• Korean System Dynamics Review
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• v.12 no.2
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• pp.127-151
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• 2011

The purpose of this study is to examine measures to improve government's supply oriented housing policy in population declining cities. For this purpose, system dynamics simulation method was used to build urban-housing model and different sets of housing policies were tested to see their impact on local housing problems. Simulation result shows that there is no best set of housing policies that can solve all housing problems in population declining cities. It also indicates that housing policy that solve one type of problems can worsen other type of problems. Housing policy that increases population size has negative effect of housing oversupply. It also increases proportion of old houses in population declining cities. However, housing policy that makes city younger with newer houses tends to increase housing shortage and housing price. So, policy choice needs to be made with clear understanding of trade off between different policies. The result also shows it is difficult to expect a full scale effect of housing policy on local housing problems unless it is executed with regional economic development policy because local housing problems are so closely related with local economic problem in population declining local cities.

• Korean System Dynamics Review
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• v.13 no.1
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• pp.159-182
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• 2012

Strategic decision on the execution of national security improvement project is greatly important for the present and future national security. Though, the importance of strategic decision, decision making process has been executed under one-way thinking framework. This research provides a decision-making tool with make-or-buy approach for the national security improvement policy execution methods: foreign purchase and military R&D project, and, via simulation, confirms dynamic change of military capability index respect to change in ratio of foreign purchase and military R&D. A result shows that current ratio of foreign purchases and military R&D is insufficient for national security improvement policy goal. Applying the model from this research provides an appropriate ratio for short term and long term defense strategy and policy goal, and consequent result of increase in national security capability. Thus, this research model can be effectively utilized for national security improvement project.

• Korean System Dynamics Review
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• v.5 no.2
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• pp.67-88
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• 2004

This paper attempts to explore the generic pitfalls of the traditional number-crunching methods adopted thus far for the forecast of newly emerging market trends, and present an alternative by introducingsystems thinking to the portable Internet service market as an example, followed by its rationale as a new tool for forecasting and some reasoning about why traditional methods are no longer appropriate. Most adoption models in general to forecast market trends have several limitations due to theirbasic assumptions and prospective. First, they fail to capture dynamic interactions among the factors involved over time, with implicit assumptions of 'unilateral causality' in that each factor contributes as a cause to the effect, i.e., causality runs one way; each factor acts independently the weighting factor of each is fixed, etc. Second, the number-crunching models have no way of taking into account the impact of delayed feedback often caused by introducing new policies and legislative changes on the whole system under investigation. Third, there is not a way to reflect the effect of competition by players.

• Korean System Dynamics Review
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• v.16 no.2
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• pp.53-74
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• 2015

Nutria(Myocastor coypus) is one of the most notorious invasive species in many countries. The Nutria's original range was South America like Brazil, Chile and Argentina. But it has been introduced to North America, Europe, Africa, and Asia including Korea, by fur ranchers. Like most invasive and disturbing species, nutria not only destroys habitats but also impacts many native species throughout most of its range with destructive feeding behavior. The purpose of this study is to investigate the dynamics of survival mechanism, population increase and spatial distribution, and eradication effect of Nutria on Nakdong River Area with the systems thinking. The result of this study revealed that Nutria can survive during winter with the behavior that the colder the winter was, the more deeply it burrowed. Further, the study uncovered the dynamics that nutria has survived more and more strongly during the extreme cold winter in almost every region and their population has increased dramatically as a result of the uncontrolled reproduction. Finally, the result showed that the action delay in eradicating Nutria, which was originated from the information delay of perception of nutria's survival and reproduction structure, reinforced the spread of Nutria across the nation.

• Korean System Dynamics Review
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.5-25
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• 2014

The purpose of this study is to analyze the effects of nuclear power plant workers and organizational characteristics on accidents, and seek the combination of policies for reducing accidents. For this purpose, it grasped, by using System Dynamics and Causal Loop Diagram, how various factors that cause accidents in nuclear plants are interrelated, and performed simulations after building simulation models. As a result of the analysis, first, the fundamental cause of safety accidents in nuclear power plants turned out to be the time constraint on the workload. Second, it turned out that as the workload of workers increases, physical and mental stresses increase, thereby increasing accidents due to errors and violations. Third, it turned out that as the levels of educational training and compliance with regulations and procedures are enhanced, accidents are reduced. Lastly, it turned out that as the combination of policies (reliance level + working environment + educational training + compliance with regulations and procedures) is increased, accidents are reduced. Especially, it turned out that if the combination of policies is increased by 30%, more than 10 cases of accidents are reduced.

