• Title/Summary/Keyword: 모형정산

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Development of Auto-calibration System for Micro-Simulation Model using Aggregated Data (Case Study of Urban Express) (집계자료를 이용한 미시적 시뮬레이션 모형의 자동정산체계 개발 (도시고속도로사례))

  • Lee, Ho-Sang;Lee, Tae-Gyeong;Ma, Guk-Jun;Kim, Yeong-Chan;Won, Je-Mu
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.113-123
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    • 2011
  • The application of micro-simulation model has been extended farther with improvement of computer performance and development of complicated model. To make a micro-simulation model accurately replicate field traffic conditions, model calibration is very crucial. Studies on calibration of micro-simulation model have not been enough while lots of studies on calibration of macro-simulation model have been continued in our country. This paper presents an auto-calibration of parameter values in micro-simulation model(VISSIM) using genetic algorithm. RMSE(Root Mean Square Error) of collected volume on the urban expressway versus simulated volume is set as MOP(measure of performance) and objective function of optimization is set as to minimize the RMSE. Applying to urban expressway(Nae-bu circular) as a case study, it shows that RMSE of optimized parameter values decrease 60.4%($19.3{\longrightarrow}7.6$) compared to default parameter values and the proposed auto-calibration system is very effective.

Calibration of Car-Following Models Using a Dual Genetic Algorithm with Central Composite Design (중심합성계획법 기반 이중유전자알고리즘을 활용한 차량추종모형 정산방법론 개발)

  • Bae, Bumjoon;Lim, Hyeonsup;So, Jaehyun (Jason)
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.29-43
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    • 2019
  • The calibration of microscopic traffic simulation models has received much attention in the simulation field. Although no standard has been established for it, a genetic algorithm (GA) has been widely employed in recent literature because of its high efficiency to find solutions in such optimization problems. However, the performance still falls short in simulation analyses to support fast decision making. This paper proposes a new calibration procedure using a dual GA and central composite design (CCD) in order to improve the efficiency. The calibration exercise goes through three major sequential steps: (1) experimental design using CCD for a quadratic response surface model (RSM) estimation, (2) 1st GA procedure using the RSM with CCD to find a near-optimal initial population for a next step, and (3) 2nd GA procedure to find a final solution. The proposed method was applied in calibrating the Gipps car-following model with respect to maximizing the likelihood of a spacing distribution between a lead and following vehicle. In order to evaluate the performance of the proposed method, a conventional calibration approach using a single GA was compared under both simulated and real vehicle trajectory data. It was found that the proposed approach enhances the optimization speed by starting to search from an initial population that is closer to the optimum than that of the other approach. This result implies the proposed approach has benefits for a large-scale traffic network simulation analysis. This method can be extended to other optimization tasks using GA in transportation studies.

A Study on Differences of Economic Benefits by Volume Calibration in Road Construction Projects (도로시설 규모산정에 있어서 교통량 정산과정에 따른 경제적 편익 차이에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Sang-Gu;Kim, Geun-Deok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.7-16
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    • 2009
  • This paper proposes a plan which can raise the accuracy of economic benefit estimation in road construction projects. The point of existing economic appraisals may be that the speeds forecasted by models are different from the field speeds because only volumes are calibrated in the road network. The result of such a calibration has an influence on estimating wrong economic benefits in terms of vehicle operating cost savings, travel time savings, and air pollution savings. Then this study performs a calibration when volumes are at the same amount but the calibration between the field speeds and model speeds is different from each other with two different volume-delay functions; the differences of benefits are confirmed according to two different speed calibrations. Three improvement schemes, including the development of a new volume-delay function, are proposed in this study in order to solve the problem of current benefit calculations. The outcome of this study will help practitioners perform more accurate benefit calculations and reasonable economic appraisals.

