• Journal of the Korean School Mathematics Society
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• v.22 no.3
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• pp.241-256
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• 2019

In this paper, we analyzed the types of tasks presented in the 'Probability and Statistics' textbooks and how the cognitive competences required to perform the tasks provide students with opportunity-to-learn. To this end, the analysis of the 9 books of the 'Probability and Statistics' test textbooks according to the 2015 revised mathematics curriculum showed that the context-based tasks(CF type, RE type) ranged from 67.5% to 78.0% of the total number of tasks in each textbook, but the ratio of relevant and essential tasks related to real life is from 0.4% to 2.0%, it was found that most of the context-based tasks presented in the textbooks were disguised as real life materials. The cognitive competences of context-based tasks ranged from 29.6% to 50.0% in reproduction category, from 33.8% to 54.3% in connection category, and from 8.8% to 20.0% in reflection category. As a result, there was not enough opportunity-to-learn for students to experience reflective cognitive processes.

• Journal of Gifted/Talented Education
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• v.20 no.1
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• pp.151-173
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• 2010

Several researches have been done on the meaning of probabilistic thinking level and its pedagogical implication. However, there is lack of trials of using topics in probability to educate mathematically gifted students. As a result, we don't have sound understanding on gifted students' probabilistic thinking level and how to facilitate it through educational program. This study examines the meaning of probabilistic thinking level, develops and applies tasks in probability for gifted education. Having the analysis of the student responses, this study tries to investigate how teachers who participate in an in-service teacher education program interpret the developed tasks and student responses. In conclusion, this study shows the possible approach of gifted education using probability tasks to facilitate gifted students' probabilistic thinking level and its potential in identification of giftedness through observation.

• School Mathematics
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• v.17 no.3
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• pp.423-446
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• 2015

This study aims to look into the characteristics of argumentation in the task context of 'Monty Hall problem' at a high school probability class. As a result of an analysis of classroom discourses on the argumentation between teachers and second-year students in one upper level class in high school using Toulmin's argument pattern, it was found that it would be important to create a task context and a safe classroom culture in which the students could ask questions and refute them in order to make it an argument-centered discourse community. In addition, through the argumentation of solving complex problems together, the students could be further engaged in the class, and the actual empirical context enriched the understanding of concepts. However, reasoning in argumentation was mostly not a statistical one, but a mathematical one centered around probability problem-solving. Through these results of the study, it was noted that the teachers should help the students actively participate in argumentation through the task context and question, and an understanding of a statistical reasoning of interpreting the context would be necessary in order to induce their thinking and reasoning about probability and statistics.

• Proceedings of the Korean Nuclear Society Conference
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• 1995.05b
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• pp.813-818
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• 1995

방사성 폐기물 처분장의 확률론적 안전성 분석은 방사성 폐기물 처분장의 운영에 앞서 수행되어야 할 과제이다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 폐기물 처분장의 확률론적 안전성 분석을 체계적으로 수행하기 위한 방법론을 개발하여 제시하였다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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• 1997.10a
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• pp.75-78
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• 1997

신제품 개발에 관련된 아이디어들을 모두 개발과제로 삼는것은 자원이용의 효율면에서 비능률적이다. 많은 아이디어들을 수집한 후 시장상황과 기업의 역량에 가장 일치하는 소수의 아이디어들을 개발과제로 선정해야 한다. 그러나 더 많은 지원자들이 응모한 기업이 더 적은 지원자들이 응모한 기업보다 더 유능한 종업원을 선발할 확률이 커지는 것과 마찬가지로 더 많은 아이디어들을 수집해야 더 탁월한 신제품 개발과제를 선정할 확률이 커진다. 즉, 아이디어들만 개발과제로 선정하는 절차가 필요하다. 때로는 신제품 개발에 관련된 아이디어들이 부족한 경우도 발생하여 체계적인 아이디어를 생성하는 방법론이 필요하다. 여기에서는 신제품 개발 주관 부서에서 체계적으로 아이디어를 확대하는 방법을 살펴본다.

