• Title/Summary/Keyword: Contingency Analysis

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Analysis of Preferences Based on Purchasing Frequencies and Recognitions of Sizing System for Female Garments (여성복의 구매빈도에 의한 선호도 및 치수 시스템 인지도에 관한 분석)

  • Koo, Hee-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korea Fashion and Costume Design Association
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.125-134
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    • 2011
  • The research is a survey and analysis of female apparel preferences, and recognition of the KS sizing system for adult female garments. The practical surveys in this research are examined by total number of subjects, 200 women who are living in Seoul, South Korea. The homogeneity test using Chi-square statistics, and the analysis of frequencies and ratios of contingency tables were performed with the data which are classified by age, education level, income level and housing modalities. The findings in this study are as follows: 1. Women's preferences for purchasing female garments indicate significant differences between subjects, such as age, education level, income level and housing modalities. Moreover, the following five types of adult female garments were analyzed in this study: upper garment, lower garment, one-piece apparel, sportswear and sleepwear. The results of the preference study show an indirect understanding of the KSK 0051 classification system for subjects of the survey. Therefore the preference study can be used as a pilot study for the sizing recognition survey. 2. Women's recognition of the KSK 0051 sizing system for adult female adult garments do not indicate significant differences based on the characteristics of age, education level, income level and housing modalities. The low recognition of the KS sizing system is due to too many details and complex numbers of application for users. Therefore, the sizing system should be simplified and rearranged to be more effective and have more recognizable categories.

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Analysis and Quantitative Estimation of Risk Factors of Design-Build (턴키 프로젝트에서 리스크요인 분석 및 정량적 평가)

  • Oh, Guk-Yeol;Lee, Young-Dai
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.12-24
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    • 2012
  • The Risks in undertaking a construction project comes from many sources and often involves many participants in the project. This study has identified various kinds of risks, assessed the risk factors quantitatively and suggested risk management method for response pertinent in Design Build(Turn Key)type of projects in Korean context. A questionnaire was designed comprising of 145 possible risks in all types of construction projects. The population from owner, consultant and contractor groups was asked to indicate the risks applicable in DB projects. 25 numbers of critical risks in DB projects were identified and further analyzed for reveling inherent relationship between them through factor analysis. Factor analysis revealed 8 risk factors in DB projects. Construction site related, contract related and design related risk factor consisted about 72% of total risk weight. It has been found out about 6%, while considering the mutual dependency, it is about 10% of total cost of DB project. Therefore, It is suggested that 6% to 10% of construction amount as contingency has to be made provision for risk responses in the DB projects.

Cash flow Forecasting in International Construction Projects through Categorized Risk Analysis (특성별 리스크 분석을 통한 해외건설공사 현금흐름 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Yeom, Sang-Min;Han, Seung-Heon;Kim, Du-Yeon;Nam, Ha-Na;Park, Hee-Dae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.295-300
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    • 2006
  • In this research, risk factors which can raise project cost are identified in the initial stage and picked out through the decision maker's baseline. And also this probable risks are implemented to the project cash flow to estimate the contingency and to build a risk management system in the level of project. The risks that affect the projects profits were classified in two categories in the risk checklist. Firstly, financial risks derived from the external economic conditions for example exchange rate, escalation, interest rates etc. are analyzed through the stochastic methods, Monte-Carlo Simulation. Secondly, the project individual risks which are come from the project characteristics, for example country risk, clime, owner etc., are evaluated using the utility curve of the decision maker. Finally these risk analysis methods are used to forecast the actual project cash flow and final profit.

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Identification of Factors Affecting the Occurrence of Temporal Patterns of Rainfall in Gamcheon Watershed (감천유역에 대한 강우양상 발생 영향인자의 규명 및 해석)

  • Ahn, Ki-Hong;Cho, Wan-Hee;Han, Kun-Yeun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.77-85
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    • 2009
  • In South Korea, seasonal, local and temporal climatic characteristics are variable in rainfall patterns. To design or assess the reliability of hydrosystem, information about the rainfall event under consideration is important. In this process, the complete description of a design storm involves the specification of rainfall duration, depth, and its temporal pattern. Generally, to use an appropriate temporal pattern for a design storm is of great importance in the design and evaluation of hydrological safety for hydrosystem. For purpose of selecting of factors affecting the occurrence of rainfall patterns, Huff's dimensionless method was executed and examined by statistical contingency tables analysis through which the inter-dependence of the occurrence frequency of rainfall patterns with respect to geographical location, rainfall duration and depth, and seasonality is investigated. This analysis result can be used to establish flood policies and to design or assess the reliability of hydrosystem.

