• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제27권4호
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• pp.495-506
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• 1998

The proposed class of generalized logistic models, indexed by an extra parameter, can be used to model or to examine symmetric or asymmetric discrepancies from the logistic model. When there are a finite number of different design points, we are mainly concerned with maximum likelihood estimation of parameters and in deriving their large sample behavior A score test and a bootstrap hypothesis test are also considered to check if the standard logistic model is appropriate to fit the data or if a generalization is needed .

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제28권6B호
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• pp.723-729
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• 2008

본 연구에서는 홍수지수법의 불확실성을 평가하기 위해 우리나라 강우자료의 지역빈도해석에 적합한 것으로 제안된 generalized logistic 분포형의 quantile에 대한 점근 분산식을 이용하여 성장곡선에 대한 신뢰구간을 산정하였다. 또한 지점 빈도해석과 지역빈도해석에 의한 quantile의 분산을 이용하여 빈도해석의 효율성 지표(efficiency index)를 계산하였다. 우리나라 378개 강우 관측 지점을 바탕으로 구분한 14개 동질 지역에 대해 효율성 지표를 계산한 결과 홍수지수법이 지점빈도 해석보다 불확실성이 더 작은 quantile을 추정하는 것으로 나타났다. 한 지역에 포함되는 지점 개수가 과다하지 않도록 조정하는 것이 지역빈도해석의 효율성 측면에서 나은 것으로 나타났다.

• 충청수학회지
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• 제26권3호
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• pp.441-451
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• 2013

In this paper, we derive recurrence relations for moments of lower generalized order statistics within a class of doubly truncated distributions. Inverse Weibull, exponentiated Weibull, power function, exponentiated Pareto, exponentiated gamma, generalized exponential, exponentiated log-logistic, generalized inverse Weibull, extended type I generalized logistic, logistic and Gumble distributions are given as illustrative examples. Further, recurrence relations for moments of order statistics and lower record values are obtained as special cases of the lower generalized order statistics, also two theorems for characterizing the general form of distribution based on single moments of lower generalized order statistics are given.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제42권4호
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• pp.331-341
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• 2009

본 연구에서는 generalized logistic(GL) 분포의 최우도 추정량(maximum likelihood estimate)에 대한 불확실성 추정을 위하여 사용되는 관측정보행렬(observed information matrix)과 Fisher 정보행렬(Fisher information matrix)의 정확도를 비교해 보고자 하였다. 타 분포형에 대한 기존의 연구결과에서 표본의 크기가 클 경우 매개변수 추정시 관측정보행렬이 동시에 추정되어 계산시간도 단축되고 Fisher 정보행렬의 정확도와도 차이도 거의 없어 관측정보행렬의 사용이 추천된 바 있으나, 최근 사용이 증가되고 있는 GL 분포에 대한 연구결과는 아직 전무한 실정이며 기존 연구문헌의 결과를 토대로 구체적인 연구 없이 관측정보행렬을 사용하고 있는 상황이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 이를 위해 모의실험을 수행하였으며, 모의 결과 최우도법에 의한 매개변수의 분산 및 공분산은 기존의 연구 결과와 비슷한 결과를 보이나, quantile에 대한 불확실성 추정에는 관측정보행렬보다 Fisher 정보행렬의 사용이 더 적절할 것으로 판단되었다.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2006년도 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.758-763
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• 2006

Statistical concepts and methods are routinely utilized in a number of design and management problems in engineering hydrology. This is because most of hydrological processes have some degree of randomness and uncertainty. Thus, the concepts of risk and uncertainty are commonly utilized for designing and evaluating hydraulic structures such as spillways and dikes. Therefore, in this study, uncertainty analysis considering the variance of design floods is performed to evaluate the uncertainty of the hydrologic risk of flood related hydraulic structures using frequency analysis.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제18권5호
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• pp.645-655
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• 2011

Chandrasekar et al. (2004) introduced a generalized Type-II hybrid censoring. In this paper, we propose generalized doubly Type-II hybrid censoring. In addition, this paper presents the statistical inference on the scale parameter for the half logistic distribution when samples are generalized doubly Type-II hybrid censoring. The approximate maximum likelihood(AMLE) method is developed to estimate the unknown parameter. The scale parameter is estimated by the AMLE method using two di erent Taylor series expansion types. We compar the AMLEs in the sense of the mean square error(MSE). The simulation procedure is repeated 10,000 times for the sample size n = 20; 30; 40 and various censored samples. The $AMLE_I$ is better than $AMLE_{II}$ in the sense of the MSE.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2001년도 학술발표회 논문집(I)
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• pp.140-145
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• 2001

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제22권5호
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• pp.977-989
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• 2011

The half logistic distribution has been used intensively in reliability and survival analysis especially when the data is censored. In this paper, we provide Bayesian estimation of the shape parameter and reliability function in the generalized half logistic distribution based on progressively Type-II censored data under various loss functions. We here consider conjugate prior and noninformative prior and corresponding posterior distributions are obtained. As an illustration, we examine the validity of our estimation using real data and simulated data.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제22권3호
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• pp.597-603
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• 2011

The half logistic distribution has been used intensively in reliability and survival analysis especially when the data is censored. In this paper, we provide prole likelihood estimation of the shape parameter and scale parameter in the generalized half logistic distribution based on progressively Type-II censored data. We also introduce approximate maximum prole likelihood estimates for the scale parameter. As an illustration, we examine the validity of our estimation using real data and simulated data.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제51권4호
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• pp.691-700
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• 2023

Purpose: This study aims to analyze the diffusion pattern of the Mongolian mobile phone market. In particular, we used a generalized diffusion model to explore the factors affecting market potenial. Methods: We used three diffusion models to estimate the number of mobile subscribers in Mongolia. Based on the Logistic model with the best fitness, we introduced time-varying market potential and explored the influence of various independent variables such as GDP and inflation. Results: Among the basic diffusion models, the Logistic model was the best in terms of estimation performance and statistical significance. The estimation results of the Generalized Logistic model confirm that investment in the telecommunication sector has a significant positive effect on market potential. The estimation of the Generalized Logistic model effectively describes the continuous growth of the Mongolian telecommunications market until recently. Conclusion: We have analyzed the diffusion pattern of the Mongolian telecommunications market and found that the amount of investment in the sector leads to the growth of the market size. This study is original in terms of its subject - Mongolian telecommunications market and methodology - time-varying market potential.