• Korean System Dynamics Review
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• v.9 no.2
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• pp.45-75
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• 2008

Roe Deer has been preserved for 25 years by the local government and the residents in Jejudo. However, the damage and harm of crops of the residents by Roe Deer are increasing as well. So, some experts worry about the unstability of ecosystem in Mt. Halla where Roe Deer live. This paper discuss the suitable number of Roe Deer population in Jejudo to protect the ecosystem in Mt. Halla and minimize the damage of residents in Jejudo. With system dynamics modeling and simulation, the population of Roe Deer at present is estimated about 2,300. However, the population of Roe Deer stays 'unstable balance'. So, a little change such as poaching and the increase of wild dogs may make the balance of ecosystem broken. According to the result of policy test simulation, we should keep on watching the poaching and maintain the number of wild dogs at about 100, so that the ecosystem in Jejudo can be stable. To reduce the moving of Roe Deer to low region, moreover, we should protect the Mt. Halla which is Roe Deer's habitat. If we are indifferent about these efforts, the ecosystem of Roe Deer in Mt. Halla will be ruined.

• Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.161-172
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• 2016

The following research investigates core factors required for IT professionals to achieve and remain happy on their jobs through dynamic and structural CLD and suggests personal, organizational, and government level (happiness) promoting factors. Researcher adopted the system dynamics methodology which is qualitative research techniques pursue behavior probability by using CLD. It spotlights 6 CLD: job satisfaction, organizational commitment, positive sensitivity, negative sensitivity, amicable relationship, job sustainment intention, in addition to numerous factors that affect them from an integrative perspective. It differentiates itself from one-way relationship focused qualitative research to an advanced mutual and realistic perspective exploratory research.

• Korean System Dynamics Review
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• v.11 no.2
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• pp.45-75
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• 2010

Today, the logistics industry has played a critical role in national economy activities. The low cost and high efficiency of the logistics industry are meaningful in the improvement of national competitiveness and the logistics industry. However, efficiency of logistics is lower than that of the United States and Japan since most quantities are processed in road transportation in Korea. With regard to this, existing studies expected a saving of social and environmental costs due to a decrease of road transportation as well as improvement of logistics productivity due to bulk transportation through activation of rail and costal transport. For the expectation, the existing multimodal transport systems should be improved first. Therefore it aimed to develop scenario-based simulation models of multimodal transport systems for decision makers in charge of improvement in the logistics area. For model development, this study utilized Thinking Process and System Dynamics(TP-SD) methodology.

• Korean System Dynamics Review
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• v.7 no.2
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• pp.57-80
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• 2006

Nuclear technology made a great contribution to the national economy and society by localization of nuclear power plant design, and by stabilization of electricity price, etc. It is very important to conduct the retrospective analysis for the nuclear technology contribution to the national economy and society, but it is more important to conduct prospective analysis for the nuclear technology contribution. The term "technology value" is often used in the prospective analysis to value the result of technology development. There are various definitions of technology value, but generally it means the increment of future revenue or the reduction of future cost by technology development. These technology valuation methods are widely used in various fields (information technology or energy technology, etc). The main objective of this research is to develop valuation methodology that represents unique characteristics of nuclear power technology. The valuation methodology that incorporates market share changes of generation technologies was developed. The technology valuation model which consists of five modules (electricity demand forecast module, technology development module, market share module, electricity generation module, total cost module) to incorporate market share changes of generation technologies was developed. The nuclear power technology value assessed by this technology valuation model was 3 times more than the value assessed by the conventional method. So it was confirmed that it is very important to incorporates market share changes of generation technologies. The valuation results of nuclear power technology in this study can be used as policy data for ensuring the benefits of nuclear power R&D (Research and Development) investment.

• Korean System Dynamics Review
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• v.16 no.1
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• pp.5-23
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• 2015

The purpose of this study is to analyze the land-use changes in the coastal areas using system dynamics modeling and to provide directions for effective management to maintain coastal dune areas. This research process consists of four steps: First, we built the basic model based on the causal loop diagram which was analyzed the land-use change of Sindu-ri Coastal Dune. Second, a time series land-use change map using Arc Map was established. Third, the validity of the basic model was tested. Finally, three simulations were performed for the cut over area($100,000m^2/y$, $150,000m^2/y$, $200,000m^2/y$) of windbreak for maintaining the coastal dune areas. Simulation of the basic model showed that the area of the coastal dune will be consistently decreased. Based on the simulation, if windbreak were cut down $150,000m^2/y$, windbreak area will be restored to the target area in 2019. This study has the limitation which the simulation is progressed with a limited variable: area. Therefore, the modeling of coastal dune should be reflected various variables in the further study.