A Study on the Estimating Visitor's Economic Value of the Mt. Kumjung by Using Individual Travel Cost Model (개인여행비용법(Individual Travel Cost Model)에 의한 금정산 방문객의 경제적 가치추정)

  • Joo, Soo-Hyun;Lee, Dong-Cheol;Hur, Yoon-Jung
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.301-315
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the economic value of the Kumjung Mountain, using a Individual Travel Cost Model(ITCM). This paper compares Poisson and negative binomial count data models to measure the tourism demands. Interviewers were instructed to interview only individuals. So the sample was taken in 700. A dependent variable that is defined on the non-negative integers and subject to sampling truncation is the result of a truncated count data process. The results suggest that the truncated negative binomial model is improved overdispersion problem and more preferred than the other models in the study. This study emphasizes in particular 'travel cost' that is not only monetary cost but also including opportunity cost of 'travel time'. According to the truncated negative binomial model, estimates the Consumer Surplus(CS) values per trip of about 60,669 Korean won and the total economic value was estimated to be 252,383 Korean won.

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Internet Interconnection settlement model under Asymmetric Network Value Environment (비대칭적 네트워크 가치 환경에서의 인터넷망 대가정산 모형)

  • Lee, Sang Woo;Ko, Chang Youl;Choi, Sun Me
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.123-132
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    • 2014
  • Internet is composed of many independent networks referred to as Internet Service Providers (ISPs) and each provider is generally interconnected based on a commercial agreement. Though many countries are engaged in deregulation in internet interconnection, there is still debate whether the large ISPs are unwilling to peer with small providers, have incentives to lower the quality of data transmission of transit operators or set the interconnection charge regarding the actual costs incurred by the interconnection. Korean government introduced regulations in internet interconnection after observing noticeable anti-competitive behaviors from 2005. This paper analyzes whether there is margin squeeze problem/market concentration, and suggests political proposals in Korean regulation status.

A study of interconnection cost settlement for Broadband network (광대역통신망의 상호 정산 기법 연구)

  • Jeong Byung-ho;Yim Hwa-young
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.30 no.5B
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    • pp.324-329
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    • 2005
  • In the traditional telephone services, the settlement method for usage of facilities has been systematically and reasonably arranged based on the cost. Through the advanced technology, the telecommunication services such as the convergence of voice-data, wire-wireless, communication-broadcasting, etc are offering. So, new settlement method in the broadband convergence network (BCN) should be necessary. This paper suggests inter-companies settlement method in the broadband network using interconnection bandwidth and transmission distance factor. By reflecting the facility cost weight on each BCN level, the cost settlement for various services can be easily done. As the settlement model for BCN, the inter-companies interconnection and settlement can be normalized by interconnection bandwidth and transmission distance factors.

Development and Implementation of a 2-Phase Calibration Method for Gravity Model Considering Accessibility (접근성 지표를 도입한 중력모형의 2단계 정산기법 개발 및 적용)

  • CHOI, Sung Taek;RHO, Jeong Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.393-404
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    • 2015
  • Gravity model has had the major problem that the model explains the characteristics of travel behavior with only deterrence factors such as travel time or cost. In modern society, travel behavior can be affected not only deterrence factors but also zonal characteristics or transportation service. Therefore, those features have to be considered to estimate the future travel demand accurately. In this regard, there are two primary aims of this study: 1. to identify the characteristics of inter-zonal travel, 2. to develop the new type of calibration method. By employing accessibility variable which can explain the manifold pattern of trip, we define the zonal travel behavior newly. Furthermore, we suggest 2-phase calibration method, since existing calibration method cannot find the optimum solution when organizing the deterrence function with the new variables. The new method proceeds with 2 steps; step 1.estimating deterrence parameter, step 2. finding balancing factors. The validation results with RMSE, E-norm, C.R show that this study model explains the inter-zonal travel pattern adequately and estimate the O/D pairs precisely than existing gravity model. Especially, the problem with estimation of short distance trip is overcomed. In conclusion, it is possible to draw the conclusion that this study suggests the possibility of improvement for trip distribution model.

