• 한국수자원학회논문집
• /
• 제30권1호
• /
• pp.45-54
• /
• 1997

수돗물, 송배수펌프의 운전 등 상수도시설을 합리적인 운용을 위해서는 일, 또는 시간 단위의 급수량 사용량의 추정이 필수적이다고 할 수 있다. 급수량의 추정방식은 회귀모형식 및 시계열 분석방법이 있는데, 본 연구에서는 시계열 분석방법인 ARIMA모형을 이용하여 일일 급수량을 추정하였으며 연구대상 지역으로는 광주광역시를 선정하였다. 일일 급수량을 추정하는데 있어서 시계열장을 15, 30. 60, 90일로 나누어 각각의 시계열장에 대해 시행착오법으로 각 모형에 적용하여 최적의 시계열장을 결정하여, 상수도 일일 급수량을 추정할 수 있는 모형을 제안하고 그 유효성을 잔차분석을 통해 검증하였다. 제안된 모형식은 사고 등의 인위적인 조작(단수 등)이 가해지는 시기를 제외하고는 실측치와 모형의 추정치와의 오차율이 최대 약 12%, 평균 3% 이내로 나타나, 모형의 결과는 상수도 일일 급수량의 추정에 필요한 시설에 적용 가능하다고 판단된다.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
• /
• 제12권5호
• /
• pp.1709-1718
• /
• 2017

This paper presents a hybrid stochastic deterministic multi-timescale scheduling (SDMS) approach for generation scheduling of a power grid. SDMS considers flexible resource options including conventional generation flexibility in a chance-constrained day-ahead scheduling optimization (DASO). The prime objective of the DASO is the minimization of the daily production cost in power systems with high penetration scenarios of variable generation. Furthermore, energy storage is scheduled in an hourly-ahead deterministic real-time scheduling optimization (RTSO). DASO simulation results are used as the base starting-point values in the hour-ahead online rolling RTSO with a 15-minute time interval. RTSO considers energy storage as another source of grid flexibility, to balance out the deviation between predicted and actual net load demand values. Numerical simulations, on the IEEE RTS test system with high wind penetration levels, indicate the effectiveness of the proposed SDMS framework for managing the grid flexibility to meet the net load demand, in both day-ahead and real-time timescales. Results also highlight the adequacy of the framework to adjust the scheduling, in real-time, to cope with large prediction errors of wind forecasting.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 대한전기학회 2005년도 제36회 하계학술대회 논문집 A
• /
• pp.772-774
• /
• 2005

Interstate electric power system, as an alternative for energy cooperation under regional economic bloc, has been hotly debated before progressing the restructure in electric power industry and rapidly expanded in many regions after 1990s. Especially, since northeast asia has strong supplementation in resource, load shape, fuel mix etc., electric power system interconnection in this region may bring considerable economic benefits. Moreover, since Korean electric power system has a great difficulty in a geographical condition to interrupt electricity transaction with other countries, it has been expanded as an independent system to supply all demand domestically. As a result, Korean electric power system makes considerable payment for maintaining system security and reliability and expands costly facilities to supply a temporary summer peak demand. Under this inefficiency, if there are electricity transactions with Russia via the North Korea route then economic electric power system operation may be achieved using seasonal and hourly differences in electricity price and/or load pattern among these countries. In this paper, we estimate price cap of transacted electricity via interstate electric power system in northeast asia. For this study, we perform quantitative economic analysis on various system interconnection scenarios.

• 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
• /
• 제55권3호
• /
• pp.128-132
• /
• 2006

Interstate electric power system, as an alternative for energy cooperation under regional economic bloc, has been hotly debated before progressing the restructure in electric power industry and rapidly expanded in many regions after 1990s. Especially, since northeast asia has strong supplementation in resource, load shape, fuel mix etc., electric power system interconnection in this region may bring considerable economic benefits. Moreover, since Korean electric power system has a great difficulty in a geographical condition to interrupt electricity transaction with other countries, it has been expanded as an independent system to supply all demand domestically. As a result, Korean electric power system makes considerable payment for maintaining system security and reliability and expands costly facilities to supply a temporary summer peak demand. Under this inefficiency, if there are electricity transactions with Russia via the North Korea route then economic electric power system operation nay be achieved using seasonal and hourly differences in electricity price and/or load pattern among these countries. In this paper, we estimate price cap of transacted electricity via interstate electric power system in northeast asia. For this study, we perform quantitative economic analysis on various system interconnection scenarios.

