• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.33 no.1
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• pp.75-87
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• 2017

The purpose of this study is to utilize the system dynamics to carry out a medium and long-term forecasting analysis of the bunker price. In order to secure accurate bunker price forecast, a quantitative analysis was established based on the casual loop diagram between various variables that affects bunker price. Based on various configuration variables such as crude oil price which affects crude oil consumption & production, GDP and exchange rate which influences economic changes and freight rate which is decided by supply and demand in shipping and logistic market were used in accordance with System Dynamics to forecast bunker price and then objectivity was verified through MAPEs. Based on the result of this study, bunker price is expected to rise until 2029 compared to 2016 but it will not be near the surge sighted in 2012. This study holds value in two ways. First, it supports shipping companies to efficiently manage its fleet, offering comprehensive bunker price risk management by presenting structural relationship between various variables affecting bunker price. Second, rational result derived from bunker price forecast by utilizing dynamic casual loop between various variables.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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• v.36 no.3
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• pp.205-213
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• 2012

This study focused on the supply-demand and training system of the crew for domestic coastal shipping. First of all, it forecasted the prospect and effect in the future of the crew supply-demand through the analysis to the current situation of crew employment and the internal and external environment changes. Next, it suggested the specific role and alternatives of government, industry and educational institutions after the comparison and examination of the sailor policies among Korea and major shipping countries. In regard to the demand of crew manpower in coastal shipping, it figured out the bottoms and the current circumstances of sailors, and it could anticipate the future demand by the gradational approach. According to the findings, firstly the result of this simulation by the changes of the ship numbers demonstrated that the demand over the next 10 years will be 7,890~8,025 in the case of the growth 0.4%, and 7,894~8,063 in 0.5%. Secondly, assuming the growth 0.1~1%, the result illustrated that the demand will come to 7,879~8,258. This means the fact that the additional manpower has to be input to 20~430 annually from now on. To conclude, this study showed the more rational numbers about the supply-demand than the past researches and displayed the systematic approach to supply and train the crew in domestic coastal shipping.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.24 no.2
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• pp.289-315
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• 2008

In Korea-China shipping route, the level of freight rate has been maintained very low for last two decades not only because supply of shipping capacity is higher than its demand but also because the route was regulated by the two governments. An examination is made of the effects of openness of Korea-China Liner Shipping Route on competitiveness of Korean-flag Liner Shipping companies. This task is undertaken by detailing the development of the cargo sharing respectively by shipping companies of each country. Then it is suggested the ways to cope with the new environmental changes in Korea-China liner shipping route for the future by examining the future strategies for Korean-flag companies by in-depth interviews with major shipping companies.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.36 no.1
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• pp.165-182
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• 2020

According to recent government forecasts, universities face a critical situation, due to a reduction in the number of students and a decrease in tuition income. To respond to the changed population structure and the 4th Industrial Revolution, the government is supporting universities in reorganizing the structure of academics and curricula focused on lifelong education. Considering this, this study analyzed the correlation between intention to participate in lifelong education and learning outcomes oriented to workers involved in shipping and port logistics in the Port of Gwangyang and Yeosu, who are participating or have participated in lifelong education. To expand the opportunities for participation in the lifelong education of adult learners and form a learning culture, it is necessary to analyze the intention to participate in lifelong education and how participants identify their learning outcomes. According to the analysis results, the goal orientation of intention to participate in learning has a significant influence on individual features of learning outcomes, and learning orientation has a significant influence on the social characteristics of learning outcomes. Moreover, learning outcomes and the learning orientation of the intention to participate in learning have a significant influence on the intention to continue learning. In particular, the results showing that learning outcomes reflect individual changes and that interests obtained as a product of learning influence the intention to continue learning are highly suggestive.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2015.10a
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• pp.121-123
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• 2015

북극해 항로관련 본격적인 연구는 노르웨이, 러시아, 일본 등이 공동으로 주관하여 1993년 시작되어 1999년에 끝난 INSROP이라고 할 수 있다. 우리나라는 이들 나라에 비하여 많이 늦었지만 관심을 가지고 산발적으로 진행하여 왔다. 우리나라에서의 북극과 관련한 연구는 극지연구소가 극지기후변화, 극지지구시스템, 극지생명과학, 극지해양환경 등 지구과학적인 측면에서 연구를 하고 있고 한국해양수산개발원은 해운항만정책, 해양정책, 해양환경정책 등 정책적인 측면에서 연구를 하여 왔다. 그리고 한국해양과학기술원에서는 한국해양대학과 공동으로 빙해수조를 통하여 얼음과 내빙선체 등과 관련된 연구를 하고 있다. 특히, 2013년 5월 15일 우리나라가 북극이사국의 정식 옵서버국이 됨에 따라 북극해 항로에 대한 국민적 관심이 고조되고 있으나 북극해항로에 관한 연구가 일천하기 때문에 현재까지 진행된 국내외 연구결과를 조사분석하여 북극해항로분야에서의 새로운 연구분야를 찾고자 한다.

