints. Cardinality constraints limit the number of assets to be held in an efficient portfolio. At the same time, threshold constraints limit the amount of capital to be invested in each stock and prevent very small investments in any stock. Because of these limitations, the proposed model is a mix integer dynamic optimization problem with path dependence. The forward dynamic programming method is designed to obtain the optimal portfolio strategy. Finally, to evaluate the model, our result of a meaning example is compared to the terminal wealth under different constraints.

Development and Application of Process Incapability Index including Capability Analysis of Inspection or Gage System (검사/계측시스템의 능력분석을 포함한 비공정능력지수의 개발과 적용)

  • 민성진;김계완;류정현;윤덕균
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.118-132
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    • 2002
  • This paper presents a process incapability index to provide manager with various information of process and to reduce cost. The introduced process incapability indices indicate information about mean and variance of manufacturing process and variance of inspection process to evaluate process capability using ratio of variance and difference between target and mean to specification. This model can be used by the scale of six sigma management.

Selection of Data-adaptive Polynomial Order in Local Polynomial Nonparametric Regression

  • Jo, Jae-Keun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.177-183
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    • 1997
  • A data-adaptive order selection procedure is proposed for local polynomial nonparametric regression. For each given polynomial order, bias and variance are estimated and the adaptive polynomial order that has the smallest estimated mean squared error is selected locally at each location point. To estimate mean squared error, empirical bias estimate of Ruppert (1995) and local polynomial variance estimate of Ruppert, Wand, Wand, Holst and Hossjer (1995) are used. Since the proposed method does not require fitting polynomial model of order higher than the model order, it is simpler than the order selection method proposed by Fan and Gijbels (1995b).

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Covariance Estimation and the Effect on the Performance of the Optimal Portfolio (공분산 추정방법에 따른 최적자산배분 성과 분석)

  • Lee, Soonhee
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.137-152
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, I suggest several techniques to estimate covariance matrix and compare the performance of the global minimum variance portfolio (GMVP) in terms of out of sample mean standard deviation and return. As a result, the return differences among the GMVPs are insignificant. The mean standard deviation of the GMVP using historical covariance is sensitive to the estimation window and the number of assets in the portfolio. Among the model covariance, the GMVP using constant systematic risk ratio model or using short sale restriction shows the best performance. The performance difference between the GMVPs using historical covariance and model covariance becomes insignificant as the historical covariance is estimated with longer estimation window. Lastly, the implied volatilities from ELW prices do not lead to superior performance to the historical variance.

Variance components in one-factor random model by projections (사영을 이용한 일원 분산성분)

  • Choi, Jae-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.381-387
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    • 2011
  • This paper suggests a method for estimating components of variance in one-factor random model. Estimates of variance components are given by the method of moments. Sums of squares due to variance sources are obtained by projections. This paper also shows how to use eigenvalues for getting the coefficients of variance components in the expression of the expectations of the mean squares. The suggested method shows easier and faster than the method of Harley's synthesis.

Use of Pseudo-Likelihood Estimation in Taylor's Power Law with Correlated Responses

  • Park, Bum-Hee;Park, Heung-Sun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.993-1002
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    • 2008
  • Correlated responses have been widely analyzed since Liang and Zeger (1986) introduced the famous Generalized Estimating Equations(GEE). However, their variance functions were restricted to known quantifies multiplied by scale parameter. In so many industries and academic/research fields, power-of-the-mean variance function is one of the common variance function. We suggest GEE-type pseudolikelihood estimation based on the power-of-the-mean variance using existing software and investigate it's efficiency for different working correlation matrices.

An estimator of the mean of the squared functions for a nonparametric regression

  • Park, Chun-Gun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.577-585
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    • 2009
  • So far in a nonparametric regression model one of the interesting problems is estimating the error variance. In this paper we propose an estimator of the mean of the squared functions which is the numerator of SNR (Signal to Noise Ratio). To estimate SNR, the mean of the squared function should be firstly estimated. Our focus is on estimating the amplitude, that is the mean of the squared functions, in a nonparametric regression using a simple linear regression model with the quadratic form of observations as the dependent variable and the function of a lag as the regressor. Our method can be extended to nonparametric regression models with multivariate functions on unequally spaced design points or clustered designed points.

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Compromised feature normalization method for deep neural network based speech recognition (심층신경망 기반의 음성인식을 위한 절충된 특징 정규화 방식)

  • Kim, Min Sik;Kim, Hyung Soon
    • Phonetics and Speech Sciences
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.65-71
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    • 2020
  • Feature normalization is a method to reduce the effect of environmental mismatch between the training and test conditions through the normalization of statistical characteristics of acoustic feature parameters. It demonstrates excellent performance improvement in the traditional Gaussian mixture model-hidden Markov model (GMM-HMM)-based speech recognition system. However, in a deep neural network (DNN)-based speech recognition system, minimizing the effects of environmental mismatch does not necessarily lead to the best performance improvement. In this paper, we attribute the cause of this phenomenon to information loss due to excessive feature normalization. We investigate whether there is a feature normalization method that maximizes the speech recognition performance by properly reducing the impact of environmental mismatch, while preserving useful information for training acoustic models. To this end, we introduce the mean and exponentiated variance normalization (MEVN), which is a compromise between the mean normalization (MN) and the mean and variance normalization (MVN), and compare the performance of DNN-based speech recognition system in noisy and reverberant environments according to the degree of variance normalization. Experimental results reveal that a slight performance improvement is obtained with the MEVN over the MN and the MVN, depending on the degree of variance normalization.

Asymptotic Distribution of Sample Autocorrelation Function for the First-order Bilinear Time Series Model

  • Kim, Won-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.139-144
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    • 1990
  • For the first-order bilinear time series model $X_t = aX_{t-1} + e_i + be_{t-1}X_{t-1}$ where ${e_i}$ is a sequence of independent normal random variables with mean 0 and variance $\sigma^2$, the asymptotic distribution of sample autocarrelation function is obtained and shown to follow a normal distribution. The variance of the asymptotic distribution is of a complicated form and hence a bootstrap estimate of the variance is proposed for large sample inference. This result can be used to distinguish between different bilinear models.

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