• 한국유통학회지:유통연구
• /
• 제3권1호
• /
• pp.145-158
• /
• 1998

The selection of proposed sites for the general logistic center of agriculture products would be made the most suitable place by considering the spread of population as real consumers, the prospect of the demand, the expansion of traffic system, the regional, hourly and carring traffic volume and the use of land based urban planning, etc. As the preconsideration, the possible occupant companies have to be selected on the category of business and the district. After posing questions and having interview, several selected regions would be compared and analysed for deciding the most suitable place. The model for the general logistic center of agricultural products must be selected taking key factors approach for choosing key factors at first and referring to many documentary records. And the more, cooperating with the specialists for location selection and making objective questions to concerned companies, the most suitable place is selected by marking high score for the moderate land cost, the low traffic jam, the connection with the back cities and the possible expansion as the general logistic center of agriculture products.

• 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국태양에너지학회 2009년도 춘계학술발표대회 논문집
• /
• pp.127-132
• /
• 2009

A Microsoft Access application program is developed to calculate energy demands for a Community Energy System (CES) composed of various types of buildings. The field-measured heating, hot water, cooling, and electricity energy consumptions for 14 types of building are systematically organized in forms of database and hourly loads for a span of year (8760 hours) are generated through an automated statistical procedure. User-friendly standard windows interfaces are provided to assist non-expert end users.

• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국철도학회 2007년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
• /
• pp.1913-1926
• /
• 2007

Number of highway lanes and level of service are based on the 30th, 60th or 100th highest hour volume of the target year. On the other hand, railroad design volume is generally expressed in average annual daily traffic (AADT). This procedure ignores attributes of railroad demand's concentration on peak days and hours. Actual data analysis represents railroad's peaking characteristics very similar to those of highways. Therefore it is necessary to set a procedure in selecting design volume for railroad planning. This study presents a concept and the calculating procedure for railroad design hourly volume to analyze effect of railroad investment.

• 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
• /
• 제51권6호
• /
• pp.269-275
• /
• 2002

Recently, Korea's electric industry has experienced substantial changes in its structure and function including the introduction of competition in the generation sector. Korea is in the early stages of market competition where the market price is determined by generation costs. In the future, the market Price will be determined by generators'bids. Therefore, the generators'profit is determined by market pool price, the prospects of pool price are very important for new capacity investment decision made by generators and IPPS. This study analyzes hourly marginal costs and LOLP considering basic generation mix and characteristics develops the relationship of pool price and Profit by generation-type using the change in reserve margin, and proposes basic direction for profits variation and supply-demand analysis in the electricity market in future.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 대한전기학회 2001년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
• /
• pp.512-514
• /
• 2001

Recently, Korea's electric industry is in the midst of a period of profound changes in the structure and function, including the introduction of market competition in the generation sector. Korea is in the early stages of market competition, so the market price is chosen by generation costs but will be chosen by bids in future. Therefore, the profits of generators is determined by market pool price and the prospects of pool price are very important for new capacity investment determination of generators and IPPs. This study analyzes hourly marginal costs and LOLP considering basic generation mix and characteristics, develops the relationship of pool price using the above in competition market, and proposes basic direction for profits variation and supply-demand analysis in the electric market in future.

• 산업공학
• /
• 제16권1호
• /
• pp.16-26
• /
• 2003

In Korea, cooling power load, which occupies about 20% of peak load in 2000 and fluctuates depending on the popular usage of air conditioning systems, has been recently the focus of the load management. The first work of KEPCO (Korea Electric Power Corporation) to regulate cooling load as low as possible was to estimate its approximate scale and to develop the indirect methods to estimate it from the available time series data for the average hourly loads. However, KEPCO would like to have their methods improved both theoretically and practically. In this paper, we analyze their current indirect methods and detect their faults to design better indirect estimation methods. Under one of the assumptions of "no cooling load in April or May", the linear relationship between basic loads and GDP's, and the normalized seasonal factors of the Winters' multiplicative seasonal model, we provide ten indirect estimation methods in total and suggest the estimated cooling load(1988-1999) based on our various indirect methods.