• Title/Summary/Keyword: Causality

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A Study on the Mutual Effect between Small & Medium-sized Enterprises and Economic Growth: Evidence from Alibaba Group and City of Hangzhou

  • He, Yugang
    • Asian Journal of Business Environment
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - From the advanced path of development and current situation, the development of enterprises plays a tremendous role in promoting national economic growth and raising the overall national strength. Therefore, this paper aims at examining the mutual effect between small & medium enterprises and economic growth. Research design, data, and methodology - In order to address the operating mutual effect between the small & medium enterprises and economic growth more clearly, this paper sets Alibaba Group and Hangzhou as an example. Meanwhile, the annual data from 2000 to 2017 will be employed, and an empirical analysis will be performed under the vector error correction model. Results - The findings display that the total revenue of Alibaba Group has a positive effect on economic growth in city of Hangzhou. However, the Granger Causality test implies that there is only a unidirectional causality between total revenue of Alibaba Group and economic growth in Hangzhou. More specifically, 1% increase in total revenue of Alibaba Group can result in 0.272% in economic growth of Hangzhou in the long run. Conclusions - In summary, for the long run, the local governments should promulgate a series of policies to assist the small & medium enterprises like Alibaba Group to improve the local economic growth as seen in the city of Hangzhou.

Effects of Foreign Direct Investment and Human Capital on Labour Productivity: Evidence from Vietnam

  • LE, Nguyen Hoang;DUY, Luong Vinh Quoc;NGOC, Bui Hoang
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 2019
  • The paper aims to investigate whether foreign direct investment (FDI) has positive effect on the labour productivity in Vietnam. Labour productivity is the elemental determinant of a country's development level in long-term. In recent years, although increasing consistently, labour productivity of Vietnam remains low in comparison to other South East Asian countries. To identify the direction of effect and the level of effect of FDI and human capital on the labour productivity of Vietnam, Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model was used to examine the effect of FDI and human capital on labour productivity in Vietnam from 1986 to 2014. The results of bounds test confirm the existence of cointegration among the variables. Further, the Toda and Yamamoto Granger causality test affirms that there is unidirectional causality running from foreign direct investment and human capital index to labour productivity. The empirical results provide strong statistical evidence that foreign direct investment and human capital has a positive impact on labour productivity in Vietnam in long-term. These findings imply that workers are expected to further improve their knowledge, skills and that policy-maker should establish concrete plans to increase human capital. Results from this study provide suggestion necessary for Vietnam to achieve sustainable development.

Three Adverse Events Reports of Simple Exanthematous Eruption after Sumsu (Bufonis Venenum) Pharmacopuncture Topical Treatment (섬수약침 국소시술 이후 발생한 단순 피부 발진: 3 이상사례 보고)

  • Yoon, Sang-Hoon;Jo, Hee-Geun;Song, Min-Yeong;Seo, Hyung-Sik
    • Journal of Korean Medicine Rehabilitation
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.119-124
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    • 2018
  • Three cases of simple exanthematous eruption were suspected during Sumsu (Bufonis Venenum) pharmacopuncture (SP) topical anesthesia for acupotomy. Patients had skin rash with pruritus on both ankle, posterior neck, and left shoulder after 11, 12, and 7 times of SP treatment, respectively. There were no cases of systemic manifestations or changes in vital signs. As a result of using the World Health Organization-Uppsala Monitoring Centre (WHO-UMC) causality assessment, all the cases were evaluated as 'unlikely'. However, the results of using the Korean algorithm for assessing the causality of drug adverse reactions version 2.0 were evaluated as 'possible'. This report is the first case report on adverse events suspected of occurring after SP treatment. Although the causal relationship between suspected intervention and the adverse event is not clear, there was a difficulty in completely excluding the possibility. Additional safety studies will be required to make SP more widely available.

Dynamic Forecasting of Market Growth according to Portable Internet Carrier Licensing Policy (휴대인터넷 사업자 선정 정책에 따른 동태적 시장 예측과 함의)

  • Kim, Jong-Tac;Park, Sang-Hyun;Oh, Myung-Ryoon;Kim, Sang-Uk
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.67-88
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    • 2004
  • This paper attempts to explore the generic pitfalls of the traditional number-crunching methods adopted thus far for the forecast of newly emerging market trends, and present an alternative by introducingsystems thinking to the portable Internet service market as an example, followed by its rationale as a new tool for forecasting and some reasoning about why traditional methods are no longer appropriate. Most adoption models in general to forecast market trends have several limitations due to theirbasic assumptions and prospective. First, they fail to capture dynamic interactions among the factors involved over time, with implicit assumptions of 'unilateral causality' in that each factor contributes as a cause to the effect, i.e., causality runs one way; each factor acts independently the weighting factor of each is fixed, etc. Second, the number-crunching models have no way of taking into account the impact of delayed feedback often caused by introducing new policies and legislative changes on the whole system under investigation. Third, there is not a way to reflect the effect of competition by players.

