• Title/Summary/Keyword: Loss distribution

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Bayes Estimation of a Reliability Function for Rayleigh Model

  • Kim, Yeung-Hoon;Sohn, Joong-Kweon
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.445-461
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    • 1994
  • This paper deals with the problem of obtaining some Bayes estimators and Bayesian credible regions of a reliability function for the Rayleigh distribution. Using several priors for a reliability function some Bayes estimators and Bayes credible sets are proposed and studied under squared error loss and Harris loss. Also the performances and behaviors of the proposed Bayes estimators are examined via Monte Carlo simulations and some numericla examples are given.

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Bayesian Estimators Using Record Statistics of Exponentiated Inverse Weibull Distribution

  • Kim, Yong-Ku;Seo, Jung-In;Kang, Suk-Bok
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.479-493
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    • 2012
  • The inverse Weibull distribution(IWD) is a complementary Weibull distribution and plays an important role in many application areas. In this paper, we develop a Bayesian estimator in the context of record statistics values from the exponentiated inverse Weibull distribution(EIWD). We obtained Bayesian estimators through the squared error loss function (quadratic loss) and LINEX loss function. This is done with respect to the conjugate priors for shape and scale parameters. The results may be of interest especially when only record values are stored.

Application of Simulated Annealing and Tabu Search for Loss Minimization in Distribution Systems (베전 계통의 손실 최소화를 위한 시뮬레이티드 어닐링과 타부 탐색의 적용)

  • Jeon, Young-Jae;Kim, Jae-Chul
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.50 no.1
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    • pp.28-37
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    • 2001
  • This paper presents an efficient algorithm for the loss minimization of distribution system by automatic sectionalizing switch operation in large scale distribution systems. Simulated annealing is particularly well suited for large combinational optimization problem, but the use of this algorithm is also responsible for an excessive computation time requirement. Tabu search attempts to determine a better solution in the manner of a greatest-descent algorithm, but it can not give any guarantee for the convergence property. The hybrid algorithm of two methods with two tabu lists and the proposed perturbation mechanism is applied to improve the computation time and convergence property Numerical examples demonstrate the validity and effectiveness of the proposed methodology using a KEPCO's distribution system.

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Nonparametric Bayesian estimation on the exponentiated inverse Weibull distribution with record values

  • Seo, Jung In;Kim, Yongku
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.611-622
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    • 2014
  • The inverse Weibull distribution (IWD) is the complementary Weibull distribution and plays an important role in many application areas. In Bayesian analysis, Soland's method can be considered to avoid computational complexities. One limitation of this approach is that parameters of interest are restricted to a finite number of values. This paper introduce nonparametric Bayesian estimator in the context of record statistics values from the exponentiated inverse Weibull distribution (EIWD). In stead of Soland's conjugate piror, stick-breaking prior is considered and the corresponding Bayesian estimators under the squared error loss function (quadratic loss) and LINEX loss function are obtained and compared with other estimators. The results may be of interest especially when only record values are stored.

Tip Clearance Effect on Through-Flow and Performance of a Centrifugal Compressor

  • Eum, Hark-Jin;Kang, Young-Seok;Kang, Shin-Hyoung
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.979-989
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    • 2004
  • Numerical simulations have been performed to investigate tip clearance effect on through-flow and performance of a centrifugal compressor which has the same configuration of impeller with six different tip clearances. Secondary flow and loss distribution have been surveyed to understand the flow mechanism due to the tip clearance. Tip leakage flow strongly interacts with mainstream flow and considerably changes the secondary flow and the loss distribution inside the impeller passage. A method has been described to quantitatively estimate the tip clearance effect on the performance drop and the efficiency drop. The tip clearance has caused specific work reduction and additional entropy generation. The former, which is called inviscid loss, is independent of any internal loss and the latter, which is called viscous loss, is dependent on every loss in the flow passage. Two components equally affected the performance drop as the tip clearances were small, while the efficiency drop was influenced by the viscous component alone. The additional entropy generation was modeled with all the kinetic energy of the tip leakage flow. Therefore, the present paper can provide how to quantitatively estimate the tip clearance effect on the performance and efficiency.

Assessment of Transmission Losses with The 7th Basic Plan of Long-term Electricity Supply and Demand (7차 전력수급계획에 따른 송전계통 손실 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Sung-Yul;Lee, Yeo-Jin
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.67 no.2
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    • pp.112-118
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    • 2018
  • In recent years, decentralized power have been increasing due to environmental problems, liberalization of electricity markets and technological developments. These changes have led to the evolution of power generation, transmission, and distribution into discrete sectors and the division of integrated power systems. Therefore, studies are underway to efficiently supply power and reduce losses to each sector's demand. This is a major concern for system planners and operators, as it accounts for a relatively high proportion of total power, with a transmission and distribution loss of 4-6%. Therefore, this paper analyzes the status of loss management based on the current transmission and distribution loss rate of each country and transmission loss management cases of each national power company, and proposes a loss rate prediction algorithm according to the long-term transmission system plan. The proposed algorithm predicts the demand-based long-term evolution and the loss rate of the grid to which the transmission plan is applied.

