• 제목/요약/키워드: Cause-and-Effect Chain

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인과관계체인 기반의 분석 결과를 활용한 비즈니스 프로세스 개선 과제 정의 (Defining Business Process Improvement(BPI) Projects with Analysis Results Based on the Cause-and-Effect Chain)

  • 강준규;임승길
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제38권1호
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    • pp.101-109
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    • 2015
  • This paper suggests a procedure to define business process improvement (BPI) projects with analysis results based on the cause-and-effect chain. The procedure developed in this paper focuses on eliminating root causes of business problems resulted from abnormal events occurred in business process executions. First, we develop three criteria used to make clusters of the root causes where a cluster of root causes will be eliminated together by a BPI project defined based on the cluster. Second, we develop a method to formulate desired expectations from the BPI project. Also, we suggest a method to calculate the relative importance of the BPI projects that help a BPI organization determine priorities of them. We illustrate the procedure and the methods with some examples for the domestic mail delivery process in the postal service industry.

황소채찍효과와 발주크기: 대형할인마트에서의 황소채찍효과 (Bullwhip Effect and Lot Size: the Main Cause of BwE is Lot Size)

  • 백시현
    • 산업공학
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.161-169
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    • 2008
  • Normally, suppliers have to decide on what, how much, and when to replenish stocks of goods based on a data flow generated by a vendor managed inventory(VMI) system. But information from supply chain is often misleading. It is common for such data to be distorted by a lack of coordination and synchronization across several business entities managing different supply chain operations. This phenomenon is called the 'bullwhip effect(BwE)'. Many researchers, working over many years, have studied the reasons for the BwE. They have proposed various remedies, but this phenomenon persists. Though overlooked in previous research, this paper reveals that the 'lot size' of a supply chain of distribution is indeed the main cause of the BwE. In addition, some problems in the existing methods of measuring the BwE are identified and a revised much improved method of measurement is suggested.

PLS 경로모형을 이용한 IT 조직의 BSC 성공요인간의 인과관계 분석 (A PLS Path Modeling Approach on the Cause-and-Effect Relationships among BSC Critical Success Factors for IT Organizations)

  • 이정훈;신택수;임종호
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.207-228
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    • 2007
  • Measuring Information Technology(IT) organizations' activities have been limited to mainly measure financial indicators for a long time. However, according to the multifarious functions of Information System, a number of researches have been done for the new trends on measurement methodologies that come with financial measurement as well as new measurement methods. Especially, the researches on IT Balanced Scorecard(BSC), concept from BSC measuring IT activities have been done as well in recent years. BSC provides more advantages than only integration of non-financial measures in a performance measurement system. The core of BSC rests on the cause-and-effect relationships between measures to allow prediction of value chain performance measures to allow prediction of value chain performance measures, communication, and realization of the corporate strategy and incentive controlled actions. More recently, BSC proponents have focused on the need to tie measures together into a causal chain of performance, and to test the validity of these hypothesized effects to guide the development of strategy. Kaplan and Norton[2001] argue that one of the primary benefits of the balanced scorecard is its use in gauging the success of strategy. Norreklit[2000] insist that the cause-and-effect chain is central to the balanced scorecard. The cause-and-effect chain is also central to the IT BSC. However, prior researches on relationship between information system and enterprise strategies as well as connection between various IT performance measurement indicators are not so much studied. Ittner et al.[2003] report that 77% of all surveyed companies with an implemented BSC place no or only little interest on soundly modeled cause-and-effect relationships despite of the importance of cause-and-effect chains as an integral part of BSC. This shortcoming can be explained with one theoretical and one practical reason[Blumenberg and Hinz, 2006]. From a theoretical point of view, causalities within the BSC method and their application are only vaguely described by Kaplan and Norton. From a practical consideration, modeling corporate causalities is a complex task due to tedious data acquisition and following reliability maintenance. However, cause-and effect relationships are an essential part of BSCs because they differentiate performance measurement systems like BSCs from simple key performance indicator(KPI) lists. KPI lists present an ad-hoc collection of measures to managers but do not allow for a comprehensive view on corporate performance. Instead, performance measurement system like BSCs tries to model the relationships of the underlying value chain in cause-and-effect relationships. Therefore, to overcome the deficiencies of causal modeling in IT BSC, sound and robust causal modeling approaches are required in theory as well as in practice for offering a solution. The propose of this study is to suggest critical success factors(CSFs) and KPIs for measuring performance for IT organizations and empirically validate the casual relationships between those CSFs. For this purpose, we define four perspectives of BSC for IT organizations according to Van Grembergen's study[2000] as follows. The Future Orientation perspective represents the human and technology resources needed by IT to deliver its services. The Operational Excellence perspective represents the IT processes employed to develop and deliver the applications. The User Orientation perspective represents the user evaluation of IT. The Business Contribution perspective captures the business value of the IT investments. Each of these perspectives has to be translated into corresponding metrics and measures that assess the current situations. This study suggests 12 CSFs for IT BSC based on the previous IT BSC's studies and COBIT 4.1. These CSFs consist of 51 KPIs. We defines the cause-and-effect relationships among BSC CSFs for IT Organizations as follows. The Future Orientation perspective will have positive effects on the Operational Excellence perspective. Then the Operational Excellence perspective will have positive effects on the User Orientation perspective. Finally, the User Orientation perspective will have positive effects on the Business Contribution perspective. This research tests the validity of these hypothesized casual effects and the sub-hypothesized causal relationships. For the purpose, we used the Partial Least Squares approach to Structural Equation Modeling(or PLS Path Modeling) for analyzing multiple IT BSC CSFs. The PLS path modeling has special abilities that make it more appropriate than other techniques, such as multiple regression and LISREL, when analyzing small sample sizes. Recently the use of PLS path modeling has been gaining interests and use among IS researchers in recent years because of its ability to model latent constructs under conditions of nonormality and with small to medium sample sizes(Chin et al., 2003). The empirical results of our study using PLS path modeling show that the casual effects in IT BSC significantly exist partially in our hypotheses.