• 월간 기계설비
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• no.2 s.211
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• pp.65-70
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• 2008

두산건설(주)은 1960년 동산토건으로 시작, 해외공사 및 국내 유수의 시공실적과 함께 지난 반세기에 걸쳐 앞선 기술과 품질로 건설산업을 이끌어 왔다. IMF당시 과감한 구조조정을 단행 하였고, 두산개발, 고려산업개발을 인수합병한 후 외형적인 성장 뿐 아니라 내실경영에 만전을 기하고 있다. 또한 시장환경변화에 대한 중장기 성장동력으로 복합개발사업, SOC민자사업, 도시개발사업 등 디벨로퍼(Developer)형 사업확대를 중점적으로 추진할 계획이며 이 중 복합개발사업은 후발주자로 시장에 진입했지만 지난해 1조3,000억원의 물량을 확보하는 등의 성과를 거둬 앞으로의 사업전망이 밝을 것으로 예상하고 있다. 두산건설(주)은 최근 부산 해운대에 아시아 최고 높이인 80층 주상복합아파트를 분양함으로써 초고층건물 시장에서의 입지를 다지고 있다.

• Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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• v.9 no.3
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• pp.101-115
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• 2018

The purpose of this study is to examine the growth status and future prospects of the shipping industry over the past decade through a review of the statistical database and related literature. We classify the shipping industry and survey a number of companies, number of employees, sales trends and shipping logistics market outlook, port cargo volume, and container throughput trends with regard to the sea cargo shipping business, freezing cold warehousing business, harbor cargo unloading business, and international freight forwarding business. We will also look at the overall trends, scale, cargo volume, and harbor automation status of the global shipping market.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.23 no.3
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• pp.127-148
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• 2007

Cruise industry in the world has been one of the most prosperous industries for the past 30 years and thus its effect is classified by both economic side incurred from its own tourism industry directly and indirectly, and another economic one from development of related-industries such as shipbuilding, heavy industries, and so on. Under these circumstances, it is evaluated that Korea will have good circumstances of activating the highly value-added cruise industries. In order to do it, this country will have to meet as follows: the significant investment in cruise infrastructure, the organization of North-East Asia cruise council, the building-up of cooperation between government and private, the improvement of cruise-related law and institution, the simplification of entry procedure for cruise tourists, the active development and public relation of cruise tourism industry, and so on.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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• v.39 no.6
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• pp.553-559
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• 2015

The Korean Ship Supply market scale estimated at 5.7 trillion won in 2014. Much activated and related 400 of companies located in Busan, Ulsan near Busan area. But there have many companies had lower average revenue like a 2 billion won, Also the economic slump of world maritime port industry and low priced ship supply manufacture like as China and Other developing countries, those things made a gloomy situation in domestic industry. Therefore, in this study focused on Ship Supply Common Logistics for activation plan of Ship Supply Industry. And also determine which factor is most important to Ship Supply Common Logistics and analyzed AHP and IP analysis on 16 factors based on literature review. The result, most important factor was cost for Ship Supply Common Logistics.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.36 no.1
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• pp.1-22
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• 2020

The global container terminal market is predicted to see continued future volume growth. According to Drewry, global container shipments rose by 6.3% year-on-year to 750 billion twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) in 2017 and are forecast to experience continued growth to 9.3 billion TEUs in 2022. According to IHS Markit, the global terminal operator (GTO) market is forecast to grow more than 10% annually, up from $2.4 billion in 2017, to exceed $3 billion by 2022. However, Hyundai Merchant Marine is the only real GTO in Korea. In particular, the shipping and port markets are facing drastic changes, both at home and abroad, including a slowdown in the growth of domestic export and import shipments, environmental changes in the container market caused by the trade frictions between the US and China, and increased changes in container shipments caused by the trade frictions between Korea and Japan. In this study, we propose ways for domestic companies to participate in the continuously growing GTO market. After analyzing the current status of the global GTO market, the government expressed a desire to explore ways to establish GTOs through the Port Authority and the Korea Ocean Business Corporation. Therefore, four types of establishment plans were proposed, along with a legal framework for the establishment of GTOs.