Eddy Loss Analysis and Parameter Optimization of the WPT System in Seawater

  • Zhang, Ke-Han;Zhu, Zheng-Biao;Du, Luo-Na;Song, Bao-Wei
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.778-788
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    • 2018
  • Magnetic resonance wireless power transfer (WPT) in the marine environment can be utilized in many applications. However, energy loss in seawater through eddy loss (EL) is another consideration other than WPT in air. Therefore, the effect of system parameters on electric field intensity (EFI) needs to be measured and ELs calculated to optimize such a system. In this paper, the usually complicated analytical expression of EFI is simplified to the product of frequency, current, coil turns, and a coefficient to analyze the eddy current loss (ECL). Moreover, as the calculation of ECL through volume integral is time-consuming, the equivalent eddy loss impedance (EELI) is proposed to help designers determine the optimum parameters quickly. Then, a power distribution model in seawater is conceived based on the introduction of EELI. An optimization flow chart is also proposed according to this power distribution model, from which a prototype system is developed which can deliver 100 W at 90% efficiency with a gap of 30 mm and a frequency of 107.1 kHz.

Comparative Performance Evaluation of 10kV IGCTs in 3L ANPC and TNPC Converters in PMSG MV Wind Turbines (PMSG 풍력발전기용 3L ANPC와 TNPC 컨버터에서의 10kV IGCT 성능 비교 평가)

  • Lyngdoh, Amreena Lama;Suh, Yongsug;Park, Byoung-Gun;Kim, Jiwon
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Power Electronics
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.419-427
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    • 2019
  • Several multilevel converter topologies have been proposed and compared. The three-level (3L) neutral-point-clamped (NPC) topology is promising and widely accepted. However, this topology suffers from uneven loss distribution among switches due to its fixed switching strategy. The 3L active NPC (ANPC) topology, which exhibits improved loss distribution profile, was proposed to address this disadvantage. The 3L T-NPC topology, a hybrid configuration of 2L and 3L NPC topologies, was introduced to address not only the loss distribution problem but also the reduction in the number of switches. In the present research, the application of these three topologies in PMSG-based medium-voltage wind turbines was investigated. The power devices considered were 10 kV IGCTs. Performance was evaluated in terms of a power loss of 10 kV IGCT for each NPC topology, which is a crucial indicator of thermal behavior, reliability, cost, and lifetime of any converter. The comparison was performed using ABB make 10 kV IGCT 5SHY17L9000 and the simulation tool PLECS.

Research on the Influence of Inter-turn Short Circuit Fault on the Temperature Field of Permanent Magnet Synchronous Motor

  • Qiu, Hongbo;Yu, Wenfei;Tang, Bingxia;Yang, Cunxiang;Zhao, Haiyang
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.1566-1574
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    • 2017
  • When the inter-turn short circuit (ITSC) fault occurs, the distortion of the magnetic field is serious. The motor loss variations of each part are obvious, and the motor temperature field is also affected. In order to obtain the influence of the ITSC fault on the motor temperature distribution, firstly, the normal and the fault finite element models of the permanent magnet synchronous motor (PMSM) were established. The magnetic density distribution and the eddy current density distribution were analyzed, and the mechanism of loss change was revealed. The effects of different forms and degrees of the fault on the loss were obtained. Based on the loss analysis, the motor temperature field calculation model was established, and the motor temperature change considering the loop current was analyzed. The influence of the fault on the motor temperature distribution was revealed. The sensitivity factors that limit the motor continuous operation were obtained. Finally, the correctness of the simulation was verified by experiments. The conclusions obtained are of great significance for the fault and high temperature demagnetization of the permanent magnet analysis.

Cyber risk measurement via loss distribution approach and GARCH model

  • Sanghee Kim;Seongjoo Song
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.75-94
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    • 2023
  • The growing trend of cyber risk has put forward the importance of cyber risk management. Cyber risk is defined as an accidental or intentional risk related to information and technology assets. Although cyber risk is a subset of operational risk, it is reported to be handled differently from operational risk due to its different features of the loss distribution. In this study, we aim to detect the characteristics of cyber loss and find a suitable model by measuring value at risk (VaR). We use the loss distribution approach (LDA) and the time series model to describe cyber losses of financial and non-financial business sectors, provided in SAS® OpRisk Global Data. Peaks over threshold (POT) method is also incorporated to improve the risk measurement. For the financial sector, the LDA and GARCH model with POT perform better than those without POT, respectively. The same result is obtained for the non-financial sector, although the differences are not significant. We also build a two-dimensional model reflecting the dependence structure between financial and non-financial sectors through a bivariate copula and check the model adequacy through VaR.