• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.28 no.5
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• pp.1191-1204
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• 2017

Weighted least squares (WLS) estimation is often easily used for the data with heteroscedastic errors because it is intuitive and computationally inexpensive. However, WLS estimator is less robust to a few outliers and sometimes it may be inefficient. In order to overcome robustness problems, Box-Cox transformation, Huber's M estimation, bisquare estimation, and Yohai's MM estimation have been proposed. Also, more efficient estimations than WLS have been suggested such as Bayesian methods (Cepeda and Achcar, 2009) and semiparametric methods (Kim and Ma, 2012) in heteroscedastic error models. Recently, Çelik (2015) proposed the weight methods applicable to the heteroscedasticity patterns including butterfly-distributed residuals and megaphone-shaped residuals. In this paper, we review heteroscedastic regression estimators related to robust or efficient estimation and describe their properties. Also, we analyze cost data of U.S. Electricity Producers in 1955 using the methods discussed in the paper.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.17 no.2
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• pp.467-474
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• 2006

In this paper we present a weighted support vector machine(SVM) and a weighted least squares support vector machine(LS-SVM) for the prediction in the heteroscedastic regression model. By adding weights to standard SVM and LS-SVM the better fitting ability can be achieved when errors are heteroscedastic. In the numerical studies, we illustrate the prediction performance of the proposed procedure by comparing with the procedure which combines standard SVM and LS-SVM and wild bootstrap for the prediction.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.23 no.4
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• pp.683-692
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• 2010

This short article is concerned with a categorical time series obtained after clipping a heteroscedastic GARCH process. Estimation methods are discussed for the model parameters appearing both in the original process and in the resulting binary time series from a clipping (cf. Zhen and Basawa, 2009). Assuming AR-GARCH model for heteroscedastic time series, three data sets from Korean stock market are analyzed and illustrated with applications to calculating certain probabilities associated with the AR-GARCH process.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.21 no.4
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• pp.57-66
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• 2003

Because the Logit model easily calculates probabilities for choice alternatives and estimates parameters for explanatory variables, it is widely used as a traffic mode choice model. However, this model includes an assumption which is independently and identically distributed to the error component distribution of the mode choice utility function. This paper is a study on the estimation of the Heteroscedastic Logit Model. which mitigates this assumption. The purpose of this paper is to estimate a Logit model that more accurately reflects the mode choice behavior of passengers by resolving the homoscedasticity of the model choice utility error component. In order to do this, we introduced a scale factor that is directly related to the error component distribution of the model. This scale factor was defined so as to take into account the heteroscedasticity in the difference in travel time between using public transport and driving a car, and was used to estimate the travel time parameter. The results of the Logit Model estimation developed in this study show that Heteroscedastic Logit Models can realistically reflect the mode choice behavior of passengers, even if the difference in travel time between public and private transport remains the same as passenger travel time increases, by identifying the difference in mode choice probability of passengers for public transportation.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.20 no.5
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• pp.905-912
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• 2009

We propose a doubly penalized kernel machine (DPKM) which uses heteroscedastic location-scale model as basic model and estimates both mean and volatility functions simultaneously by kernel machines. We also present the model selection method which employs the generalized approximate cross validation techniques for choosing the hyperparameters which affect the performance of DPKM. Artificial examples are provided to indicate the usefulness of DPKM for the mean and volatility functions estimation.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.10 no.3
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• pp.873-878
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• 2003

LS-SVM(Least-Squares Support Vector Machine) has been used as a promising method for regression as well as classification. Suykens et al.(2000) used only the magnitude of residuals to obtain SVs(Support Vectors). Suykens' method behaves well for homogeneous model. But in a heteroscedastic model, the method shows a poor behavior. The present paper proposes a new method to get SVs. The proposed method uses the variance of noise as well as the magnitude of residuals to obtain support vectors. Through the simulation study we justified excellence of our proposed method.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.34 no.2
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• pp.161-172
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• 2005

In this paper a nonparametric method is proposed for detecting conditionally heteroscedastic errors in a nonparametric time series regression model where the observation points are equally spaced on [0,1]. It turns out that the first-order sample autocorrelation of the squared residuals from the kernel regression estimates provides essential information. Illustrative simulation study is presented for diverse errors such as ARCH(1), GARCH(1,1) and threshold-ARCH(1) models.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.7 no.1
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• pp.87-96
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• 2000

Nonlinear time series prediction is derived and compared between statistic of modeling and neural network method. In particular mean squared errors of predication are obtained in generalized random coefficient model and generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic model and compared with them by neural network forecasting.

• The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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• v.23 no.2
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• pp.189-208
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• 2006

In this paper we are concerned with estimation of tail related risk measures for heteroscedastic financial time series and VaR limits that VaR tells us nothing about the potential size of the loss given. So we use GARCH-EVT model describing the tail of the conditional distribution for heteroscedastic financial series and adopt Expected Shortfall to overcome VaR limits. The main results can be summarized as follows. First, the distribution of stock return series is not normal but fat tail and heteroscedastic. When we calculate VaR under normal distribution we can ignore the heavy tails of the innovations or the stochastic nature of the volatility. Second, GARCH-EVT model is vindicated by the very satisfying overall performance in various backtesting experiments. Third, we founded the expected shortfall as an alternative risk measures.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.21 no.1
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• pp.155-162
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• 2010

In this paper we propose a doubly penalized kernel method which estimates both the mean function and the variance function simultaneously by kernel machines for heteroscedastic autoregressive data. We also present the model selection method which employs the cross validation techniques for choosing the hyper-parameters which aect the performance of proposed method. Simulated examples are provided to indicate the usefulness of proposed method for the estimation of mean and variance functions.