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A Study on Causality between Total Quality Management and Performance of Secondary-Care Hospital Using Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Award Model for Healthcare (말콤 볼드리지 모형을 이용한 2차 의료기관의 전사적 품질관리와 성과 간의 인과관계 연구)

  • Kwon, June-Duk;Yoon, Chiho;Oh, Hyun-Jong;Park, Beom-Gyu;Kim, Yang-Kyun
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.11-30
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to lay groundwork for future research on the outcomes of national quality awards for secondary-care healthcare organizations. Methods: For this study, a secondary-care hospital was selected through a convenience sampling method and all of its organizational members participated in complete enumeration survey using 109 survey questions derived from the MBNQA criteria for healthcare through structural equation modeling (SEM) Results: As a result, Leadership was shown to drive Foundation and Direction, which affect System that creates Results with 12 hypotheses supported out of 18 hypotheses established. Conclusion: The findings of this study will provide valuable implications to the top management of secondary-care hospitals for self-examining quality management and promoting sustainable competitiveness.

A Study of Two Pre service Teachers' Development of Covariational Reasoning (모의실험을 통한 두 예비교사의 공변추론 이해에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Jae-Hong;Lee, Joong-Kweon
    • Journal of the Korean School Mathematics Society
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.453-472
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    • 2009
  • This article describes the interview data with two preservice teachers where they dealt with five water-filling problems for the investigation of their covariational thinking. The study's results revealed that two students developed their covariation levels from Direction level to Instantaneous Rate with an aid of the pre-constructed GSP simulations for the problem situations. However, this study also points out that there is a missing important feature for a function notion, 'causality' in the covariation framework and suggests that future research should combine students' conception of causality with their covariational thinking for the investigation of their development of a function concept.

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Carbon dioxide emissions, GDP per capita, industrialization and population: An evidence from Rwanda

  • Asumadu-Sarkodie, Samuel;Owusu, Phebe Asantewaa
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.116-124
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    • 2017
  • The study makes an attempt to investigate the causal nexus between carbon dioxide emissions, GDP per capita, industrialization and population with an evidence from Rwanda by employing a time series data spanning from 1965 to 2011 using the autoregressive distributed lag model. Evidence from the study shows that carbon dioxide emissions, GDP per capita, industrialization and population are co-integrated and have a long-run equilibrium relationship. Evidence from the Granger-causality shows a unidirectional causality running from industrialization to GDP per capita, population to carbon dioxide emissions, population to GDP per capita and population to industrialization. Evidence from the long-run elasticities has policy implications for Rwanda; a 1% increase in GDP per capita will decrease carbon dioxide emissions by 1.45%, while a 1% increase in industrialization will increase carbon dioxide emissions by 1.64% in the long-run. Increasing economic growth in Rwanda will therefore reduce environmental pollution in the long-run which appears to support the validity of the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis. However, industrialization leads to more emissions of carbon dioxide, which reduces environment, health and air quality. It is noteworthy that the Rwandan Government promotes sustainable industrialization, which improves the use of clean and environmentally sound raw materials, industrial process and technologies.

The role of nuclear energy in the correction of environmental pollution: Evidence from Pakistan

  • Mahmood, Nasir;Danish, Danish;Wang, Zhaohua;Zhang, Bin
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.52 no.6
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    • pp.1327-1333
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    • 2020
  • The global warming phenomenon emerges from the issue of climate change, which attracts the attention of intellectuals towards clean energy sources from dirty energy sources. Among clean sources, nuclear energy is getting immense attention among policymakers. However, the role of nuclear energy in pollution emissions reduction has remained inconclusive and demand for further investigation. Therefore, the current study contributes to extend knowledge by investigating the nexus between nuclear energy, economic growth, and CO2 emissions in a developing country context such as Pakistan for the period between 1973 and 2017. The auto-regressive distributive lag model summarizes the nuclear energy has negative effect on environmental pollution as it releases carbon emission in the environment. Moreover, vector error correction Granger causality provides evidence for bidirectional causality between nuclear energy and carbon emissions. These interesting findings provide new insight, and policy guidelines provided based on these results.

Study on the Price of Housing depending on the Ordinary housing stability policy (서민주거안정정책이 주택가격에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Ko, Pill-Song;Koh, Bong-Sung
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.280-287
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze that ordinary housing stability policy determines the impact on housing prices. I got a conclusion such as the result next which carried out proof analysis for this. First, as a result of the Granger Causality Test, the house market of all areas appeared by affecting ordinary housing stability policy. Second, the shock reaction shows the reaction of the department (-) in all areas and ordinary housing stability policy appeared to be contributed to some extent house market stability. Third, as a result of having analyzed Logit Regression Analysis, ordinary housing stability policy appeared to considerable effects house market stability except Kangnam area of the Roh Moo-hyun government.

Revitalization Strategy of Information Security Industry Using Cognitive Map Analysis (인지지도분석을 통한 정보보호 산업 활성화전략)

  • Lee, Jung Mann;Cho, Ilgu;Rim, Myung Hwan
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.177-194
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    • 2016
  • This study analyzed President Park's speeches and the government's industry policy in the field of information security using cognitive map. The relationship analysis between policy tool variables and policy goal variables was employed to derive revitalization strategy of information security. This paper found that entrepreneurship revitalization has very strong causality with expansion of domestic market and global market. But, on the other hand, HR development has very weak causality with job creation and future growth driver because the labor market in the information security industry is poor and its transfer rate to other industry is very high. This study showed that this cognitive map could be characterized by a scarcity of feedback loops and a strong emphasis on the positive loops in the structure of virtuous circle. In this paper, we also constructed a comprehensive cognitive map on the policy vision of information security, showing that there are a risk of cyber threat, an opportunity of new fusion security market, information security reinforcing circle, global economic circle, and domestic market circle.