• 제목/요약/키워드: Bayes factor

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Bayes Factor for Change-point with Conjugate Prior

  • Chung, Youn-Shik;Dey, Dipak-K.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.577-588
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    • 1996
  • The Bayes factor provides a possible hierarchical Bayesian approach for studying the change point problems. A hypothesis for testing change versus no change is considered using predictive distributions. When the underlying distribution is in one-parameter exponential family with conjugate priors, Bayes factors are investigated to the hypothesis above. Finally one example is provided .

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제2종 중단모형에서 FRACTIONAL BAYES FACTOR를 이용한 신뢰수명 모형들에 대한 베이지안 모형선택 (Bayesian Model Selection of Lifetime Models using Fractional Bayes Factor with Type ?$\pm$ Censored Data)

  • 강상길;김달호;이우동
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.427-436
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    • 2000
  • 이 논문에서는 신뢰수명자료의 분석에 많이 사용되는 지수분포, 와이블분포, 로그정규분포에 대해, 현재의 자료가 어느 분포에 가장 적합한가를 알아보기 위한 베이자안 모형 선택방법을 제안한다. 일반적으로, 모수에 대한 사전분포가 부적절 분포인 경우, 베이즈 요인(Bayes factor)은 미지의 상수를 포함한다. 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위하여 O’Hagan(1995)에 의해 제안된 fractional Bayes factor를 이용하여 자료를 가장 적합시키는 모형을 찾는다. 특히, 제2종 중도절단자료가 주어진 경우. 이 자료를 이용한 베이지안 모형선택에 대한 연구는 거의 이루어진 바가 없다. 실제 자료와 인위적인 자료를 이용하여 로그정규분포, 지수분포, 와이블모형중 어느 모형에 가장 잘 적합한지를 검정하는 예를 보인다.

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A Bayes Criterion for Testing Homogeneity of Two Multivariate Normal Covariances

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제27권1호
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    • pp.11-23
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    • 1998
  • A Bayes criterion for testing the equality of covariance matrices of two multivariate normal distributions is proposed and studied. Development of the criterion invloves calculation of Bayes factor using the imaginary sample method introduced by Spiegelhalter and Smith (1982). The criterion is designed to develop a Bayesian test criterion, so that it provides an alternative test criterion to those based upon asymptotic sampling theory (such as Box's M test criterion). For the constructed criterion, numerical studies demonstrate routine application and give comparisons with the traditional test criteria.

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Detecting the Influential Observation Using Intrinsic Bayes Factors

  • Chung, Younshik
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.81-94
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    • 2000
  • For the balanced variance component model, sometimes intraclass correlation coefficient is of interest. If there is little information about the parameter, then the reference prior(Berger and Bernardo, 1992) is widely used. Pettit nd Young(1990) considered a measrue of the effect of a single observation on a logarithmic Bayes factor. However, under such a reference prior, the Bayes factor depends on the ratio of unspecified constants. In order to discard this problem, influence diagnostic measures using the intrinsic Bayes factor(Berger and Pericchi, 1996) is presented. Finally, one simulated dataset is provided which illustrates the methodology with appropriate simulation based computational formulas. In order to overcome the difficult Bayesian computation, MCMC methods, such as Gibbs sampler(Gelfand and Smith, 1990) and Metropolis algorithm, are empolyed.

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Default Bayesian testing for the bivariate normal correlation coefficient

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제22권5호
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    • pp.1007-1016
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    • 2011
  • This article deals with the problem of testing for the correlation coefficient in the bivariate normal distribution. We propose Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures for the bivariate normal correlation coefficient under the noninformative prior. The noninformative priors are usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be defined up to a multiplicative constant. So we propose the default Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factors under the reference priors. A simulation study and an example are provided.

Default Bayesian testing for the equality of the scale parameters of several inverted exponential distributions

  • Kang, Sang Gil;Kim, Dal Ho;Lee, Woo Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.961-970
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    • 2014
  • This article deals with the problem of testing the equality of the scale parameters of several inverted exponential distributions. We propose Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures for the equality of the scale parameters under the noninformative prior. The noninformative prior is usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be defined up to a multiplicative constant. So we propose the default Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factors under the reference priors. Simulation study and an example are provided.

Default Bayesian hypothesis testing for the scale parameters in nonregular Pareto distributions

  • Kang, Sang Gil
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제23권6호
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    • pp.1299-1308
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    • 2012
  • This article deals with the problem of testing the equality of the scale parameters in nonregular Pareto distributions.We propose Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures for the equality of the scale parameters under the noninformative prior. The noninformative prior is usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be de ned up to a multiplicative constant. So we propose the default Bayesia hypothesis testing procedures based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factors under the reference priors. Simulation study and a real data example are provided.

Default Bayesian testing equality of scale parameters in several inverse Gaussian distributions

  • Kang, Sang Gil;Kim, Dal Ho;Lee, Woo Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.739-748
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    • 2015
  • This paper deals with the problem of testing about the equality of the scale parameters in several inverse Gaussian distributions. We propose default Bayesian testing procedures for the equality of the shape parameters under the reference priors. The reference prior is usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be defined up to a multiplicative constant. Therefore we propose the default Bayesian testing procedures based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factors under the reference priors. Simulation study and an example are provided.

Default Bayesian hypothesis testing for the scale parameters in the half logistic distributions

  • Kang, Sang Gil;Kim, Dal Ho;Lee, Woo Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.465-472
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    • 2014
  • This article deals with the problem of testing the equality of the scale parameters in the half logistic distributions. We propose Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures for the equality of the scale parameters under the noninformative priors. The noninformative prior is usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be dened up to a multiplicative constant. Thus we propose the default Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factors under the reference priors. Simulation study and an example are provided.

A Bayesian Test for Simple Tree Ordered Alternative using Intrinsic Priors

  • Kim, Seong W.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.73-92
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    • 1999
  • In Bayesian model selection or testing problems, one cannot utilize standard or default noninformative priors, since these priors are typically improper and are defined only up to arbitrary constants. The resulting Bayes factors are not well defined. A recently proposed model selection criterion, the intrinsic Bayes factor overcomes such problems by using a part of the sample as a training sample to get a proper posterior and then use the posterior as the prior for the remaining observations to compute the Bayes factor. Surprisingly, such Bayes factor can also be computed directly from the full sample by some proper priors, namely intrinsic priors. The present paper explains how to derive intrinsic priors for simple tree ordered exponential means. Some numerical results are also provided to support theoretical results and compare with classical methods.

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