Parameter Calibration of Car Following Models Using DGPS DATA (DGPS 수신장치를 활용한 차량추종 모형 파라미터 정산)

  • Kim, Eun-Yeong;Lee, Cheong-Won;Kim, Yong-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.3 s.89
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    • pp.17-27
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    • 2006
  • Car following model is a theory that examines changes of condition and interrelationship of acceleration deceleration. headway, velocity and so on closely based on the hypothesis that the Posterior vehicle always follows the preceding vehicle. Car following mode) which is one of the research fields of microscopic traffic flow was first introduced in 1950s and was in active progress in 1960s. However, due to the limitation of data gathering the research depression was prominent for quite a while and then soon was able to tune back on track with development in global positioning system using satellite and generalization of computer use. Recently, there has been many research studies using reception materials of global Positioning system(GPS). Introducing GPS technology to traffic has made real time tracking of a vehicle position possible. Position information is sequential in terms of time and simultaneous measurement of several vehicles in continuous driving is also practicable. Above research was focused on judging whether it is feasible to overcome the following model research by adopting the GPS reception device that was restrictively proceeded due to the limitation of data gathering. For practical judgment, we measured the accuracy and confidence level of the GPS reception devices material by carrying out a practical experiment. Car following model is also being applied in simulations of traffic flow analysis, but due to the difficulty of estimating parameters the basis of the above result. it is our goal to produce an accurate calibration of car following model's parameters that is suitable in this domestic actuality.

New Maximum Likelihood Estimation Algorithms for the Parameters of Generalized Gravity Model (일반화중력모형 파라메터의 새로운 최우추정기법 개발)

  • 윤성순
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.55-66
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    • 1993
  • 본 논문에서는 최근에 소개된 일반화중력모형(Generalized Gravity Model)파라메터의 최우추정치(Maximum Likelihood Estimates) 계산을 위한 새로운 알고리즘을 이론적으로 도출하였다. 개발된 알고리즘은 첫째 계산속도, 둘째 정밀도, 셋째 모형변수(예컨데 통행시간, 통행비용 등)들 간에 공선성(multicolinearity)이 존재할 경우의 계산능력, 넷째 대규모 스케일의 기.종점자료(large O-D Matrices)에 적용시의 계산능력, 다섯째 모형변수의 개수에 따른 계산능력의 평가기준에서 그 계산실적이 기존의 알고리즘과 비교 평가 되었다. 제안된 기법중에서 Modified Scoring 기법은 계산속도 및 정밀도등 앞서 나열한 계산능력의 평가기준 중 모든 부문에서 매우 탁월한 계산실적을 보이는 것으로 판명되었다. 따라서 최선의 추정치를 보장하는 최우추정기법이 대규모 스케일의 교통계획 적용에도 큰 비용(시간)부담없이 손쉽게 적용될 수 있게 되었다. 제안된 새로운 알고리즘의 적용시 교통계획분야에 가져올 수 있는 기대효과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 최우추정법이 대규모 O-D 통행표에 쉽게 적용될 수 있고 또한 PC등 소형 컴퓨터에서도 처리가 쉽다. 둘째, 모형설명변수의 자유로운 선택등 통계적실험(experimentation)을 가능케 한다. 셋째, 중력모형이 내재되어 있는 결합모형(Combined Model)의 정산속도를 높인다. 넷째, IVHS(Intelligent Vehicle and Highway System)와 같은 분야에서 온라인(On-line)모형정산을 가능케 할 수 있다.

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Estimating O-D Trips Between Sub-divided Smaller Zones Within a Traffic Analysis Zone (대존 세분화에 따른 내부 소존 간의 O-D 통행량 추정 방법)

  • KIM, Jung In;KIM, Ikki
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.575-583
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    • 2015
  • The Korea Transport Institute (KOTI) builds the origin and destination(O-D) trip data with relatively smaller zone size such as Eup, Myeon, Dong administration unit districts in metropolitan area. Otherwise, O-D trip data was built by bigger size of traffic analysis zone(TAZ) such as Si, Gun, Gu administration unit districts for rural area. In some cases, it is needed to divide a zone into several sub-zones for rural area in order to analyze travel distribution pattern in detail for a certain highway and rail project. The study suggested a method to estimate O-D trips for sub-zones in the larger-size zones in rural area. Two different distribution models, direct demand model and gravity model, were calibrated for sub-zone's intra-zonal O-D trip pattern with metropolitan area O-D data which has smaller zone-size (sub-zone) data categorized by low, middle and high population density. The calibration results were compared between the two models. The gravity model with impedance function of power functional form was selected with better explanation for all groups in the metropolitan area. The adjusted $R^2$ was 0.7426, 0.6456 and 0.7194 for low, middle and high population density group, respectively. The suggested O-D trip estimating method is expected to produce enhanced trip patterns with sub-divided small zones.