Outlying Cell Identification Method Using Interaction Estimates of Log-linear Models

  • Hong, Chong Sun;Jung, Min Jung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.291-303
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    • 2003
  • This work is proposed an alternative identification method of outlying cell which is one of important issues in categorical data analysis. One finds that there is a strong relationship between the location of an outlying cell and the corresponding parameter estimates of the well-fitted log-linear model. Among parameters of log-linear model, an outlying cell is affected by interaction terms rather than main effect terms. Hence one could identify an outlying cell by investigating of parameter estimates in an appropriate log-linear model.

A Study on Power System Characteristics by Installing SIHWA Tidal Power Plant (시화호 조력발전소 운전에 따른 전력계통 특성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kyu-Ho;Song, Kyung-Bin;Kim, Sang-Min;Choi, Hong-Seok
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2011.07a
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    • pp.254-255
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    • 2011
  • This paper presents a method to analysis the effect for integrating Sihwa tidal power into power systems. Especially, power flow, fault current, voltage and contingency of sihwa tidal power plant area are calculated and the generation characteristics of tidal machine are analyzed.

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Security Control of Power Systems (전력계통의 신뢰도제어 -상정사고해석을 중심으로-)

  • 양흥석;박영문
    • 전기의세계
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.84-91
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    • 1977
  • A modified version of algorithm and computer program is proposed to improve the currently available contingency analysis methode for the security control of power system. The underlying principle is based upon the reasonable modification of the current methods suggested by Stagg, Tinny, Alsac, and Stott in consideration of speed, aceuracy, reliability and convergency characteristics. The algorithm and program are desirgned especially for On-Line operation, although Off-Line applications are readily available. Several case studies on the Koren Power Company's 48-bus, 91-line system have shown that the method proposed is efficiently powerful in a sense of practical applicability.

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Automatic Suppression of Power System Overload (전력계통과부하 자동예방법에 관한 연구)

  • 박영문;양흥석;문영현
    • 전기의세계
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.56-63
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    • 1978
  • A new method is suggested for the bus active power vs. line power flow sensibility bector, applying the Optimally-Ordered Triangular Factorization Technique, and new algorithms are derived for the optimum measures against overloaded lines and transformers resulting from contingency analysis. According to the algorithms an online-purpose FORTRAN computer program package is developed and tested or the actual 48-bus, 91-line power system with good results.

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An Expert System for Security Assessment in Distribution System (배전계토에서의 안전도 평가를 위한 전문가 시스)

  • Park, Byoung-youn;Kim, Se-Ho;Moon, Young-Hyun
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.179-188
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    • 1994
  • This paper deals with implementation of an expert system to obtain an optimal plan of load transfer for fault restoration with the capability of security monitoring and assessment in distribution systems. Based on the technique of load transfer tree analysis, the proposed expert system can afford to assist system operators in proposing an optimal plan of load transfer for fault restoration, In paticular, an application of the proposed ES to practical distribution systems yields an optimal load transfer plan which ensures system security by considering security assessment for contingency of feeders and main transformers in the knowledge based sense.

Analyses of Business Values from E-Commerce Adoption in SMEs : Public and Private Organizations in Tourism Industry

  • Cho, Nam-Jae;Joun, Hyo-Jae;Oh, Seung-Hee
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.27-41
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    • 2008
  • This paper examines the relationship between IT investment and the improvement of efficiency from the perspective of organizational contingency by the type of organizations and their maturity in IT use in terms of their history of e-commerce use. Organizations are divided into private and public in nature, and into experienced and inexperienced in e-commerce. An analysis was performed on data from 286 organizations in tourism industry. Comparison among the four groups showed differences in competitive and operational efficiency.

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