• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bayes factor

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Default Bayesian testing for the scale parameters in two parameter exponential distributions

  • Kang, Sang Gil;Kim, Dal Ho;Lee, Woo Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.949-957
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we consider the problem of testing the equality of the scale parameters in two parameter exponential distributions. We propose Bayesian testing procedures for the equality of the scale parameters under the noninformative priors. The noninformative prior is usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be defined up to a multiplicative constant. Thus, we propose the default Bayesian testing procedures based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factors under the reference priors. Simulation study and an example are provided.

Default Bayesian testing on the common mean of several normal distributions

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.605-616
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    • 2012
  • This article deals with the problem of testing on the common mean of several normal populations. We propose Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures for the common normal mean under the noninformative prior. The noninformative prior is usually improper and yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be defined u to a multiplicative constant. So we propose the default Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factors under the reference priors. Simulation study and an example are provided.

Default Bayesian testing for the equality of shape parameters in the inverse Weibull distributions

  • Kang, Sang Gil
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.1569-1579
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    • 2014
  • This article deals with the problem of testing for the equality of the shape parameters in two inverse Weibull distributions. We propose Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures for the equality of the shape parameters under the noninformative prior. The noninformative prior is usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be defined up to a multiplicative constant. So we propose the default Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factors under the reference priors. Simulation study and an example are provided.

Comparative Study of Model Selection Using Bayes Factor through Simulation : Poisson vs. Negative Binomial Model Selection and Normal, Double Exponential vs. Cauchy Model Selection (시뮬레이션을 통한 베이즈요인에 의한 모형선택의 비교연구 : 포아송, 음이항모형의 선택과 정규, 이중지수, 코쉬모형의 선택)

  • 오미라;윤소영;심정욱;손영숙
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.335-349
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we use Bayesian method for model selection of poisson vs. negative binomial distribution, and normal, double exponential vs. cauchy distribution. The fractional Bayes factor of O'Hagan (1995) was applied to Bayesian model selection under the assumption of noninformative improper priors for all parameters in the models. Through the analyses of real data and simulation data, we examine the usefulness of the fractional Bayes factor in comparison with intrinsic Bayes factors of Berger and Pericchi (1996, 1998).

A Bayesian Test Criterion for the Multivariate Behrens-Fisher Problem

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.107-124
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    • 1999
  • An approximate Bayes criterion for multivariate Behrens-Fisher problem is proposed and examined. Development of the criterion involves derivation of approximate Bayes factor using the imaginary training sample approach introduced by Speigelhalter and Smith (1982). The criterion is designed to develop a Bayesian test, so that it provides an alternative test to other tests based upon asymptotic sampling theory (such as the tests suggested by Bennett(1951), James(1954) and Yao(1965). For the derived criterion, numerical studies demonstrate routine application and give comparisons with the classical tests.

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DEFAULT BAYESIAN INFERENCE OF REGRESSION MODELS WITH ARMA ERRORS UNDER EXACT FULL LIKELIHOODS

  • Son, Young-Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.169-189
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    • 2004
  • Under the assumption of default priors, such as noninformative priors, Bayesian model determination and parameter estimation of regression models with stationary and invertible ARMA errors are developed under exact full likelihoods. The default Bayes factors, the fractional Bayes factor (FBF) of O'Hagan (1995) and the arithmetic intrinsic Bayes factors (AIBF) of Berger and Pericchi (1996a), are used as tools for the selection of the Bayesian model. Bayesian estimates are obtained by running the Metropolis-Hastings subchain in the Gibbs sampler. Finally, the results of numerical studies, designed to check the performance of the theoretical results discussed here, are presented.

Default Bayesian Method for Detecting the Changes in Sequences of Independent Exponential and Poisson Random Variates

  • Jeong, Su-Youn;Son, Young-Sook
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.129-139
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    • 2002
  • Default Bayesian method for detecting the changes in sequences of independent exponential random variates and independent Poisson random variates is considered. Noninformative priors are assumed for all the parameters in both of change models. Default Bayes factors, AIBF, MIBF, FBF, to check whether there is any change or not on each sequence and the posterior probability densities of change at each time point are derived. Theoretical results discussed in this paper are applied to some numerical data.

ARMA Model Identification Using the Bayes Factor

  • Son, Young-Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.503-513
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    • 1999
  • The Bayes factor for the identification of stationary ARM(p,q) models is exactly computed using the Monte Carlo method. As priors are used the uniform prior for (\ulcorner,\ulcorner) in its stationarity-invertibility region, the Jefferys prior and the reference prior that are noninformative improper for ($\mu$,$\sigma$\ulcorner).

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Computing Fractional Bayes Factor Using the Generalized Savage-Dickey Density Ratio

  • Younshik Chung;Lee, Sangjeen
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.385-396
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    • 1998
  • A computing method of fractional Bayes factor (FBF) for a point null hypothesis is explained. We propose alternative form of FBF that is the product of density ratio and a quantity using the generalized Savage-Dickey density ratio method. When it is difficult to compute the alternative form of FBF analytically, each term of the proposed form can be estimated by MCMC method. Finally, two examples are given.

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Utterance Verification Using Anti-models Based on Neighborhood Information (이웃 정보에 기초한 반모델을 이용한 발화 검증)

  • Yun, Young-Sun
    • MALSORI
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    • no.67
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    • pp.79-102
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we investigate the relation between Bayes factor and likelihood ratio test (LRT) approaches and apply the neighborhood information of Bayes factor to building an alternate hypothesis model of the LRT system. To consider the neighborhood approaches, we contemplate a distance measure between models and algorithms to be applied. We also evaluate several methods to improve performance of utterance verification using neighborhood information. Among these methods, the system which adopts anti-models built by collecting mixtures of neighborhood models obtains maximum error rate reduction of 17% compared to the baseline, linear and weighted combination of neighborhood models.

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