• Korean Journal of Cognitive Science
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• v.32 no.3
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• pp.117-139
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• 2021

The way of change detection in which presence of a different item is determined between memory and test arrays with a brief in-between time interval resembles how visual search is done considering that the different item is searched upon the onset of a test array being compared against the items in memory. According to the resemblance, the present study examined whether varying the probability of change occurrence in a visual short-term memory-based change detection task can influence the aspect of response-decision making (i.e., change prevalence effect). The simple-feature change detection task in the study consisted of a set of four colored boxes followed by another set of four colored boxes between which the participants determined presence or absence of a color change from one box to the other. The change prevalence was varied to 20, 50, or 80% in terms of change occurrences in total trials, and their change detection errors, detection sensitivity, and their subsequent RTs were analyzed. The analyses revealed that as the change prevalence increased, false alarms became more frequent while misses became less frequent, along with delayed correct-rejection responses. The observed change prevalence effect looks very similar to the target prevalence effect varying according to probability of target occurrence in visual search tasks, indicating that the background principles deriving these two effects may resemble each other.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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• v.18 no.5
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• pp.1013-1021
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• 2014

For efficient investments of government budgets, It is important to analyze the similarities of R&D projects. So, existing studies have proposed a techniques for analyzing similarities using keywords or segments. However, the techniques have low accuracy. We propose a technique for similarities of projects using patent information. To achieve our goal, we suggest three metrics that are based some mathematic theories; set theory and probability theory. In order to validate our technique, we perform case studies that have 156 R&D projects and 160,218 patent informations.

• Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.31 no.1
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• pp.7-8
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• 1989

• School Mathematics
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.315-335
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• 2013

Probability has distinctive characteristics which are different from other areas of school mathematics. The critical change can be noticed in the domain, 'probability and statistics' of 2009 revised national curriculum for elementary school mathematics. This indicates that the concept of chance is supposed to be taught in the 5~6 grade band instead of the definition of probability which is moved to the middle school level. The purpose of this study is to seek desirable methods for teaching the concept of chance which reflect the achievement criteria and the attention point for teaching and learning of the curriculum at the point of time when textbooks haven't yet been developed. To do this, based on theoretical considerations and comparative analysis of the curricula in the longitudinal - latitudinal dimensions respectively, the validity of the latest curriculum change was confirmed and several learning activities were devised. And then two lessons were planned for applying these activities to eight fifth graders and were implemented along the plan. As a result, the relevance of the learning activities was examined and students' difficulties in learning the concept of chance with educational implications were discussed.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2012.05a
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• pp.935-935
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• 2012

우리나라에 많은 강수를 유발시키는 호우원인에는 크게 태풍, 집중호우를 들 수 있으며 태풍과 집중호우는 우리나라에 막대한 홍수피해를 야기하고 있다. 그러므로 태풍과 집중호우의 발생으로 인한 홍수 피해를 저감시킬 필요성이 있으며, 이러한 문제는 해결해 나가야하는 필수 과제 중 하나라 할 수 있다. 그리하여 본 연구에서는 우리나라를 비교적 잘 표현해주는 지점 21개 관측소를 선정하였으며 1979년~2009년까지의 태풍과 집중호우를 구분하여 지속시간 24시간 연초과치자료를 구축하였고 매개변수적 지점 빈도해석을 통해 재현기간별 확률 강우량을 추출하여 전기간에 대한 확률강우량과 비교, 분석을 하고자 하였다. 분석결과 태풍, 집중호우 모두 저빈도의 경우는 전기간에 대한 확률강우량이 대부분 컸으나 고빈도의 확률 강우량의 경우 전기간 강우사상에 의한 확률강수량 보다 집중호우, 태풍에 의한 확률 강우량이 큰 지점이 발생 함을 알 수 있었다. 그러므로 태풍 및 집중호우의 영향을 받는 주요지점들의 경우 태풍, 집중호우만을 고려하여 확률 강우량을 산정하는 것이 방재 및 치수적인 면에서 필요하다고 판단되며, 고빈도에 대한 확률 강우량 산정시 태풍, 집중호우에 의한 확률강우량을 산정하여 비교 및 검토가 필요하다고 판단된다.