A Case Study on Engineering Failure Analysis of Link Chain

  • Kim, Tae-Gu;Lee, Seong-Beom;Lee, Hong-Chul
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2010
  • Objectives: The objective of this study was to investigate the effect of chain installation condition on stress distribution that could eventually cause disastrous failure from sudden deformation and geometric rupture. Methods: Fractographic method used for the failed chain indicates that over-stress was considered as the root cause of failure. 3D modeling and finite element analysis for the chain, used in a crane hook, were performed with a three-dimensional interactive application program, CATIA, commercial finite element analysis and computational fluid dynamic software, ANSYS. Results: The results showed that the state of stress was changed depending on the initial position of the chain that was installed in the hook. Especially, the magnitude of the stress was strongly affected by the bending forces, which are 2.5 times greater (under the simulation condition currently investigated) than that from the plain tensile load. Also, it was noted that the change of load state is strongly related to the failure of parts. The chain can hold an ultimate load of about 8 tons with only the tensile load acting on it. Conclusion: The conclusions of this research clearly showed that a reduction of the loss from similar incidents can be achieved when an operator properly handles the installation of the chain.

EPC 모델 기반의 비즈니스 프로세스 분석 (Business Process Analysis Based on Event-driven Process Chain Model)

  • 강준규;임승길
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제36권3호
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    • pp.34-42
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    • 2013
  • In this study, we develop a method for analyzing business process based on the event-driven process chain (EPC) model. The method consists of five stages such as identifying abnormal events, finding causes for the abnormal events and problems caused by the abnormal events, making cause-and-effect chains, drawing root-cause map, and defining improvement areas. We illustrate how to apply the method with some examples for the domestic registered mail delivery process.

Modeling Coordinated Contracts for a Supply Chain Consisting of Normal and Markdown Sale Markets

  • Lee Chang Hwan
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 2005
  • The results of a study of the coordination effect in stocking and promotional markdown policies for a supply chain consisting of a retailer and a discount outlet (DCO) are reported here. We assume that the product is sold in two consecutive periods: the Normal Sales Period (NSP) and the subsequent Promotional Markdown Sales Period (PSP). We first study an integrated supply chain in which managers in the two periods design a common system so as to jointly decide the stocking quantities, markdown time schedule, and markdown price to maximize mutual profit. Next, we consider a decentralized supply chain. An uncoordinated contract is designed in which decisions are decentralized to optimize the individual party's objective function. Here, three sources of system inefficiencies cause the decentralized system to earn a lower expected system profit than that in the integrated supply chain. The three sources are as follows: in the decentralized system the retailer tends to (1) stock less, and (2) keep a longer sales period, and the DCO tends to (3) stock fewer leftovers inventories and charge a higher markdown price. Finally, a numerical experiment is provided to compare the coordinated model with the uncoordinated model to explore factors that make coordination an effective approach.

ARIMA(0,1,1)모형에서 통계적 공정탐색절차의 MARKOV연쇄 표현 (A Markov Chain Representation of Statistical Process Monitoring Procedure under an ARIMA(0,1,1) Model)

  • 박창순
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.71-85
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    • 2003
  • 일정 시간간격으로 품질을 측정하는 공정관리절차의 경제적 설계에서는 그 특성의 규명이 측정시점의 이산성 (discreteness) 때문에 복잡하고 어렵다. 이 논문에서는 공정 탐색 절차를 Markov 연쇄(chain)로 표현하는 과정을 개발하였고, 공정분포가 공정주기 내에서 발생하는 잡음과 이상원인의 효과를 설명할 수 있는 ARIMA(0,1,1) 모형을 따를 때에 Markov 연쇄의 표현을 이용하여 공정탐색절차의 특성을 도출하였다. Markov 연쇄의 특성은 전이행렬에 따라 달라지며, 전이행렬은 관리절차와 공정분포에 의해 결정된다. 이 논문에서 도출된 Markov 연쇄의 표현은 많은 다른 형태의 관리절차나 공정분포에서도 그에 해당하는 전이행렬을 구하면 쉽게 적용될 수 있다.

SCM 시스템 구축을 위한 로지스틱스 능력모델에 관한 연구 (A logistics Capacity Model for SCM System Build-up)

  • 유종철;박명규
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.115-129
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    • 2002
  • On a conceptual point of SCM, as a order of development, physical distribution, logistics management, basic supply chain management and advanced supply chain management etc. they are magnifying gradually, confusing with information and analysis techniques which seems possible. But on executing, it has a lot of problems because it is so complex and wide, so the enterprise which knows necessity of SCM, they don't have a total execution solution. On this paper, we will focus a proposal of alternatives with reasonableness of manufacturing and making a profit of sales department like most of enterprises to overcome carelessness and unready strategy of investment. And we will find a element through a analysis of cases, a statistical method of effective SCM, and actual survey to propose a alternative proposal. And, we will Prove the facts that it could be a guiding company which has a ability of cooperation with entities through the founding of supply chain, On the conclusion, we will show the variation which influences for capacity entities and alternative proposal to define a element which influence for a cause and effect basically.

항공산업 공급체인의 수요정보 왜곡현상에 관한 연구 (A Study on Demand Information Distortion in Airline Industry Supply Chain)

  • 백승기;유성찬;박명섭
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국경영과학회 2003년도 추계학술대회 및 정기총회
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    • pp.239-242
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    • 2003
  • The supply chain of the airline industry includes multiple airline companies, travel agencies and customers. Various air fares are offered by travel agencies. The travel agencies grant deposit to the airline company in advance and preoccupy seats with deep discount, which called group-discount-ticket. The group-discount-ticket offers the lowest air fare but it does not base on real demand. So the information flow generated by group-discount-ticket can cause the information distortion in airline supply chain. This study analyzes the bullwhip effect in the airline industry. A mathematical model is formulated and managerial suggestions is provided.

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에스컬레이터의 구조적 진동 : (II) 분석 및 대책 (Structural vibration in Escalators :(II) Analysis and Countermeasure)

  • 임수영;권이석;박선용;홍성욱
    • 소음진동
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    • 제10권5호
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    • pp.830-837
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    • 2000
  • This paper deals with an analysis and countermeasure of escalator vibration. The vibration characteristics of escalators are studied theoretically and experimentally to fine the main cause of severe vibration. The main source of vibration in escalators is found to be chordal effect due to the step chain and sprocket system. It is also found that the vibration become significantly large at so called no load condition, in which the load due to passengers, during down-moving, is equal to the resistive force in the driving system. Dynamic absorbers are implemented to suppress the vibration, A theoretical analysis is made to determine the appropriate dynamic absorber. Theoretical and experimental study shows that dynamic absorber is effective to suppress the vibration in escalators.

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